Small Predictions 2016

[Cal.]

Just another one of these threads to bump in July/August when BB17 ends to see if we were right or not.

Number of Housemates: 16
Late Entrants: No
Live Feed? No
Gender of First Evictee: Female
Gender of Winner: Female
Series Duration: 74 days
Series Average: 1.5 million

[Denver]

Number of Housemates: 21
Late Entrants: Yes
Live Feed? Yes
Gender of First Evictee: Female
Gender of Winner: Male
Series Duration: 99 Days
Series Average: 975k

[Jay Frost]

Electric shock suits.


That is all

[Jason.]

Number of Housemates: 19
Late Entrants: Yes
Live Feed: Yes
Gender of First Evictee: Female
Gender of Winner: Female
Series Duration: 68 Days
Series Average: 1.6m

[Cal.]

OMG! I left off series average!

[Jason.]

Yh I added it because it was in the 2015 one and I'm interested to predict how well it will rate and see how close (far) I am when it averages 800k

[Cal.]

You left off live feed

[Jason.]

I'll be optimistic and say yes given they're giving us some for CBB as well as they gave us some for CBB16 (I'm hoping it's a every series thing now) but we'll see in May

[Ross.]

Number of Housemates: 18
Late Entrants: Yes
Live Feed? Yes (just nightly feeds)
Gender of First Evictee: Female
Gender of Winner: Female
Series Duration: 68 days
Series Average: 1.6 million

[Jason.]

welp if BB17 rates even lower than BB16 :worry:

[MB.]

Number of Housemates: 16
Late Entrants: Yes
Live Feed? Only after evictions
Gender of First Evictee: Female
Gender of Winner: Male
Series Duration: 64 days
Series Average: 1.1 million

[Daniel-X]

Number of Housemates: 19
Late Entrants: Yes
Live Feed?: Yes
Gender of First Evictee: Female
Gender of Winner: Male
Series Duration: 72 days (Ten weeks, two days)
Series Average: 1.2 million

[Ross.]

welp if BB17 rates even lower than BB16 :worry:

What did BB16 average?

[Jason.]

alol if it averages 1.1m. I actually think it'll rate similar to BB15 (bad, but better than BB16)

[Jason.]

What did BB16 average?

1.37m

[Ross.]

1.37m

didn't think it was as low as that :joker:

Yeah so if it rates lower than that then bye bye normal Big Brother

[MB.]

alol if it averages 1.1m. I actually think it'll rate similar to BB15 (bad, but better than BB16)

If CBB can only manage 1.9m, I can't see BB getting above 1.4m unless they have a serious re-think

And we all know that Channel 5 and the concept of thinking don't go hand-in-hand

[Denver]

Just axe it and air another CBB

[reece(:]

Number of Housemates: 19
Late Entrants: Yes, 3
Live Feed? No
Gender of First Evictee: Female
Gender of Winner: Female
Series Duration: 72 days
Series Average: 1.3 million

[Ross.]

The thought of 3 CBB's a year makes me feel sick

[Jason.]

If CBB can only manage 1.9m, I can't see BB getting above 1.4m unless they have a serious re-think

And we all know that Channel 5 and the concept of thinking don't go hand-in-hand

CBB16 did bad because BB16 did bad. Isn't it a fact the summer CBB usually rates about an additional 0.5m more than the Civilian BB it follows.

BB13 - 1.6m > CBB10 - 2.2m
BB14 - 1.9m > CBB12 - 2.3m
BB15 - 1.6m > CBB14 - 2.1m
BB16 - 1.4m > CBB16 - 1.9m

[MB.]

The thought of 3 CBB's a year makes me feel stick

Will poor Jonathan ever catch a break

[Jason.]

tbh BB15 didn't rate that bad. It rated okay (the same as BB12 and BB13 did) but because it followed a CBB which rated 3.1m and a Civilian BB which rated 1.9m (both highest on C5 at the time) it looked like it did rubbish.

[EspeonBB]

Number of Housemates: 18
Late Entrants: Yes
Live Feed? No
Gender of First Evictee: Female
Gender of Winner: Male
Series Duration: 70 days
Series Average: 1.2 million

[Ross.]

BB14 the highest rated though <3

[MB.]

BB14 the highest rated though <3

Only because the whole nation was too busy watching the Olympics during BB13 and caught up afterwards tbh

[Jason.]

Only because the whole nation was too busy watching the Olympics during BB13 and caught up afterwards tbh

.

[reece(:]

The late entrees will prob all be females to boost the gender balance.

[Jason.]

Caroline's eviction having like 3 viewers brought the overall series average down from like 1.8m to 1.3m within a matter of a week

[Shaun]

Number of Housemates: 18
Late Entrants: Yes (2)
Live Feed? No
Gender of First Evictee: Female
Gender of Winner: Male
Series Duration: 72 days
Series Average: 1.1m

[MB.]

(it'll probably be advertised somewhat as going 'back to basics', a premise it'll stick to for the best part of half an hour, it'll start in June after Emma has spawned, fourteen will enter originally, then two more will enter as part of some sort of couples' twist, every nomination process and eviction will be highly and unnecessarily convoluted but will eventually result in a woman going first, there'll be no live feed except for half an hour after evictions and a handful of people will be mildly annoyed about this fact, the ratings will begin shockingly low and will lead to the newspapers still vaguely interested in BB to proclaim that it'll be axed before you can say 'Rylan Clark-Neal' and will pick up slightly by the end but nowhere near enough to save it from becoming the least-viewed series of anything ever, it'll last 64 days even though it was fairly obvious that the producers had planned for longer, a white man will win because this is Big Brother and next week's lottery results will be available on my wall, ta rah luvs)

[Samm]

Number of Housemates: 18
Late Entrants: Yes
Live Feed? No
Gender of First Evictee: Male (taking a risk eek)
Gender of Winner: Male (3 female winners in a row is to lucky)
Series Duration: 72
Series Average: 1.5/6 million

[reece(:]

I wonder if they will evict half of them if they decide it's boring a few weeks in this time?

[Jason.]

I wonder if they will evict half of them if they decide it's boring a few weeks in this time?

#8IN8OUT

[MB.]

#0in16out

Marcus Bentley spends the next nine weeks eating Jaffa cakes and crywanking

[Denver]

20 men 1 women and the woman goes first would be fantastic

[MB.]

You know what else would be fantastic? The Third Reich

[Jason.]

That was for 2015 ^

[Calderyon]

Sorry about that.

[Raph]

Number of Housemates: 20
Late Entrants: Yes
Live Feed? No
Gender of First Evictee: Female
Gender of Winner: Male
Series Duration: 73 days
Series Average: 1.2 million
__________________

[Loukas]

Number of Housemates: 19
Late Entrants: Yes
Live Feed? Yes
Gender of First Evictee: Female
Gender of Winner: Female
Series Duration: 75 days
Series Average: 1.1 million

[Calderyon]

Number of Housemates: 19
Late Entrants: Yes
Live Feed? Yes, but no 24/7
Gender of First Evictee: Female
Gender of Winner: Male
Series Duration: 73 days
Series Average: 1.27 million

[Firewire]

Will poor Jonathan ever catch a break

ffs

[Wojtek]

Number of Housemates: 18
Late Entrants: Yes
Live Feed? Yes
Gender of First Evictee: Female
Gender of Winner: Female
Series Duration: 70 days
Series Average: 1.2 million

[Ashley.]

Number of Housemates: 17
Late Entrants: Yes
Live Feed? No
Gender of First Evictee: Female
Gender of Winner: Female
Series Duration: 69 days
Series Average: 1.3 million

[Babayaro.]

Number of Housemates: 18
Late Entrants: Yes
Live Feed: Yes, some
Gender of First Evictee: Female
Gender of Winner: Male
Series Duration: 73 days
Series Average: 1.4 million

[TomC]

Number of housemates: 19
Late entrant: Yes
Live feed: More than BB16.
First evictee: Female
Winner: Male
Length: 71 days
Average: 1.5m

[Amy Jade]

Number of Housemates: 18
Late Entrants: Yes
Live Feed? Yes
Gender of First Evictee: Male
Gender of Winner: Male
Series Duration: 72 Days
Series Average: 1.2 million

[zakman440]

Number of Housemates: 18
Late Entrants: Yes (probably part of the obligatory secret house)
Live Feed? Yes, but it'll probably be axed within the first month of the series
Gender of First Evictee: Female
Gender of Winner: Female
Series Duration: 68 days
Series Average: 1.1 million

[zakman440]

#0in16out

Marcus Bentley spends the next nine weeks eating Jaffa cakes and crywanking

:laugh2:

[LukeB]

Number of Housemates: 16
Late Entrants: Yes
Live Feed? Yes, only at night
Gender of First Evictee: Female
Gender of Winner: Male
Series Duration: 68 days (because of the ratings flopping)
Series Average: 1.1 million

[Pete.]

Number of Housemates: 16
Late Entrants: 3
Live Feed? 1 hour on Fridays
Gender of First Evictee: Female
Gender of Winner: Male
Series Duration: 65 days
Series Average: 1.2 million

[Maxxie.]

Just axe it and air another CBB

3 CBB's in one year?

[YourLAEx]

Number of Housemates: 18
Late Entrants: 3 (Helen, Marc and Farrah)
Live Feed? After evictions
Gender of First Evictee: Female
Gender of Winner: Male
Series Duration: 64 days
Series Average: 1.1 million

[callum2122]

Number of Housemates: 18
Late Entrants: Yes, 4
Gender of First Evictee: Female
Gender of Winner: Female
Series Duration: 68
Series Average: 1.43 million

[callum2122]

Oh, and Live Feed, only at night time on 5*

[Raph]

Default
Number of Housemates: 20
Late Entrants: 4
Live Feed? After evictions
Gender of First Evictee: Female
Gender of Winner: Male
Series Duration: 70 days
Series Average: 1.9 million

[VanessaFeltz.]

Reality:

Number of Housemates: 20
Late Entrants: 4
Live Feed? After evictions or not
Gender of First Evictee: Female
Gender of Winner: Male
Series Duration: 74 days
Series Average: 1.05 million

Dreams:

Number of Housemates: 20
Late Entrants: 2+2+2
Live Feed? 24/7 on their website
Gender of First Evictee: Male
Gender of Winner: Female
Series Duration: 74 days
Series Average: 2.1 million

[Cal.]

Just another one of these threads to bump in July/August when BB17 ends to see if we were right or not.

Number of Housemates: 16 - 18
Late Entrants: No - No
Live Feed? No - No
Gender of First Evictee: Female - Male
Gender of Winner: Female - Male
Series Duration: 74 days (welp) - 50 days
Series Average: 1.5 million - Unconfirmed but will probably be higher than this

So I got 2 out of the 7 predictions correct.

[MB.]

Number of Housemates: 16
Late Entrants: Yes
Live Feed? Only after evictions
Gender of First Evictee: Female
Gender of Winner: Male
Series Duration: 64 days
Series Average: 1.1 million

2 out of 7 ain't bad

[Jason.]

Number of Housemates: 19
Late Entrants: Yes
Live Feed: Yes
Gender of First Evictee: Female
Gender of Winner: Female
Series Duration: 68 Days
Series Average: 1.6m (it's comfortably averaging 1.6m atm and I can't see it changing tbh)

2/7

least I was optimistic about the ratings whereas most people predicted 800k :laugh:

[MB.]

You got the 19 housemates bit right

[Jason.]

There were 18 ^

[Cal.]

Oh yeah idk whether there was 18 or 19? Victoria and Emma were seperated but it seems like the show is pretending Victoria was never a housemate so idk?

[MB.]

There were 19, thanks to Victoria's desire to run free and roll in hummus or whatever she went off to do

[Jason.]

2/7 for me it is!

[Cal.]

What compelled you to guess 19 btw Jason? Was it because BB15 had 19 as well?

[Jason.]

What compelled you to guess 19 btw Jason? Was it because BB15 had 19 as well?

Yeah.

I just assumed it would be a 10 week series like usual and 16 enter on launch with 3 newcomers entering later on. But they threw them all in on launch lmao.

[Cal.]

I kind of prefer them all entering on launch. Gives everybody equal opportunities and stuff and newbies are usually the ones who fall victim to cruel twists.

[Cal.]

And besides Ryan and Andrew entering the main house (when the housemates thought they were new housemates) no one was ganged up on for 'being new' and it 'not being their house' and after Natalie's eviction you couldn't tell who was an 'original' housemate and who was an Other originally so I prefer them all entering on night one.

[Jason.]

I guess. It also prevents those original vs. newbie divides we usually get when newcomers enter and are pretty much picked off by the originals when nominations come around (see BB15)

[Cal.]

I guess. It also prevents those original vs. newbie divides we usually get when newcomers enter and are pretty much picked off by the originals when nominations come around (see BB15)

(see Sam getting evicted for being new 42 days after she entered in BB16)

[Jason.]

(see Sam getting evicted for being new 42 days after she entered in BB16)

lmao and the BB15 newbies being up for eviction every week they were in the house.

[Oaker]

I swear even Katie Price got the whole "You weren't here for the first 10 days so you don't deserve it!!"

[MB.]

(see Sam getting evicted for being new 42 days after she entered in BB16)

lmao and the BB15 newbies being up for eviction every week they were in the house.

Pav and Sam being the housemates with the most nominations in their respective series <3

[Cal.]

She did lmao. But I suppose new housemates have always been treated badly since Bekki in BB5 so it's kind of tradition. Bekki was given a secret mission which made her unpopular with the public, the ones in BB6 could have only had a 3 day stay, and from BB7 to BB11 newbies were only ever added to protect the original housemates from eviction for a few more weeks. BB15's newbies were thrown to the dogs in terms of twists (having to evict an original making them unpopular and one of them being evicted after 4 days) and BB16's were never treated as proper housemates (although I suppose Marc got preferential treatment from producers) due to them being replacements of original housemates who were popular within the house. I used to get excited about new housemates being added but now I think I'd prefer it if everybody entered on Day 1.

[Babayaro.]

Number of Housemates: 18
Late Entrants: Yes
Live Feed: Yes, some
Gender of First Evictee: Female
Gender of Winner: Male
Series Duration: 73 days
Series Average: 1.4 million

:spin:

[Samm]

Number of Housemates: 18
Late Entrants: Yes
Live Feed? No
Gender of First Evictee: Male (taking a risk eek)
Gender of Winner: Male (3 female winners in a row is to lucky)
Series Duration: 72
Series Average: 1.5/6 million

oh wow oh wow oh wow, I was right on every point bar the late entrance and length (but I don't think anyone predicted 50 days)

[Cal.]

oh wow oh wow oh wow, I was right on every point bar the late entrance and length (but I don't think anyone predicted 50 days)

22 days too long babes!

[Pete.]

Number of Housemates: 16
Late Entrants: 3
Live Feed? 1 hour on Fridays
Gender of First Evictee: Female
Gender of Winner: Male
Series Duration: 65 days
Series Average: 1.2 million
:think:

[LukeB]

Number of Housemates: 16
Late Entrants: Yes
Live Feed? Yes, only at night
Gender of First Evictee: Female
Gender of Winner: Male
Series Duration: 68 days (because of the ratings flopping)
Series Average: 1.1 million

Only one right..flop.