[joeysteele]

Originally Posted by CaudleHalbard

The likelihood is there will be another hung parliament. The chances of the Tories getting an overall majority are very slim indeed.

This means it is likely there will be no bill of rights - and no EU referendum either.

I can see a hung parliament happening although I still believe the polls are underestimating Labour's lead.
I think it is at least 5 to 6 points ahead.

I have never believed there will be a referendum, even if the Conservatives got an overall majority.
They would need an overall majority of around 90 to have any real chance of getting a referendum bill through,especially if a referendum on the EU looked like being a close result.

There are still strong EU supporters in the Conservative aprty and they would never risk the UK leaving the EU.
With only a small overall majority,at the time, Cameron would likely say,he hadn't the arithmetic to get a referendum bill through Parliament and it would be like a lot of his policies these last 4+ years be put on hold.

If however it is a hung Parliament,I expect a Labour/Lib Dem coalition will come this time,I think all efforts from all other Parties,except for the DUP in Northern Ireland, will want to see the Conservatives out of power.