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Old 21-03-2015, 09:15 PM #1
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MTVN MTVN is offline
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Default General election predictions

Let's make them

So this is probably the most unpredictable election in ages. Basically certain it'll be a hung parliament and Labour and the Tories both look to be pretty far off any majority. I think the Tories will scrape more seats but only by a few, it's hard to see how they could form a majority because even if they renew coalition with the Lib Dems they're likely to be short because the Dems will lose quite a few seats (though I dont think as many as a lot of people expect). They'll have the DUP but that's not many, they maybe can work out a deal with Ukip but I can't see them getting more than 5 seats maximum, probably less

Actually I think even if they lose Labour will have the best chance of forming a majority with the SNP. I know they've ruled it out but tbh it probably would make sense and I expect they would at least take them up on a supply arrangement. Labour could also go into coalition with the Lib Dems and have supply arrangements with the SNP and Plaid Cymru which could actually give them a decent base. I expect the Greens will be wholly irrelevant and 2 seats is the best they can hope for

In terms of newspaper backing I am thinking:

Times: Conservative
Telegraph: Conservative
Guardian: Labour
Independent: Neutral
FT: Conservative
Daily Mail: Conservative
The Sun: Conservative
The Mirror: Labour
Daily Express: Ukip
Daily Star: Ukip

Other various predictions:
- Natalie Bennett to have an onset of some as yet undiscovered disease on the live debates when she can't remember how to fund the Greens policies
- Miliband will be involved in a second living room scandal
- Farage will consume over 100 pints in the course of his campaign
- Danny Alexander will do a UK tour with his yellow brief case
- Cameron will bring up the 'long term economic plan' at least 15 times in his sole tv debate
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