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-   -   Bookies: 84% chance of Rylan winning. Thursday update (https://www.thisisbigbrother.com/forums/showthread.php?t=219581)

Withano 19-01-2013 07:17 PM

Bookies: 84% chance of Rylan winning. Thursday update
 
These are the odds shown as a percentage of winning the show:

SaturdaySundayMondayTuesdayWednesThursday
61.48% 59.33% 54.09% 64.76% 61.03% 84.44% Rylan
10.24% 10.96% 05.98% 06.22% 06.76% 07.34% Speidi
11.52% 07.76% 05.28% 04.44% 04.19% 04.15% Razor
01.64% 01.39% 02.19% 02.27% 02.59% 02.65% Claire
02.71% 01.82% 02.19% 01.83% 01.31% 01.42% Ryan
08.38% 15.52% 27.63% 18.65% 21.97% 00.00% Tricia
04.01% 03.21% 02.64% 01.83% 02.15% 00.00% Frankie

BigBrotherfan4ever 19-01-2013 07:24 PM

Can't believe more people are putting more money on Tricia than Frankie.:conf:

JTM45 19-01-2013 07:27 PM

It's a sad thing for Britian if 61% of the viewers are voting for Rylan!
The guy's a Towie reject pleb.

Marcus. 19-01-2013 07:28 PM

claire awwww:love:

i would be alright with that

Kizzy 19-01-2013 07:39 PM

Rylan has more charisma than all those dorks put together! My money is on him :love:

MrWong 19-01-2013 07:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigBrother3232 (Post 5776431)
Rylan 61.48%
Razor 11.52%
Speidi 10.24%
Tricia 8.38%
Frankie 4.01%
Ryan 2.71%
Claire 1.64%

I'll update this tomorrow, the gap between Rylan, Speidi and Razor is closing up

If the housemates ignore Speidi over this latest task they could pick up the sympathy/underdog votes.

They'll definitely feature in the majority of the highlights this week if that happens. More exposure, more votes. :thumbs:

chuff me dizzy 19-01-2013 07:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigBrother3232 (Post 5776431)
Rylan 61.48%
Razor 11.52%
Speidi 10.24%
Tricia 8.38%
Frankie 4.01%
Ryan 2.71%
Claire 1.64%

I'll update this tomorrow, the gap between Rylan, Speidi and Razor is closing up

WTF have you concocted this load of rubbish up from ?

Withano 19-01-2013 07:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by chuff me dizzy (Post 5776515)
WTF have you concocted this load of rubbish up from ?

Converting total odds into a percentage form... Learn Maths..

Withano 19-01-2013 07:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MrWong (Post 5776511)
If the housemates ignore Speidi over this latest task they could pick up the sympathy/underdog votes.

They'll definitely feature in the majority of the highlights this week if that happens. More exposure, more votes. :thumbs:

The bookies are wrong a lot nowadays, I don't think punters have got used to the vote to save. Its gonna be close!

JeanP! 19-01-2013 07:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigBrother3232 (Post 5776535)
Converting total odds into a percentage form... Learn Maths..

How???

Black Dagger 19-01-2013 08:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JTM45 (Post 5776462)
It's a sad thing for Britian if 61% of the viewers are voting for Rylan!
The guy's a Towie reject pleb.

Pretty sure he rejected them :pipe:

Withano 19-01-2013 08:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JeanP! (Post 5776545)
How???

winnings = 0.5+7+8+10+22+33+55=135.5
plus £1 bet = 1.5+8+9+11+23+34+56=142.5
142.5/each total=95,17.81,15.83,12.95,6.2,4.19,2.54
add each total together=154.52
154.52/ans*100=percentage

Ramsay 19-01-2013 08:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Black Dagger (Post 5776580)
Pretty sure he rejected them :pipe:

BOOM

Claymores 19-01-2013 08:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by chuff me dizzy (Post 5776515)
WTF have you concocted this load of rubbish up from ?

Exactly chuff - which bookies? it would mean taking all the odds from all the bookies then weighting which bookies have £1000s on the outcome rather than the pissy wee ones who will change odds if a housewife stakes 50p....yada...yada..yada.......................... .I'd love to see the Excel spreadsheet and the formula he used to come-up with this pish!

Sophiee 19-01-2013 08:26 PM

I'm surprised speidi are so high, I don't see them coming second for a minute.

Quote:

Originally Posted by chuff me dizzy (Post 5776515)
WTF have you concocted this load of rubbish up from ?

:laugh:

elliebrew 19-01-2013 08:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JTM45 (Post 5776462)
It's a sad thing for Britian if 61% of the viewers are voting for Rylan!
The guy's a Towie reject pleb.

As apposed to Speidi who are 'the hills' rejects :rolleyes:

Claymores 19-01-2013 08:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigBrother3232 (Post 5776650)
winnings = 0.5+7+8+10+22+33+55=135.5
plus £1 bet = 1.5+8+9+11+23+34+56=142.5
142.5/each total=95,17.81,15.83,12.95,6.2,4.19,2.54
add each total together=154.52
154.52/ans*100=percentage

Oh you do make me laff sprog - you have a surefire formula there :hugesmile::hugesmile::hugesmile::hugesmile::huges mile:

Withano 19-01-2013 08:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Claymores (Post 5776722)
Oh you do make me laff sprog - you have a surefire formula there :hugesmile::hugesmile::hugesmile::hugesmile::huges mile:

I do a similar thing for a living, your attempt at condescension is embarrassing for you.

Claymores 19-01-2013 08:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigBrother3232 (Post 5776741)
I do a similar thing for a living, your attempt and condescension is embarrassing for you.

I'm sure you are very successful with your exacting formulas hahahahaha.........explain again how you know the sums which have been placed with the majors so as to differentiate between the whole market and the lesser "bookies".

Then how you score the weighting and factor-in the trading markets which play to screw punters oot o money irrepective of who wins using the market moves.

Your percentage is quite frankly the funniest crap I've ever read here - is your name really Nick Leeson perchance?

Can't wait for tomorrows updates, I'm entralled sprog

Claymores 19-01-2013 08:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigBrother3232 (Post 5776535)
Converting total odds into a percentage form... Learn Maths..

Learn the frigging market sprog - learn where the money is lying and where it is moving - your innocence and naiivity make me laff Mr Nick Leeson.

Withano 19-01-2013 08:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Claymores (Post 5776776)
I'm sure you are very successful with your exacting formulas hahahahaha.........explain again how you know the sums which have been placed with the majors so as to differentiate between the whole market and the lesser "bookies".

Then how you score the weighting and factor-in the trading markets which play to screw punters oot o money irrepective of who wins using the market moves.

Your percentage is quite frankly the funniest crap I've ever read here - is your name really Nick Leeson perchance?

Can't wait for tomorrows updates, I'm entralled sprog

Just because you're to thick to understand it doesn't make it wrong... I've converted the best odds from across the board into percentage forms.

Claymores 19-01-2013 08:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigBrother3232 (Post 5776535)
Converting total odds into a percentage form... Learn Maths..

Who are you using in total odds? top 10, top 50, independants? How do you adjust for volume and trading on the markets? how do you do the adjustments over time since money placement? If you have cracked all this you deserve a prize and you'll be richer than Nick Leeson soon.

Claymores 19-01-2013 08:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigBrother3232 (Post 5776809)
Just because you're to thick to understand it doesn't make it wrong... I've converted the best odds from across the board into percentage forms.

hahahahahahaha - you do make me giggle sprog - stick with the maths 'o' level tho

Claymores 19-01-2013 09:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigBrother3232 (Post 5776650)
winnings = 0.5+7+8+10+22+33+55=135.5
plus £1 bet = 1.5+8+9+11+23+34+56=142.5
142.5/each total=95,17.81,15.83,12.95,6.2,4.19,2.54
add each total together=154.52
154.52/ans*100=percentage

I just luvs the £1 bet bit sprog. When I was serious aboots BB betting I'd place £3000 a time to shift the market one way or another then retrade that bet back - I once moved an outsider in young BB from 8/1 to odds-on just by placing money @ 7am then resold the bets for an instant profit with no risk - that bit me a little as the kid from Scotland actually won so the total of £3k + £3k + £2k that I used just to move the market would have been bang tidy if I hadn't resold the bets!

Withano 19-01-2013 09:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Claymores (Post 5776862)
I just luvs the £1 bet bit sprog. When I was serious aboots BB betting I'd place £3000 a time to shift the market one way or another then retrade that bet back - I once moved an outsider in young BB from 8/1 to odds-on just by placing money @ 7am then resold the bets for an instant profit with no risk - that bit me a little as the kid from Scotland actually won so the total of £3k + £3k + £2k that I used just to move the market would have been bang tidy if I hadn't resold the bets!

I converted the winnings per pound into a percentage form for each housemate. You were embarrassing yourself when you couldn't work out this pretty simple sum. It's time to pipe down now. You're talking about something completely different to everybody else on this forum.


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