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Old 25-10-2012, 04:47 PM #1
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Default UK economy returns to growth with help from Olympics...

The UK economy emerged from recession in the three months from July to September, helped by the Olympic Games.

The economy grew by 1.0%, according to official gross domestic product figures (GDP), which measure the value of everything produced in the country.

The Office for National Statistics said that Olympic ticket sales had added 0.2 percentage points to the figures.

The figures are welcome news for business and ministers, said the BBC's economics editor Stephanie Flanders.

"The positive 'surprise' in these figures is largely to be found in the service sector, which is estimated to have grown by 1.3% in the third quarter, after shrinking by 0.1% in the three months before," she said.

The data also exceeded expectations from economists, who had predicted an increase of 0.6% in the quarter.

'Right track'

The economy had been in recession for the previous nine months and has still not recovered the levels of output seen before the financial crisis in 2008.

The ONS said that beyond the effect of ticket sales, it was hard to put an exact figure on the Olympic effect, although it cited increased hotel and restaurant activity in London as well as strength from employment agencies.

The GDP figures were also enhanced by comparison with the previous three months, because the second quarter had an extra public holiday as part of the Diamond Jubilee celebrations in June, as well as unusually bad weather, which reduced growth.

"There is still a long way to go, but these figures show we are on the right track," said Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne.

"Yesterday's weak data from the eurozone were a reminder that we still face many economic challenges at home and abroad."

Shadow chancellor Ed Balls praised the news but said that the figures "show that underlying growth remains weak".

"A one-off boost from the Olympics is welcome," he said. "But it is no substitute for a plan to secure and sustain the strong recovery that Britain desperately needs if we are to create jobs, get the deficit down and make people better off."

David Cameron: "We're on the right track"
The data is a preliminary estimate from the ONS, meaning that the third-quarter figures could be revised higher or lower.

"While the news is positive, the estimate must be put in context," said David Kern, chief economist at the British Chambers of Commerce.

"The 1% GDP figure for the third quarter is affected by distortions in the second quarter due to the Jubilee and Olympic ticket sales. Compared to a year earlier, the figures show that the economy is stagnant."

The ONS said that the economy had contracted by 6.4% between the start of 2008 and the middle of 2009, and had since recovered about half of that output.

The level of output in the third quarter of 2012 was almost exactly the same as it had been in the third quarter of 2011.
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Old 25-10-2012, 04:48 PM #2
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Good

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Old 25-10-2012, 07:25 PM #3
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Yes I hope we Keep Growing.


Of course the Ford Shut Downs in 2 locations is bad news
but they are Expanding in other UK places.

"The giant Unite union accused Ford of ‘betraying its loyal workforce"

As for that UK Union
Ford did not want this
but it a Global choice.



http://www.dailymail.co.uk/money/mar...eet-gloom.html

Debenhams plans 17 new stores.

Last edited by arista; 25-10-2012 at 07:31 PM.
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Old 25-10-2012, 07:27 PM #4
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does this mean i can go on the dole?
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Old 25-10-2012, 07:29 PM #5
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NO
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Old 25-10-2012, 07:31 PM #6
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About time, no doubt some other country in Europe will bring us back down soon.
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Old 25-10-2012, 07:38 PM #7
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Will reserve judgement until the next figures I think...but gotta say its looking good so far.

Agree with ben, we seriously need out of the EU.
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Old 25-10-2012, 08:28 PM #8
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Yeah, I think the Olympics revenue etc may have given a slightly false rise this period tbh....hope I'm wrong it's time we had some positive news
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Old 25-10-2012, 08:30 PM #9
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One swallow doesn't make a Summer.

However it is good at last that we are out of recession, a recession though that we should never have been in anyway in the first place had the small recovery and growth already in place after the last election not been choked off by the policies of the Coalition.

Of course this is good news and I personally hope it is not just an Olympics bounce and that we see dreary figures for the next quarter again or the one after that too.
We are far from being anything like out of the woods but at least a few chopped down trees has created a small clearing.

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Old 26-10-2012, 01:37 AM #10
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http://www.channel4.com/news/recessi...d-to-end-today

Quote:
The National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) estimates that output grew by 0.8 per cent in the third quarter of 2012.

But it says this "robust" growth is "largely an artefact of special events" and that growth is likely to be "at a significantly slower pace in the coming quarters". As such, it believes underlying growth is likely to be 0.2-0.3 per cent.

The economy has been damaged by months of negative growth and the NIESR does not expect gross national product to reach 2008 levels until 2014.
Quote:
The recession and inflation have taken their toll on living standards, according to research from the ONS published on Tuesday.

The ONS said incomes fell by more than 13 per cent this year compared to the start of the recession four years ago.
That's incomes for basic rate tax-payers, course - higher rate tax-payers were not affected and additional rate tax-payers got loadsamoney to offset inflation so they buy new mansions and SUVS .....
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Old 26-10-2012, 02:37 AM #11
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the biggest threat to the economy is credit scorers like experian who are wrongly being entrusted with scoring 20 million+ people. the credit scorers are watching everyone and judging everyone, but who is judging them? I know for a fact their scoring system is totally and utterly out of whack, unbalanced and outdated. This is the single biggest issue in the UK today and is of course being ignored. were busy talking about beckham, syria and sadly that dirty pervert jimmy saville.
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