Quote:
Originally Posted by ElProximo
No.
The reason is not oil.
It's amazing to me how many people love coming online (or on television) and (as if in the know) feel they just need to say the word 'Oil'.
Since I live in a region producing massive amount of oil and have family who worked in the oil business in Libya then lets try and understand a really basic thing in life:
Libya has to sell its oil. It doesn't matter who runs that place. They WILL CONTINUE selling oil.
Right now it's dictator sells massive amounts of oil at highly controlled and regulated prices.
If he is eliminated and Mohammad Mohammad King of the Rebels becomes Grand Poobah then guess what?
He will be selling that oil.
Makes no damn difference to us whatsoever.
The only possible problem could happen if some morons get in there who (somehow) try and shut down production or refuse to sell it.
Which would be STUPID for them.
Obviously.
Even a stupid Jihad moron leader easily gets the idea of having MASSIVE CASH GIVEN TO THEM.
And EVEN IF that happened you need to understand that other oil-producers just up their production.
If this was only about oil then the best case scenario is this idiot stays dictator and keeps selling massive amounts of oil.
So no. This is not about oil. Sorry that ruins a lot of peoples 'insider wink' thing,
but, if you just think of this for 1 minute you can see, quite obviously, it is not about oil.
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I dont necessarily think oil is the main reason for our intervention but your argument against that claim isnt particularly strong. Yes, anyone who was in power probably would sell oil, hence why a prolonged civil war is destabilising and detrimental to our oil trade and the quickest possible outcome would be preferable. And most of the oil fields are in the East where the Rebels were in control in a lot of the places and immediately began to sell oil to the West. If you were to look at in terms of oil, you can see why the West would want to support a Rebel victory and try and assist them in that cause