View Single Post
Old 16-01-2024, 04:49 PM #23
Nicky91's Avatar
Nicky91 Nicky91 is offline
I <3 Amber, My dream wife
 
Join Date: Dec 2015
Location: Netherlands
Posts: 68,220


Nicky91 Nicky91 is offline
I <3 Amber, My dream wife
Nicky91's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2015
Location: Netherlands
Posts: 68,220


Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Soldier Boy View Post
To consider:

In 2016 I got 5/1 on Trump to be the next president, AFTER primaries, when it was down to just him and Hillary Clinton.

Currently, he's sitting at 11/10 favourite with most bookies ... and that's with multiple other candidates still in the race.

Two explanations for this. One is that they think it'll be a Biden-Trump election race and when it comes down to that, Trump will be odds-on favourite.

There is a slight illusion here though because the other explanation is that they think Biden might not run ... i.e. that on health grounds he might not make it to election night.

However I don't think that's likely. I think there are only a couple of even vaguely realistic scenarios here:

1) Trump is the next POTUS

2) The legal issues surrounding Trump result in him being ineligible to run.

3) Trump has a stroke or heart attack before the election. I mean he is 77.

Outsider 4) Biden (or other Democrat) is the next POTUS which tbh might make me believe in vote fixing conspiracies because in the current political landscape... I just don't think the Dems win the next presidency.
we'll see how things go in Florida


if they are gonna vote for a elitist new yorker or one of their own


and tbh DeSantis did a decent job as their governor so, and tbh under DeSantis the thing with mexican border will also get sorted out

maybe with lesser show for the media's to feed on than with reality star Donnie Trump


but tbh politics should always be taken super seriously, not treated as a reality tv show like big brother or i'm a celeb where its popularity contests (Trump feeds on all the likes from his deluded fans)
__________________
Strictly 2025 Favourite: George & Alexis, Karen & Carlos
Nicky91 is offline