[dbh-g]

The betting odds on William Hill:

1. Sam & Amanda

2. Brian

3. Liam

4. Carole

5. Ziggy

6. Jonty


The betting odds on Paddy Power:

1. Sam & Amanda

2. Brian

3. Liam

4. Ziggy

5. Jonty

6. Carole

Which do you think is more accurate? Personally I don't think that Carole may possibly come fifth but no way fourth.

[dbh-g]

Soz meant to say i think Carole may get fifth but no way fourth.

[CassetteFinger]

Yeah she will either finish above or below ziggy.

[Terpsichore]

You can't expect win odds to mean much in the lower part of the table. No one lower than Liam has any realistic chance of winning, and the odds for Carole, Ziggy & Jonty will vary quite a lot from bookie to bookie, because they're not putting much thought into it. Basically those odds are there as bait for the occasional mug punter.

If any bookies are offering bets on "last 4" it would be a different thing. Then they'd think more carefully about the odds, and you might expect the odds on Ziggy and Carole to reflect their popularity more accurately.

Interesting to see that the number of bookies offering BB bets has halved since yesterday. Some of them have taken fright with the run of bets on the Twins. Rather than shorten the odds still further, they've just shut down.

[bananarama]

They showed some of the odds on todays BBLB. Don't know where they got the odds for the twins and Brian as they had little resemblance to the odds now showing on betting sites

[CassetteFinger]

Why what odds did they show on bblb was it odds that had them closer than they actually are.

[bananarama]

Originally posted by Rice_Square
Why what odds did they show on bblb was it odds that had them closer than they actually are.

Yes....They showed them closer They weren't in decimal but Brian was put at 2/1 If I remember correctly Which I think means Ł2 for every Ł1 bet if he won

The twins were ahead think they were 3/5

At present the typical odds are

Twins 1.44
Brian 3.25

[CassetteFinger]

They probably show the best odds brian has out of all bookies and the best odds samanda have out of all the bookies.

[Terpsichore]

I believe the odds they showed were 2/7. I think that was a mistake, and should have been 3/7. In decimal odds that comes out as 1.42, which was about right yesterday. Today, however, it's dropped still further, and is now below 1.4.

The bookies who I mentioned in my last post as shutting up shop today have now re-opened. A momentary loss of bottle on their part. Crazy times.

The warning I gave in another thread about how bookies odds can distort the true picture still holds good. Also, there are BB tricks in the pipeline whose results are unknown at present. But it isn't out of thequestion that the twins could find themselves out of the house as a result of some dirty trick on BB's part. They have broken so many of their own rules this series that I wouldn't put it past them to pull something really controversial in the hunt for more ratings. But if the twins fall victim to it, it could backfire on BB disastrously (as well as costing me a lot of money).

[CassetteFinger]

O docimal odds confuse me.

[KKBL]

the BBLB odds were from paddy power as paddy power is the officiall BB and C4 bookies!!

[CassetteFinger]

Really but on the website hes 2-1 :S

[Wiglet]

Twinies are currently 4/9, Brian 2/1, Liam 12/1 with the other three 50/1 rank outsiders with Paddy power.

Most bookies are keeping Carole, Jonty and Ziggy around 50/1 and 80/1 although I have seen one with Jonty at 66/1 and Carole and Ziggy further out at 75/1 and another with Carole and Ziggy at 50/1 and Jonty at 100/1. That particular bookie is not taking bets on Samanda anymore so must be pretty certain on a win?

Is it worth a flutter on Jonty at 100/1!

twin to win
ziggy to come 6th
i dont care about what happens in the middle

[bananarama]

Originally posted by Rice_Square
Really but on the website hes 2-1 :S

Paddypower have the odds

Twins 1.44
Brian 3.0

Translated for each Ł if the twins win you get 44p profit
If Brian wins you get Ł2.0 profit

Also your originak stake of Ł1 back

[Wiglet]

I'm looking at Paddypower but I have it in 'old money'!

4/9 twinies and 2/1 Brian.

Banarama, how are you getting the decimal odds?

[Terpsichore]

I've just looked at the recording I made this morning of BBLB and the odds given were 4/9, which is about right.

The way to get decimal odds is to do the division and get the decimal result - 4/9= 0.44 - and then add 1. So 4/9 in decimal odds is 1.44.

The reason for the +1 is that decimal odds always shows your stake, whereas fractional odds only shows the winnings. Decimal odds shows your total return, stake plus winnings. On a Ł1 bet the return is Ł1+Ł0.44=Ł1.44

[Sticks]

In the conventional format of x to y, this means you have to put on Ły to earn Łx

So with the odds given for the twins (4 - 9) you have to put on Ł9 to win Ł4

With Brian, you put on Ł1 to win Ł2

[CassetteFinger]

Originally posted by ☺♥BB5♥☻&
twin to win
ziggy to come 6th
i dont care about what happens in the middle

I agree 20000000% samanda to win ziggy out first on friday wipe that smug smile of his face.

[12bigbrother12]

Twins T'win!

[Terpsichore]

Both Brian and Liam are drifting oddswise, while twins are still advancing. They've put a big gap now between themselves and the other two main contenders. The average on oddscheckers about two hours ago was 1.37 for twins, 3.19 for Brian, 12.4 for Liam. But the twins odds are mostly showing blue (which signifies that odds are still shortening even as we speak), while Liam and Brian are showing mostly pink, which signifies odds still lengthening. What that means is that in a few hours the twins will be even further ahead, and might even go below 1.3 in the next 24 hours. I can't remember the odds for Pete in the final days last year, but I don't think they were much shorter than the twins have now. These are close to landslide figures.

[Sticks]

To be blunt, it looks like the twins are slipping

It looks like their odds are lengthening again

As anyone got a betting odds history so we can see if there is a trend here.

[alex123]

i still have faith in liam com'on lad
________
YAMAHA XVS1100

[dazza91]

Originally posted by Sticks
To be blunt, it looks like the twins are slipping

It looks like their odds are lengthening again

Of course they are

Coming from the person who said they were a definite to get evicted when they were up

[Sticks]

Originally posted by dazza91
Of course they are

Coming from the person who said they were a definite to get evicted when they were up

Only because I sounded the fire bell

It still could have happened, as it was a mathematical possibility then