[AhmedFan2004]

Originally posted by Claymores
When you're talking a few percent each for the bottom 4, that translates into very few votes - the margins between the actual votes cast will be tiny and a few votes could swing it any way I think.

Yep, and the way I see it, each vote this week is like worth 5 VOTES relative to normal weeks. Because there's far more competition for each vote cast by a BB fan, they have 10 HMs to pick rather than 2.

It really could come down to something like 50-100 votes deciding the differences between the bottom 3 or so.

SO OUR VOTES REALLY COUNT FOR ONCE!

[PooBay]

Looks like the gay community may have given her a stay of execution this week. Shame.

[Claymores]

Originally posted by Showstopper

Interesting, I bet on Lisa at the earliest possible oppertunity, as I thought her odds would drift to a point which would make it not worth it to bet. how wrong I was

It dosent look good for that bet now but I just can't see people voting in their droves to save her

The others are love/hate type housemates, but to me and anyone I've talked to she is just a non entity

I put a whole £10 on David as soon as the markets opened LOL - but circumstances have changed big time and I actually believe the current odds are probably a fair reflection.

But I say once again, the margins between the bottom 4 will be very few votes indeed in murerical terms so it could swing any way.

That's why I haven't bothered betting serious amounts this week!!!!!

[Blueisthecolour]

Originally posted by Showstopper

Maths and Logic

It's pretty obvious to be fair.

If Bea goes tonight, next week will be Marcus and Freddy for eviction. The only question being whether Siavash will join them.

Lisa's gang will all vote for Marcus and Freddy, whilst the floaters like Rodders and maybe Hira will vote for Siavash because of his part in the nominations this week.

The voting will be something like Marcus 5, Freddy 5, Siavash 4.

Lisa will not get more than three votes - Freddy, Marcus and MAYBE Rodrigo but more likely Siavash.

The week after that there will be even fewer people to vote against Lisa as one of Marcus, Freddy and The Vash will be gone.

The final five WILL be David, Lisa, Sophie, Charlie and Rodders.

The only thing that can stop that is if Freddy's support mobilises to keep him. The only vulnerable one would Rodrigo.

David, Lisa, Sophie and Charlie are shoe-ins to the final week if Lisa stays and Bea goes tonight.

[loomy]

I don't think that it's a clear cut as marcus vs freddie and siavash vs freddie because I'm not sure people are going to revert to voting Freddie. No one has nommed him for a few weeks now I can't see them suddenly switching back to voting for him. I think it's much moe likely we'll have a couple of 3 way votes e.g. Marcus vs Freddy (maybe) or Siavash vs Lisa with Lisa going. Then after that I can't say how people will vote.

After this week I think Siavash vs Marcus is the most likely outcome next week regardless of whether or not Bea stays

[AhmedFan2004]

Originally posted by Claymores

But I say once again, the margins between the bottom 4 will be very few votes indeed in murerical terms so it could swing any way.

That's why I haven't bothered betting serious amounts this week!!!!!

How tight do you reckon it will be? 200 votes or so between them?

[Claymores]

Originally posted by AhmedFan2004

How tight do you reckon it will be? 200 votes or so between them?

Anybody's guess!

When Kara-Louse was voted out over Jonty as second evictee in that double-eviction, they were shown as having exactly the same percentage.

it must literally have been in the 10s!!!!!

[AhmedFan2004]

Originally posted by Claymores

Anybody's guess!

When Kara-Louse was voted out over Jonty as second evictee in that double-eviction, they were shown as having exactly the same percentage.

it must literally have been in the 10s!!!!!

Interesting, in your opinion if I want to get Bea out, should I split my votes up more between Lisa/David (and maybe Hira?)

I was going to just put them all on Lisa to ensure the worst outcome is least likely to occur (her going), but I may split them up.

If it's going to be close ...

[Claymores]

Originally posted by AhmedFan2004
Interesting, in your opinion if I want to get Bea out, should I split my votes up more between Lisa/David (and maybe Hira?)

I was going to just put them all on Lisa to ensure the worst outcome is least likely to occur (her going), but I may split them up.

If it's going to be close ...

I just voted Lisa lots of times up to now, but now I'm panicking and thinking of voting a few Hira and David each!!!!!

[Showstopper]

Originally posted by loomy
I don't think that it's a clear cut as marcus vs freddie and siavash vs freddie because I'm not sure people are going to revert to voting Freddie. No one has nommed him for a few weeks now I can't see them suddenly switching back to voting for him. I think it's much moe likely we'll have a couple of 3 way votes e.g. Marcus vs Freddy (maybe) or Siavash vs Lisa with Lisa going. Then after that I can't say how people will vote.

After this week I think Siavash vs Marcus is the most likely outcome next week regardless of whether or not Bea stays

Um were you watching last week? He got nominated (obviously nominations didnt count cause of Siavash and Marcus)

Are you telling me for one second that after the fights of this week with Bea gone, that there is any chance of Lisa and David not nominating him ???

Sophie will nominate him again, and so will Rodrigo

Thats 4 votes already which will see him up

[Showstopper]

Originally posted by AhmedFan2004

Interesting, in your opinion if I want to get Bea out, should I split my votes up more between Lisa/David (and maybe Hira?)

I was going to just put them all on Lisa to ensure the worst outcome is least likely to occur (her going), but I may split them up.

If it's going to be close ...

Its pointless to vote for Lisa now. She is only 4th fav to go. IF you want Bea out (which I still feel is a mistake if you support Fred, marcus, or Siavash but how and ever) you should be voting for Hira and David

[Showstopper]

Originally posted by Claymores

I just voted Lisa lots of times up to now, but now I'm panicking and thinking of voting a few Hira and David each!!!!!

Why were you voting for Lisa if you had money on David????

Surely you should have been voting for Bea as she is fav to go