[bitontheslide]

Originally Posted by kirklancaster

[/B]

What an EXCELLENT point Ammi - If Trump is so bad, then WHY isn't Hilary a country mile ahead in the polls? And if he is as bad as she - and others - claim, then the fact that it really is such a close run thing, speaks volumes about the US public's very poor perception of Hilary.

As I think that they are both crud, that realisation kind of comforts me.

this is why i don't think Hilary will win, she is the first potential woman president, not dissimilar in breaking ground to Obama a few years ago. Where is the enthusiasm and optimism for it. There's absolutely none. I think if I was anti Clinton in the states I would be saying i was undecided and then come polling day put in a sneaky vote for Trump. That will gather votes, how many, I don't know, but probably enough for him to win.

[Brother Leon]

Hilary is ahead by 11 on the polls. She will win comfortably. Maybe not as comfortable as it should, and she most likely would have lost against anyone else from GOP, but a comfortable win regardless.

[jaxie]

I did think it might have been Trump but the recent recordings might just give Hilary the win. I don't think either candidate is up to leading the free world.

[Jamie89]

I was starting to feel more confident about a Hillary win after Trump slipped further recently but I read an article saying how that could actually go against her which made me think. It was based on the fact that a large number of people who are planning to vote for Hillary are doing so simply to stop Trump, not because they feel passionately about her, so the bigger the gap between them in the polls that are published, the less likely it is they will be motivated to turn out. And apparently around half of Clinton's supporter's primary reason for wanting her to win is to stop Trump (I don't know how reliable that is though, it was just part of the article).

[bitontheslide]

Originally Posted by Jamie89

I was starting to feel more confident about a Hillary win after Trump slipped further recently but I read an article saying how that could actually go against her which made me think. It was based on the fact that a large number of people who are planning to vote for Hillary are doing so simply to stop Trump, not because they feel passionately about her, so the bigger the gap between them in the polls that are published, the less likely it is they will be motivated to turn out. And apparently around half of Clinton's supporter's primary reason for wanting her to win is to stop Trump (I don't know how reliable that is though, it was just part of the article).

i think there is a lot of accuracy in that. Those supporting trump are most like to get out and vote, and in the winter time, its a significant factor.