[Sticks]

This thread is NOT for discussing the merits of the various housemates, but for reporting the current eviction betting odds at the book makers


From OLBG as of 10 June 2008

Stephanie 1/2
Mario 10/3
Lisa 4/1
Luke 22/1


A number of companies compared

Therefore according to the bookies, Stephanie is favourite for the first eviction, followed by Mario

[Matt10k]

If only I had the bottle to place a huge bet on steph who appears to be a near certainty...

[Matt]

Betting Topic:

http://www.thisisbigbrother.com/foru....php?tid=83708

[arista]

Yes it was all over Corals window.


Trouble is I want to bet Luke goes
and he is going.

[GiRTh]

Some bookies have Mario down to 2-1. I hope he starts getting a bad edit so it becomes more of a two horse race for Friday.

[JadeLauren_x]

i dont get how odds work

[GiRTh]

The person with the shortest odds is the favourite to be evicted. So at the moment its Steph.

[JadeLauren_x]

Originally posted by GiRTh
The person with the shortest odds is the favourite to be evicted. So at the moment its Steph.

ohh right! thanks

[Matt10k]

Originally posted by JadeLauren_x
i dont get how odds work

If the first number is high in relation to the second number, there is a low chance of them leaving, if it's the other way around there is a high chance.

E.g. Steph is 1-2 meaning she is very likely to leave. If you put Ł2 on her you'd only get Ł1 back, hence 1-2.

Luke is 22-1 so if you put Ł1 on him, you'd get Ł22. If you put Ł2, you'd get Ł44 etc because the bookies think he is very unlikely to leave...

[GiRTh]

Originally posted by Matt10k
If the first number is high in relation to the second number, there is a low chance of them leaving, if it's the other way around there is a high chance.

E.g. Steph is 1-2 meaning she is very likely to leave. If you put Ł2 on her you'd only get Ł1 back, hence 1-2.

Luke is 22-1 so if you put Ł1 on him, you'd get Ł22. If you put Ł2, you'd get Ł44 etc because the bookies think he is very unlikely to leave...

Good explanation.

[JadeLauren_x]

Originally posted by Matt10k

If the first number is high in relation to the second number, there is a low chance of them leaving, if it's the other way around there is a high chance.

E.g. Steph is 1-2 meaning she is very likely to leave. If you put Ł2 on her you'd only get Ł1 back, hence 1-2.

Luke is 22-1 so if you put Ł1 on him, you'd get Ł22. If you put Ł2, you'd get Ł44 etc because the bookies think he is very unlikely to leave...

ahhh! okay! thank you i understand now! i have my moments

[*mazedsalv**]

There could be a possibility Mario could go because odds are very wrong these days. But i still think Steph will go, but I dont want her to.

[Matt10k]

Steph is now 2-5, Mario 2-1 on paddy power, so she's still hot fave to go...

[goroos1994]

WOW!

Steph 2.
Mario 2.3 on betfair

[Matt10k]

Originally posted by goroos1994
WOW!

Steph 2.
Mario 2.3 on betfair

Are you sure? I have Steph at 13-18 and Mario at 32-21 on betfair:

http://www.oddschecker.com/specials/...first-eviction

[Moses455]

Yes, on betfair, Stephanie is favourite to be evicted, but only just. 13-18 as opposed to Mario at 32-21.
But on William Hill, they are neck and neck at 10/11 each. It really could go either way, but I see Mario now being evicted, as the voting tide has turned against him. Lisa and Luke are not even in the running.

[Sticks]

It now seems that Mario is the first to go according to the betting odds.

(See links in my previous post)

[Cheryl-cole-hottie]

so it is basically a two horse race between mario and steph

[Sticks]

It is almost like BB3 when the four up were Kate Johnny Jade and Adele

Everyone thought Jade would go, but then Adele sneaked through and got one of the highest eviction votes ever at that time.

[Sticks]

According to OLBG

Rebecca 1/3
Mario 9/4

It also says

Odds Suggest Mario Is Going

Mario is now 4/9 with Coral and SkyBet to be evicted on Friday whilst Rebecca is 2/1 to go with Stan James. Mario has possibly been the housemate with the most varied popularity. His odds to win BB9 have changed massively from week to week and just when he seems to be building some popularity for himself he normally goes and says something stupid which makes the public dislike him again. His odds to win the show doubled yesterday from 33/1 to 66/1 which is available at Paddy Power and SkyBet.

The usual rule of thumb is that when it is a man versus a woman, according to the YEF effect, the woman gets evicted.