View Full Version : Akeem demoted to 3rd fav.
Pro Sniper
03-11-2018, 09:17 AM
He can now be backed as big as 6/1(14% chance) :joker:
There's been a late charge for fake Cian..who is now clear 2nd fav around 3/1(25% chance) Desperate bullsh!tter Rodney remains odds-on around 1/2(66% chance) And bitter nutcase Zoe remains the rank outsider over 20/1(4% chance) :joker: huge lulz at those thinking she can win this :joker::joker::joker:
chuff me dizzy
03-11-2018, 09:31 AM
PLEASE don't let him win, its my worst nightmare
this has been a very weird BB, with so many hm's blowing their chances themselves and another hm taking over the top spot. Even before lewis got popular it was up and down like a yo yo. It's been good in that respect because it has kept it interesting.
I made a prediction in week 2 that slow and steady was going to win this year with Zoe and Cian being the ones to beat, and through all the drama, that's basically how it's ended up
Morgan.
03-11-2018, 10:07 AM
He can now be backed as big as 6/1(14% chance) :joker:
There's been a late charge for fake Cian..who is now clear 2nd fav around 3/1(25% chance) Desperate bullsh!tter Rodney remains odds-on around 1/2(66% chance) And bitter nutcase Zoe remains the rank outsider over 20/1(4% chance) :joker: huge lulz at those thinking she can win this :joker::joker::joker:
Odds don't mean a thing - Zoe was sixth favourite to win yesterday and two others surpassed her. Zoe has a lot of 'hidden fans' - they're not vocal but they vote in masses.
Epic.
03-11-2018, 10:14 AM
Cian to win :clap1:
Pro Sniper
03-11-2018, 10:24 AM
Odds don't mean a thing - Zoe was sixth favourite to win yesterday and two others surpassed her. Zoe has a lot of 'hidden fans' - they're not vocal but they vote in masses.
Saying odds "don't mean a thing" is absurd. Sure, they're not "guaranteed" to prove dead-on accurate..but there's many times when they clearly reflect reality. This is one of them. It's even more telling now we're right at the business end(the period where odds are generally at their most efficient) that she remains such a big outsider with implied chance of under 5%. Wise up.
y.winter
03-11-2018, 10:31 AM
And we still had CBB19 with Colleen dead in the odds
Pro Sniper
03-11-2018, 10:42 AM
Nolan's "loose women" fan base was obviously underestimated. As well as her ludicrous support from Rylan and his minions. Zoe has none of that. She'll have a few sympathy votes from similar situation single mothers..but that won't be anywhere near enough to topple either/both the gays.
RileyH
03-11-2018, 11:10 AM
PLEASE don't let him win, its my worst nightmare
Of course it is :idc:
rusticgal
03-11-2018, 11:16 AM
I think his desperation this week has put people off. His constant begging for the public vote....Last night I thought he was going to pass out befor Sians name was called...:laugh:
Withano
03-11-2018, 11:45 AM
Your percentage chances you attached to them all don’t mean a thing
Withano
03-11-2018, 11:46 AM
They add up to 109% for starters
Pro Sniper
03-11-2018, 12:40 PM
Your percentage chances you attached to them all don’t mean a thing
They do mean a thing, they estimate the "likely" chance of something happening. As for the percentages not adding up, they're not supposed to. That is called the
overround > which is the margin(unfair) those bookie bastards build in to rip their customers off.
Take 365's book for the finale.
Cam 1/2 (66.67%
Cian 11/4 (26.67%
Akeem 11/2 (15.38%
Zoe 20/1 (4.76%)
Total = 113.5!
This is how the pigs operate. The best example is the coin toss. We all know that the true odds for this is 50/50..but the bookies don't offer that. Instead they go 10/11(52.4) for each.. which gives them over 4% edge.
DouglasS
03-11-2018, 12:43 PM
He's had a terrible edit this week. I think the storyline of the series was set up for Cameron to win after Lewis F left. BB in a way is a soap/story set out by the producers, Akeem winning would make little sense after Cameron's 'moments' [whilst BB pushed for these moments]
Oliver_W
03-11-2018, 03:19 PM
I don't care about BB manipulation or housemate gameplay, I just hope Akeem doesn't win...
Underscore
03-11-2018, 03:20 PM
And we still had CBB19 with Colleen dead in the odds
zoe to sweep the win on monday?
Beastie
03-11-2018, 03:24 PM
Cian and Zoe's odds are both shortening across the board. Cameron better still win!
Vicky.
03-11-2018, 03:40 PM
He has got too try hard I think. Seems a bit arrogant. And far too aware of the cameras. I do not think everything he does is for the cameras like some, but the constant 'I am welsh me' stuff is a bit daft and is clearly just for votes, as for some reason Welsh people seem to vote for Welsh people just because they are Welsh :laugh:
Oliver_W
03-11-2018, 04:01 PM
He has got too try hard I think. Seems a bit arrogant. And far too aware of the cameras. I do not think everything he does is for the cameras like some, but the constant 'I am welsh me' stuff is a bit daft and is clearly just for votes, as for some reason Welsh people seem to vote for Welsh people just because they are Welsh :laugh:
tbh I think the Irish are bigger culprits of that than the Welsh.
But yeah I agree he's ramping it up, I swear his accent is stronger now - it never used to annoy me before, but now his stupid voice does...
Jules82
03-11-2018, 04:08 PM
I think his desperation this week has put people off. His constant begging for the public vote....Last night I thought he was going to pass out befor Sians name was called...:laugh:
I wonder if Emma left him until the last two on purpose? I bet he was having kittens tbh, poor boy....:laugh:
Jules82
03-11-2018, 04:12 PM
They do mean a thing, they estimate the "likely" chance of something happening. As for the percentages not adding up, they're not supposed to. That is called the
overround > which is the margin(unfair) those bookie bastards build in to rip their customers off.
Take 365's book for the finale.
Cam 1/2 (66.67%
Cian 11/4 (26.67%
Akeem 11/2 (15.38%
Zoe 20/1 (4.76%)
Total = 113.5!
This is how the pigs operate. The best example is the coin toss. We all know that the true odds for this is 50/50..but the bookies don't offer that. Instead they go 10/11(52.4) for each.. which gives them over 4% edge.
I always say I wish I understood the bookies, I love watching in BB.
rusticgal
03-11-2018, 04:19 PM
I wonder if Emma left him until the last two on purpose? I beet he was having kittens tbh, poor boy....:laugh:
Let him sweat it out...:laugh:
Elliot
03-11-2018, 04:20 PM
Literally anything but Zoe
mr rochester
04-11-2018, 12:30 PM
As far as Endemol are concerned they have more chance of selling the rights to the show if a gay man used it as a vehicle to come out.
A slob on benefits who can’t be bothered to get dressed every day will not produce the funds they want for the sale.
Therefore in the last few days production will demonise the other contestants to ensure a win for the the one who has the best storyline.
All the others have gone and they are left with a flat and uninspiring final, therefore the best storyline will win to facilitate the sale (not because he was the best contestant).
Patricia4
04-11-2018, 01:43 PM
I just hope Akeem doesn't win.
Matthew.
04-11-2018, 01:45 PM
he better not win!
Kazanne
04-11-2018, 01:46 PM
zoe to sweep the win on monday?
That would actually be hilarious
Elliot
04-11-2018, 01:48 PM
zoe to sweep the win on monday?
We love the worst winner of all time!
Morgan.
04-11-2018, 02:36 PM
We love the worst winner of all time!
We love exaggeration.
Vicky.
04-11-2018, 02:42 PM
Zoe is the only one I really don't want to win. And yeah, I do think she would be among the worst winners of all time. The winners tend to be total trash though, compared to those who were on the show. Its either a total twat, or someone who has just been wallpaper the whole show and wins because 'nice' :laugh: Never seems to be anyone in the middle..
Jase.
04-11-2018, 02:44 PM
Zoe has no chance :joker:
Elliot
04-11-2018, 03:01 PM
We love exaggeration.
It’s not tho. She would be one of my least favourite winners ever, up there with bear Helen and Coleen. It really is quite comparable to Helen tbh, the bitchy backstab bully beating out her victims
winning bb isnt an endorsement of a house mates character. It isn't an endorsement of anything .... it doesn't mean anything and it never has. Surely when the only non celeb in the house won celebrity big brother, it made that crystal clear. :laugh:
Pro Sniper
05-11-2018, 03:05 AM
Zoe has no chance :joker:
Did you hear her earlier in the DR? "We've all got a 1in4 chance of winning" :facepalm: not even smart enough to realize that looks and behaviours have a dramatic affect on moving those odds from their statistical positions.
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