The bookmakers\' odds [merged topics]
 

Watching the betting odds can be far more accurate than the polls: http://orange.oddschecker.com/orange...her/scard/8655


They haven't taken down the last ones yet, so you can see that Imogen was 1/50 to be evicted, while Richard was 10/1 - and of course, that's how it turned out.

In all the bookmakers odds, Pete is way ahead - 2/11 compared to 9, 14, or even 20 for Aisleyne:
http://orange.oddschecker.com/orange...69x/sid/903391

Yeah we all know Pete going to win hehe

yes well theres no doubt about that.haha. as long as ash is in top 3 im ok with that

Even though I'm not an Ash fan, I'm happy she's in the finals instead of a lot of the HMs that could have been. I've said it before, I'm pleased with how it's turned out now, no matter who wins.

yes i know its all good but i just dont think it is fair that nikki is aloud to win the public evicted her for a reason if u no what i meen

True, but the public also voted her back in. I thought it was unfair that she was evicted in the first place, as it was only due to the vote being split across all the HMs due to Jayne.

Don't worry, though, she's not likely to win over Pete or Glyn.

lol, i really don't think its that clear cut yet.

i don't either the most acurate polls i hav seen which people vote in the thousands is bbonline and they are never ever rong even in last years final poll vote soooo....

The bookmakers usually get it right in terms of predicting the result.

The one exception I remember was when Kenzie was odds-on to win Celebrity Big Brother 3 - right up to the final day even - and Bez ended up winning.

Also you have to remember bookmakers' odds don't necessarily reflect how likely something is to happen but reflect how much money has been laid, where.

Something has definately changed in the polls this week... this is the first week Aisleyene has been in the lead.

Betfair has Ash closing on Pete!

There's only 4 left in it: Pete, Glyn, Nikki and Aisleyne. Richards odds of 50-1 are too bad to even contemplate a top 4 finish and Jennie is virtually anonymous.

Aisleynes odds have dropped to as little as 9-1 at one bookies with an average of 14-1 has the edge in some polls, Pete has it in others. But the bookies have Pete a clear winner with Glyn a tiny fraction ahead of Nikki and Aisleyne a little bit behind.

So it looks like a Pete win, with 2nd place up for grabs between Glyn, Nikki and Aisleyne. Shocks do happen although Kenzie wasn't as far ahead of Bez as Pete is of the others this year. I really hope Aisleyne doesn't win but there's a teeny weeny chance! Maybe Glyn could win though too. :tongue:

I dont want Pete to win, hes so dull

I always saw Pete winning, nothing's changed...

I think something has changed, and friday is gonna be a shock to a lot of people !

James, in the thread about Poll accuracy you say in response to the question "are the polls on this forum accurate?":

What do you think is going on, are the bookmakers right or are the polls right?

Either way it probably worth putting a few quid on Ash :thumbs:

Ash has half of the bookies shortened to the same as Nikki or even better than Nikkis.Glyn is now second fav at 7/1 Nikki kind of joint 3rd fav with Ash overall with the bookies.Nikki has drifted to 11/1 and 9/1.Ash is 15/2,16/1(should shorten),and 12/1.Pete is still about 1/6 ans slighttly drifted to 2/11.

The bookmakers usually get it right in terms of predicting the result.

The one exception I remember was when Kenzie was odds-on to win Celebrity Big Brother 3 - right up to the final day even - and Bez ended up winning.

Also you have to remember bookmakers' odds don't necessarily reflect how likely something is to happen but reflect how much money has been laid, where.

Something has definately changed in the polls this week... this is the first week Aisleyene has been in the lead. James said - but Petes odds are shorter than kenzies ,he was 10/11 and 8/11 so Pete has better odds so he has a better chance 1/6 and 2/11 way better so Pete has a better chance.

defo, i put £20 on her at 26 to 1 a few days ago

yeah but Richard is the lowest down in the order and thats wrong.

its obviously that Jennie will finish last. u dont need to watch BBBM or BBLB or polls to tell u that! she just hasnt had enough time to accumalte popularity and people naturally are not drawn to newcomers.
ASH is a total exception. shes still be in there for like 11.5 weeks or so.

odds are just probabilities, so if a bookmaker puts pete at 1 to 6 it means that they expect him to win 5 out of 6 times, so they are not discounting the chance that he won't win 1 out of 6 times. That's just a dice throw! Let's hope that God indeed does play dice!

Just like-
1-England hot favs for the world cup (lost)
2-ATHENS 2004 will never happen (best ever olympics)
3-Wembley will be ready for 2005 FA cup (still waiting)
4-The TITANIC will never sink(boy did they fcuk that one)

:tongue::tongue:

Current ODDs - Ash 2nd Favourite!
 

Ash is SECOND favourite!!!!

http://www.coral.co.uk/sb.go?page=su...0&sid=20&ms=MS

Sweet:joker: Kara whos that picture of in your Avatars???
Shes cute:tongue:

she's also 15/2 (7.5 to 1 ) on another site and 8 to 1 on a third

Give over, 'Ash' is not going to win. Pete will win in a landslide victory.

Pete is still fav and keching up on the polls.
 

Pete is still a big fav(1/6) and keching up on the polls.Glyn is fav on the winner without pete betting market,Ash is 2nd at 21/10 nearly 2/1.Glyn is 1/1 and 10/11.Nikki was fav but now 3rd at 11/4.Nikki stands no reall chance to be honest.This market kind of predicts who will finish 2nd or 3rd and so on.
With some bokkies Ash has the same odds as Nikki and has evn overtook Nikki.With bet365 she is 15/2 ,Glyn is 8/1 and Nikki 10/1.But Glyn is still 2nd fav overall and Nikki 3rd overall but Ash will kech up with her.

so its now 1/6 pete and pretty much the inverse for Ash - It's a two horse race now. I reckon it's 50-50 pete or ash to win - the bookies will catch up by tuesday

With some bookies ,but with most she is 3rd and 4th favourite.Glyn has shortened slightly or has stayed the same.I chek each bokkies odds so overall Glyn is 2nd fav love.http://odds.bookies.com/Default.aspx...e=0&help=false
you will see for yourself.

tell us what makes you so sure? don't the numerous on-line polls make you a little unsure?

that's me :)

She is joint 2nd fav with Glyn.But Glyn has better odds with most bookies so Glyn and Nikki are still ahead f Ash.

cool just remove gyl and add dickey then i would be alrite
1 pete hope he win he deserves it
2nikki dont want her to win although i love her because she has been evicted
3dickey love him
4 ash i like her more but not as much as pete dickey and nikki
5gyln i dislike him more as the day go by
6jennie not because i dislike her more but bcause she doesnt deseve to win

God dam girl,You look sweet enough to eat:love: Was you in star wars:joker: Thanks for the banner:thumbs:

Glyn as well ,Its Pete,Glyn and Ash for the title.A 3 horse race not 2.3 contenders.Nikki has blown her chances she is out.So the rest as well.

Well for a start I honestly think that Pete is the most popular housemate. These polls are not an example of the real thing, because you can only vote once. Look, instead of boasting about how you 'know' Ash will win, you may as well just wait until friday, its only 5 days away.

pete was popular, but that popularity has slipped in this last week. People will multi vote for all of the contestants. I don't 'know' that Ash will win, but I feel she has a good chance of winning as anyone else (and I've got some money on her! :) )

justremove gyln from the mist then ash and pete i wouldnt mind who win

Look pete is still fave cant you accept that, stop pretending Ash is odds on.Pete and Glyn stand a better chance at the moment.Pte to win.Ash is fake.

I think the polls are fairly accurate but the gap between Pete and Aisleyne will close later in the week - Pete has started off slow in a lot of weeks' favourite polls but picked up more votes later.

A lot of votes (to win BB7) will be cast near the end of the week. The final vote might be quite tight.