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Old 13-07-2022, 11:34 AM #1
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The Met Office’s Dan Harris added: “Weather forecast models are run numerous times to help us quantify the likelihood of a particular event occurring, and estimate the uncertainty which is always present in weather forecasting to some degree. For late in next weekend and especially early next week, some runs of these models continue to allow exceptionally high temperatures to develop, which is something we’ll keep monitoring closely and adding details in the coming days as confidence increases.

“Some models had been producing maximum temperatures in excess of 40C in parts of the UK over the coming weekend and beyond. These have highlighted the potential which exists in the developing weather situation, but recent evidence suggests the chances have decreased. That said, it’s still a few days away, and there is still time for reversal of this trend. Mid, to possibly locally high, 30s remains more likely.”
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Old 13-07-2022, 11:47 AM #2
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I don't think the 40+ is very likely, but it's the trend that is important. This is the first time ever, that models have predicted a temperature in the 40's in the UK and that is a worry
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Old 13-07-2022, 11:50 AM #3
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We might as well enjoy it while it lasts.
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Old 13-07-2022, 11:56 AM #4
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Originally Posted by Vanessa View Post
We might as well enjoy it while it lasts.
It’s actually been comparatively cold where I’m at today (ditto for last night) but before I know it it’ll be scorching again. Like I said elsewhere I’m fine with hot or cold weather most of the time but I’m just coming out of a nausea bug that had me pretty floored last week and the heat isn’t helping that much at the moment. I don’t know what I’m going to do if it gets to the point where we’re on 43 degrees.
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Old 13-07-2022, 05:55 PM #5
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Old 14-07-2022, 09:39 AM #6
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Old 14-07-2022, 10:28 AM #7
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It feels much cooler today.
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Old 14-07-2022, 10:41 AM #8
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Quote:
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It feels much cooler today.
Yes its only on Sunday thru to Weds that the hot Iberian air plume is drawn up over the UK
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Old 14-07-2022, 10:47 AM #9
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The latest GFS model run for Monday 2pm

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Old 14-07-2022, 11:15 AM #10
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Old 14-07-2022, 12:26 PM #11
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there is potential for this amber warning to turn RED
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Old 15-07-2022, 12:47 PM #12
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Quote:
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there is potential for this amber warning to turn RED
Yes Monday/Tuesday

England goes RED Heat Level


Danger for some.
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Old 14-07-2022, 02:13 PM #13
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Old 14-07-2022, 03:30 PM #14
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they are saying it will be 35 here Monday and Tuesday, which is a significant bump up from what they were saying a few days ago
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Old 14-07-2022, 03:30 PM #15
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Bloody freezing today.
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Old 14-07-2022, 03:33 PM #16
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Its lovely today. But will get really hot soon..
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Old 14-07-2022, 11:46 PM #17
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Old 15-07-2022, 09:41 AM #18
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now upgraded to RED warning
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Old 15-07-2022, 09:58 AM #19
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bitontheslide View Post
now upgraded to RED warning
also Amber now goes into southern Scotland
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Old 15-07-2022, 09:57 AM #20
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https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather...ate=2022-07-18

Exceptional, perhaps record-breaking, temperatures are likely on Monday, then again on
Tuesday. Nights are also likely to be exceptionally warm for the UK, especially in urban
areas. This is likely to lead to widespread impacts on people and infrastructure.
Temperatures are expected to drop away from Wednesday onwards.
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Old 15-07-2022, 12:13 PM #21
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I had a bad feeling about this as it's been very persistent this heat has.
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Old 15-07-2022, 12:22 PM #22
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27 today and a nice breeze, like normal summer stuff, I appreciate next week is going to be hot, but like wind warnings they seem to be going OTT
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Old 15-07-2022, 12:24 PM #23
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27 today and a nice breeze, like normal summer stuff, I appreciate next week is going to be hot, but like wind warnings they seem to be going OTT
Its part of their "climate crisis" politics
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Old 15-07-2022, 12:28 PM #24
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Its part of their "climate crisis" politics
we have a Zoom call with our American cousins on a Thursday and my sister was inside with the blinds down as it was 22 degrees, (she lives in Galway and trust me they don't get much sun) the Americans were howling
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Last edited by Cherie; 15-07-2022 at 12:28 PM.
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Old 15-07-2022, 12:40 PM #25
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we have a Zoom call with our American cousins on a Thursday and my sister was inside with the blinds down as it was 22 degrees, (she lives in Galway and trust me they don't get much sun) the Americans were howling
I remember when i lived in Oz and it was 12 C and the locals all had winter coats on and scarves and were all "ooo its bitter"
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