[sampvt]

Originally Posted by Jules2

At the moment Nadia is favourite with Perez 2nd then Keith and Katie 4th. I wonder if Perez will go? I never bet myself but I love looking at the odds and percentages. Have to admit though I understand the percentages more than the odds.

Ive not had too many bets this year, last year I cleaned up on Jim and earlier Helen, but this year the value bets are not on the evictions, they are on the fringe bets like who reaches the finals and who doesn't.

The mere fact that Hoopo will win is a pretty safe bet and I was a little hesitant to bet her until I saw the first few show, so I only got 4/1 her in most of my bets which are spread around. I defo am happy about the Callum to reach the finals as that was a good bet at high odds but there is little value on the evictions. I did bet on Chloe to go but last week, although I fancied an upset, my nuts were not big enough to follow my thoughts and I let Patsy get away.

This week is a hard one but the value lies in a special bet ive been offered to see Perez out before the final at 3/1. That might be the way to go but if Nadia goes this week there are only a max of 2 more chances to see him oiked, so the jury is still out on that one.

My advice this week is to keep your powder dry until tomorrow afternoon and see what the odds are then. I am sure the 5/2 on cheggars is a ruse bet designed by the bookies to steal money or slow down the volume of bets on nadia. Im off to Malta next week so I might not bother with anymore bets because I am happy with my Callum and Hoppo bets but Pricey is the fly in the ointment with her fan base. She only needs to have a big storyline and all could go tits up because her fans are fanatics and will support her regardless of right or wrong.