Bookies: 84% chance of Rylan winning. Thursday update

[Withano]

These are the odds shown as a percentage of winning the show:

SaturdaySundayMondayTuesdayWednesThursday
61.48% 59.33% 54.09% 64.76% 61.03% 84.44% Rylan
10.24% 10.96% 05.98% 06.22% 06.76% 07.34% Speidi
11.52% 07.76% 05.28% 04.44% 04.19% 04.15% Razor
01.64% 01.39% 02.19% 02.27% 02.59% 02.65% Claire
02.71% 01.82% 02.19% 01.83% 01.31% 01.42% Ryan
08.38% 15.52% 27.63% 18.65% 21.97% 00.00% Tricia
04.01% 03.21% 02.64% 01.83% 02.15% 00.00% Frankie

[BigBrotherfan4ever]

Can't believe more people are putting more money on Tricia than Frankie.:conf:

[JTM45]

It's a sad thing for Britian if 61% of the viewers are voting for Rylan!
The guy's a Towie reject pleb.

[Marcus.]

claire awwww:love:

i would be alright with that

[Kizzy]

Rylan has more charisma than all those dorks put together! My money is on him :love:

[MrWong]

Rylan 61.48%
Razor 11.52%
Speidi 10.24%
Tricia 8.38%
Frankie 4.01%
Ryan 2.71%
Claire 1.64%

I'll update this tomorrow, the gap between Rylan, Speidi and Razor is closing up

If the housemates ignore Speidi over this latest task they could pick up the sympathy/underdog votes.

They'll definitely feature in the majority of the highlights this week if that happens. More exposure, more votes. :thumbs:

[chuff me dizzy]

Rylan 61.48%
Razor 11.52%
Speidi 10.24%
Tricia 8.38%
Frankie 4.01%
Ryan 2.71%
Claire 1.64%

I'll update this tomorrow, the gap between Rylan, Speidi and Razor is closing up

WTF have you concocted this load of rubbish up from ?

[Withano]

WTF have you concocted this load of rubbish up from ?

Converting total odds into a percentage form... Learn Maths..

[Withano]

If the housemates ignore Speidi over this latest task they could pick up the sympathy/underdog votes.

They'll definitely feature in the majority of the highlights this week if that happens. More exposure, more votes. :thumbs:

The bookies are wrong a lot nowadays, I don't think punters have got used to the vote to save. Its gonna be close!

[JeanP!]

Converting total odds into a percentage form... Learn Maths..

How???

[Black Dagger]

It's a sad thing for Britian if 61% of the viewers are voting for Rylan!
The guy's a Towie reject pleb.

Pretty sure he rejected them :pipe:

[Withano]

How???

winnings = 0.5+7+8+10+22+33+55=135.5
plus £1 bet = 1.5+8+9+11+23+34+56=142.5
142.5/each total=95,17.81,15.83,12.95,6.2,4.19,2.54
add each total together=154.52
154.52/ans*100=percentage

[Ramsay]

Pretty sure he rejected them :pipe:

BOOM

[Claymores]

WTF have you concocted this load of rubbish up from ?

Exactly chuff - which bookies? it would mean taking all the odds from all the bookies then weighting which bookies have £1000s on the outcome rather than the pissy wee ones who will change odds if a housewife stakes 50p....yada...yada..yada.......................... .I'd love to see the Excel spreadsheet and the formula he used to come-up with this pish!

[Sophiee]

I'm surprised speidi are so high, I don't see them coming second for a minute.

WTF have you concocted this load of rubbish up from ?
:laugh:

[elliebrew]

It's a sad thing for Britian if 61% of the viewers are voting for Rylan!
The guy's a Towie reject pleb.

As apposed to Speidi who are 'the hills' rejects :rolleyes:

[Claymores]

winnings = 0.5+7+8+10+22+33+55=135.5
plus £1 bet = 1.5+8+9+11+23+34+56=142.5
142.5/each total=95,17.81,15.83,12.95,6.2,4.19,2.54
add each total together=154.52
154.52/ans*100=percentage
Oh you do make me laff sprog - you have a surefire formula there :hugesmile::hugesmile::hugesmile::hugesmile::huges mile:

[Withano]

Oh you do make me laff sprog - you have a surefire formula there :hugesmile::hugesmile::hugesmile::hugesmile::huges mile:

I do a similar thing for a living, your attempt at condescension is embarrassing for you.

[Claymores]

I do a similar thing for a living, your attempt and condescension is embarrassing for you.

I'm sure you are very successful with your exacting formulas hahahahaha.........explain again how you know the sums which have been placed with the majors so as to differentiate between the whole market and the lesser "bookies".

Then how you score the weighting and factor-in the trading markets which play to screw punters oot o money irrepective of who wins using the market moves.

Your percentage is quite frankly the funniest crap I've ever read here - is your name really Nick Leeson perchance?

Can't wait for tomorrows updates, I'm entralled sprog

[Claymores]

Converting total odds into a percentage form... Learn Maths..
Learn the frigging market sprog - learn where the money is lying and where it is moving - your innocence and naiivity make me laff Mr Nick Leeson.

[Withano]

I'm sure you are very successful with your exacting formulas hahahahaha.........explain again how you know the sums which have been placed with the majors so as to differentiate between the whole market and the lesser "bookies".

Then how you score the weighting and factor-in the trading markets which play to screw punters oot o money irrepective of who wins using the market moves.

Your percentage is quite frankly the funniest crap I've ever read here - is your name really Nick Leeson perchance?

Can't wait for tomorrows updates, I'm entralled sprog

Just because you're to thick to understand it doesn't make it wrong... I've converted the best odds from across the board into percentage forms.

[Claymores]

Converting total odds into a percentage form... Learn Maths..

Who are you using in total odds? top 10, top 50, independants? How do you adjust for volume and trading on the markets? how do you do the adjustments over time since money placement? If you have cracked all this you deserve a prize and you'll be richer than Nick Leeson soon.

[Claymores]

Just because you're to thick to understand it doesn't make it wrong... I've converted the best odds from across the board into percentage forms.

hahahahahahaha - you do make me giggle sprog - stick with the maths 'o' level tho

[Claymores]

winnings = 0.5+7+8+10+22+33+55=135.5
plus £1 bet = 1.5+8+9+11+23+34+56=142.5
142.5/each total=95,17.81,15.83,12.95,6.2,4.19,2.54
add each total together=154.52
154.52/ans*100=percentage

I just luvs the £1 bet bit sprog. When I was serious aboots BB betting I'd place £3000 a time to shift the market one way or another then retrade that bet back - I once moved an outsider in young BB from 8/1 to odds-on just by placing money @ 7am then resold the bets for an instant profit with no risk - that bit me a little as the kid from Scotland actually won so the total of £3k + £3k + £2k that I used just to move the market would have been bang tidy if I hadn't resold the bets!

[Withano]

I just luvs the £1 bet bit sprog. When I was serious aboots BB betting I'd place £3000 a time to shift the market one way or another then retrade that bet back - I once moved an outsider in young BB from 8/1 to odds-on just by placing money @ 7am then resold the bets for an instant profit with no risk - that bit me a little as the kid from Scotland actually won so the total of £3k + £3k + £2k that I used just to move the market would have been bang tidy if I hadn't resold the bets!

I converted the winnings per pound into a percentage form for each housemate. You were embarrassing yourself when you couldn't work out this pretty simple sum. It's time to pipe down now. You're talking about something completely different to everybody else on this forum.

[Claymores]

I converted the winnings per pound into a percentage form for each housemate. You were embarrassing yourself when you couldn't work out this pretty simple sum. It's time to pipe down now. You're talking about something completely different to everybody else on this forum.

do you mean gambling odds and how the gambling market moves/can be moved sprog? you are a hoot - can't wait until tomorrows update!

[Withano]

do you mean gambling odds and how the gambling market moves/can be moved sprog? you are a hoot - can't wait until tomorrows update!

You are the only person talking about this, you have misinterpreted the pretty simple thread.. This is simply each housemates best odds from across the board shown as a percentage of winning the show. I don't know why this has confused you or why you felt the need to share a ****ing life story but you bored the hell out of me.

[Claymores]

You are the only person talking about this, you have misinterpreted the pretty simple thread.. This is simply each housemates best odds from across the board shown as a percentage of winning the show. I don't know why this has confused you or why you felt the need to share a ****ing life story but you bored the hell out of me.

It's because as chuff said - you're talking complete pish converting gambling odds into 'a % bookies say'

It is less than helpful, it is dumb schoolboy misinformation borne out of an o grade. It has nothing to do with the gambling market or the prevailing odds by any given major or minor.

It is like counting the clouds in the sky and deducing there is a 61% chance of rain.

It's dumb, childish and unhelpful. The indicator you should have given is to quote the odds.

[wendywillow]

wow, claire from steps stock has dropped

[Jord]

As apposed to Speidi who are 'the hills' rejects :rolleyes:

Yeah, that makes sense...

[jet]

I think the bookies have it about right on how the average punter will vote.
If it was up to me either Rylan or Speidi would win (don't mind either way), Razor would be 3rd and Ryan 4th.

[Semtex]

He'd won before he went in, bouncing like an orange turd to fame supplied by a ever decreasing circle of viewer intellect and production manipulation.

I think that the only way is Genocide...........In Essex.

[Withano]

Have no idea why Tricia has gone up so much overnight

[Withano]

Getting even closer between Rylan and Tricia, bookies think nobody else stands a chance though

[Withano]

Rylan has won it

[KingBilly]

At least Speidi are top 3.

[Withano]

:( Not even close

[MrWong]

Take comfort from the fact that they aren't always right.

They had Tricia as 2nd fave.

Thus, the bookies can kiss my arris! :D