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Old 23-10-2015, 12:28 PM #1
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Default Strongest cyclone "ever" to hit Mexico

Hurricane Patricia: Mexico awaits 'strongest ever' storm
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-34614864

This thing is insane. It's stronger than the previous strongest ever, Haiyan that hit the Philippines in 2013. That made landfall with sustained winds of 195mph. Patricia has reached sustained winds of 200mph!!!
The Mexican officials are saying that a "catastrophic" landfall is very likely.

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Old 23-10-2015, 12:35 PM #2
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Rob this has been addressed in The LT Weather Centre. Its the strongest hurricane in the Pacific. As its your birthday eve I shall let this pass with no infraction.
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Old 23-10-2015, 12:37 PM #3
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Eeep! I hope the predictions are wrong
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Old 23-10-2015, 12:44 PM #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LeatherTrumpet View Post
Rob this has been addressed in The LT Weather Centre. Its the strongest hurricane in the Pacific. As its your birthday eve I shall let this pass with no infraction.
Thanks. You're generosity personified
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Old 23-10-2015, 12:45 PM #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kizzy View Post
Eeep! I hope the predictions are wrong
It's horrendous. Plus, conditions around the storm, sea surface temperatures, wind shear, dry air etc are favourable enough for it to strengthen even further!!
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Old 23-10-2015, 12:48 PM #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LeatherTrumpet View Post
Rob this has been addressed in The LT Weather Centre. Its the strongest hurricane in the Pacific. As its your birthday eve I shall let this pass with no infraction.
Is it not the strongest anywhere ever though? The Atlantic hasn't had a hurricane hit these levels ever and the Pacific is where the monster cyclones tend to form?
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Old 23-10-2015, 12:59 PM #7
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Winds measured at 221 mph!
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Old 23-10-2015, 01:02 PM #8
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I've never been able to understand how they fly planes into these things to measure the wind speed and pressure. Like how do the planes not crash?
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Old 23-10-2015, 01:13 PM #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rob! View Post
Is it not the strongest anywhere ever though? The Atlantic hasn't had a hurricane hit these levels ever and the Pacific is where the monster cyclones tend to form?
It could be once it has ended and the data has been checked and verified. Latest warnings below:


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

000
WTPZ45 KNHC 230834
TCDEP5

HURRICANE PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202015
400 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2015

Data from three center fixes by the Hurricane Hunters indicate
that the intensity, based on a blend of 700 mb-flight level and
SFMR-observed surface winds, is near 175 kt. This makes Patricia
the strongest hurricane on record in the National Hurricane Center's
area of responsibility (AOR) which includes the Atlantic and the
eastern North Pacific basins.
The minimum central pressure
estimated from the aircraft data, 880 mb, is the lowest ever for
our AOR. It seems incredible that even more strengthening could
occur before landfall later today, but recent microwave imagery
shows hints of a concentric eyewall developing. If the trend
toward an eyewall replacement continues, it would cause the
intensity to at least level off later today. The official forecast
shows only a little more strengthening before landfall. Given the
very mountainous terrain that Patricia should encounter after
landfall, the cyclone should weaken even faster over land than
predicted by the normal inland decay rate.

Recent center fixes show that the hurricane is gradually turning
toward the right, and the initial motion estimate is 340/10 kt. The
track forecast scenario remains about the same. Patricia should
continue to move around the western periphery of a mid-level
anticyclone today and turn north-northeastward ahead of a trough to
the northwest tonight and Saturday. The official track forecast is
somewhat slower than the latest model consensus and lies between
the GFS and ECMWF solutions.

The global models continue to depict the development of a cyclone
near the Texas coast over the weekend. Based on the predicted
upper-level winds, this system should be non-tropical in nature.
However this cyclone is expected to draw significant amounts of
moisture from Patricia's remnants, and could result in locally
heavy rainfall over portions of the northwestern Gulf of Mexico
coastal area within the next few days. Refer to statements from
local National Weather Service forecast offices for details.

We would like to acknowledge deeply the Air Force Hurricane Hunters
for their observations establishing Patricia as a record-breaking
hurricane. Clearly, without their data, we would never have known
just how strong a tropical cyclone it was.

KEY MESSAGES:

1. Confidence is high that Patricia will make landfall in the
hurricane warning area along the coast of Mexico as an extremely
dangerous category 5 hurricane this afternoon or evening.
Preparations to protect life and property in the hurricane warning
area should have been completed, or rushed to completion, as
tropical storm conditions are beginning to affect the area.
Residents in low-lying areas near the coast in the hurricane warning
area should evacuate immediately, since the storm surge could be
catastrophic near and to the east of where the center makes
landfall.

2. In addition to the coastal impacts, very heavy rainfall is
likely to cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides in the
Mexican states of Jalisco, Colima, Michoacan and Guerrero continuing
into Saturday.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh...l/230834.shtml
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Old 23-10-2015, 01:15 PM #10
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http://www.webcamsdemexico.com/videos.php?streams=1

live cams

http://www.webcamsdemexico.com/video...I8-Q&streams=1

Last edited by Crimson Dynamo; 23-10-2015 at 01:16 PM.
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Old 23-10-2015, 01:33 PM #11
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It looks lovely, and very calm at the moment, is everyone leaving the area then?
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Old 23-10-2015, 01:49 PM #12
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Quote:
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It looks lovely, and very calm at the moment, is everyone leaving the area then?
A cat 5 is coming if they dont they will certainly die so yes
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Old 23-10-2015, 02:00 PM #13
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those are tents in that live cam at the hotel, don't think they will last long if that area is going to be on the path
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Old 23-10-2015, 02:13 PM #14
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There's a lot of traffic leaving the city...
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Old 23-10-2015, 02:16 PM #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LeatherTrumpet View Post
Winds measured at 221 mph!

Yes they need Solid Paddles that can take High Speed Winds
to then get free Electricity stored
for later on.


Make use of Nature
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Old 23-10-2015, 02:22 PM #16
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welp the beach camera has now stopped
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Old 23-10-2015, 02:28 PM #17
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Old 23-10-2015, 02:53 PM #18
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It's not very windy though is it?....
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Old 23-10-2015, 02:56 PM #19
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Quote:
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welp the beach camera has now stopped

Sure they did not put in Concrete
with Underground connecting.
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Old 23-10-2015, 03:27 PM #20
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The strongest hurricane in the Atlantic was Hurricane Wilma back in 2005 at 882 millibars. This (Hurricane Patricia) is the strongest hurricane in the eastern Pacific and strongest in the Western Hemisphere.
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- Aly & AJ • "What It Feels Like"
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Old 23-10-2015, 03:41 PM #21
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http://www.puertovallarta.net/intera...rge-webcam.php

wonder how long this will last
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Old 23-10-2015, 03:50 PM #22
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After Mexico
Texas is Expecting Floods


Ref: FoxNewsHD
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Old 23-10-2015, 03:56 PM #23
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Horrific
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Old 23-10-2015, 03:59 PM #24
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The beach camera is on again!
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Old 23-10-2015, 04:00 PM #25
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..imagine those people all leaving and not knowing if they'll ever see their homes again or how long it might be that they're without a home../it's just so hard to conceive...
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