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CBB11 Celebrity Big Brother 11 on Channel 5, shown January 2013. Discuss here.

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Old 19-01-2013, 07:17 PM #1
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Default Bookies: 84% chance of Rylan winning. Thursday update

These are the odds shown as a percentage of winning the show:

SaturdaySundayMondayTuesdayWednesThursday
61.48% 59.33% 54.09% 64.76% 61.03% 84.44% Rylan
10.24% 10.96% 05.98% 06.22% 06.76% 07.34% Speidi
11.52% 07.76% 05.28% 04.44% 04.19% 04.15% Razor
01.64% 01.39% 02.19% 02.27% 02.59% 02.65% Claire
02.71% 01.82% 02.19% 01.83% 01.31% 01.42% Ryan
08.38% 15.52% 27.63% 18.65% 21.97% 00.00% Tricia
04.01% 03.21% 02.64% 01.83% 02.15% 00.00% Frankie
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Old 19-01-2013, 07:24 PM #2
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Can't believe more people are putting more money on Tricia than Frankie.
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Old 19-01-2013, 07:27 PM #3
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It's a sad thing for Britian if 61% of the viewers are voting for Rylan!
The guy's a Towie reject pleb.
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Old 19-01-2013, 07:28 PM #4
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claire awwww

i would be alright with that
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Old 19-01-2013, 07:39 PM #5
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Rylan has more charisma than all those dorks put together! My money is on him
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Old 19-01-2013, 07:44 PM #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BigBrother3232 View Post
Rylan 61.48%
Razor 11.52%
Speidi 10.24%
Tricia 8.38%
Frankie 4.01%
Ryan 2.71%
Claire 1.64%

I'll update this tomorrow, the gap between Rylan, Speidi and Razor is closing up
If the housemates ignore Speidi over this latest task they could pick up the sympathy/underdog votes.

They'll definitely feature in the majority of the highlights this week if that happens. More exposure, more votes.
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Old 19-01-2013, 07:45 PM #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BigBrother3232 View Post
Rylan 61.48%
Razor 11.52%
Speidi 10.24%
Tricia 8.38%
Frankie 4.01%
Ryan 2.71%
Claire 1.64%

I'll update this tomorrow, the gap between Rylan, Speidi and Razor is closing up
WTF have you concocted this load of rubbish up from ?
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Old 19-01-2013, 07:51 PM #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chuff me dizzy View Post
WTF have you concocted this load of rubbish up from ?
Converting total odds into a percentage form... Learn Maths..
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Old 19-01-2013, 07:52 PM #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MrWong View Post
If the housemates ignore Speidi over this latest task they could pick up the sympathy/underdog votes.

They'll definitely feature in the majority of the highlights this week if that happens. More exposure, more votes.
The bookies are wrong a lot nowadays, I don't think punters have got used to the vote to save. Its gonna be close!
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Old 19-01-2013, 07:55 PM #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BigBrother3232 View Post
Converting total odds into a percentage form... Learn Maths..
How???
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Old 19-01-2013, 08:04 PM #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JTM45 View Post
It's a sad thing for Britian if 61% of the viewers are voting for Rylan!
The guy's a Towie reject pleb.
Pretty sure he rejected them
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Old 19-01-2013, 08:15 PM #12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JeanP! View Post
How???
winnings = 0.5+7+8+10+22+33+55=135.5
plus £1 bet = 1.5+8+9+11+23+34+56=142.5
142.5/each total=95,17.81,15.83,12.95,6.2,4.19,2.54
add each total together=154.52
154.52/ans*100=percentage
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Old 19-01-2013, 08:16 PM #13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Black Dagger View Post
Pretty sure he rejected them
BOOM
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Old 19-01-2013, 08:26 PM #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chuff me dizzy View Post
WTF have you concocted this load of rubbish up from ?
Exactly chuff - which bookies? it would mean taking all the odds from all the bookies then weighting which bookies have £1000s on the outcome rather than the pissy wee ones who will change odds if a housewife stakes 50p....yada...yada..yada.......................... .I'd love to see the Excel spreadsheet and the formula he used to come-up with this pish!
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Old 19-01-2013, 08:26 PM #15
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I'm surprised speidi are so high, I don't see them coming second for a minute.

Quote:
Originally Posted by chuff me dizzy View Post
WTF have you concocted this load of rubbish up from ?
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Old 19-01-2013, 08:27 PM #16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JTM45 View Post
It's a sad thing for Britian if 61% of the viewers are voting for Rylan!
The guy's a Towie reject pleb.
As apposed to Speidi who are 'the hills' rejects
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Old 19-01-2013, 08:30 PM #17
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BigBrother3232 View Post
winnings = 0.5+7+8+10+22+33+55=135.5
plus £1 bet = 1.5+8+9+11+23+34+56=142.5
142.5/each total=95,17.81,15.83,12.95,6.2,4.19,2.54
add each total together=154.52
154.52/ans*100=percentage
Oh you do make me laff sprog - you have a surefire formula there :huges mile:
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Old 19-01-2013, 08:33 PM #18
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Claymores View Post
Oh you do make me laff sprog - you have a surefire formula there :huges mile:
I do a similar thing for a living, your attempt at condescension is embarrassing for you.
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Old 19-01-2013, 08:42 PM #19
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BigBrother3232 View Post
I do a similar thing for a living, your attempt and condescension is embarrassing for you.
I'm sure you are very successful with your exacting formulas hahahahaha.........explain again how you know the sums which have been placed with the majors so as to differentiate between the whole market and the lesser "bookies".

Then how you score the weighting and factor-in the trading markets which play to screw punters oot o money irrepective of who wins using the market moves.

Your percentage is quite frankly the funniest crap I've ever read here - is your name really Nick Leeson perchance?

Can't wait for tomorrows updates, I'm entralled sprog
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Old 19-01-2013, 08:46 PM #20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BigBrother3232 View Post
Converting total odds into a percentage form... Learn Maths..
Learn the frigging market sprog - learn where the money is lying and where it is moving - your innocence and naiivity make me laff Mr Nick Leeson.
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Old 19-01-2013, 08:49 PM #21
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Claymores View Post
I'm sure you are very successful with your exacting formulas hahahahaha.........explain again how you know the sums which have been placed with the majors so as to differentiate between the whole market and the lesser "bookies".

Then how you score the weighting and factor-in the trading markets which play to screw punters oot o money irrepective of who wins using the market moves.

Your percentage is quite frankly the funniest crap I've ever read here - is your name really Nick Leeson perchance?

Can't wait for tomorrows updates, I'm entralled sprog
Just because you're to thick to understand it doesn't make it wrong... I've converted the best odds from across the board into percentage forms.
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Old 19-01-2013, 08:51 PM #22
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BigBrother3232 View Post
Converting total odds into a percentage form... Learn Maths..
Who are you using in total odds? top 10, top 50, independants? How do you adjust for volume and trading on the markets? how do you do the adjustments over time since money placement? If you have cracked all this you deserve a prize and you'll be richer than Nick Leeson soon.
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Old 19-01-2013, 08:52 PM #23
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BigBrother3232 View Post
Just because you're to thick to understand it doesn't make it wrong... I've converted the best odds from across the board into percentage forms.
hahahahahahaha - you do make me giggle sprog - stick with the maths 'o' level tho

Last edited by Claymores; 19-01-2013 at 08:53 PM.
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Old 19-01-2013, 09:07 PM #24
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BigBrother3232 View Post
winnings = 0.5+7+8+10+22+33+55=135.5
plus £1 bet = 1.5+8+9+11+23+34+56=142.5
142.5/each total=95,17.81,15.83,12.95,6.2,4.19,2.54
add each total together=154.52
154.52/ans*100=percentage
I just luvs the £1 bet bit sprog. When I was serious aboots BB betting I'd place £3000 a time to shift the market one way or another then retrade that bet back - I once moved an outsider in young BB from 8/1 to odds-on just by placing money @ 7am then resold the bets for an instant profit with no risk - that bit me a little as the kid from Scotland actually won so the total of £3k + £3k + £2k that I used just to move the market would have been bang tidy if I hadn't resold the bets!
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Old 19-01-2013, 09:14 PM #25
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Claymores View Post
I just luvs the £1 bet bit sprog. When I was serious aboots BB betting I'd place £3000 a time to shift the market one way or another then retrade that bet back - I once moved an outsider in young BB from 8/1 to odds-on just by placing money @ 7am then resold the bets for an instant profit with no risk - that bit me a little as the kid from Scotland actually won so the total of £3k + £3k + £2k that I used just to move the market would have been bang tidy if I hadn't resold the bets!
I converted the winnings per pound into a percentage form for each housemate. You were embarrassing yourself when you couldn't work out this pretty simple sum. It's time to pipe down now. You're talking about something completely different to everybody else on this forum.
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