[Captain.Remy]

Trump will probably take Georgia and Pennsylvania, and Biden will probably take Nevada and Arizona, making our grandpa Biden the winner.

[Nicky91]

Originally Posted by Captain.Remy

Trump will probably take Georgia and Pennsylvania, and Biden will probably take Nevada and Arizona, making our grandpa Biden the winner.

few areas in Pennsylvania which Biden has most votes, are Pittsburgh (to name a major one) and that one is mail-in vote heavy


i still so hope Biden wins, however then they should go on high alert for any attacks, cause those trump supporters really genuinely scare me

[arista]

Originally Posted by Captain.Remy

Trump will probably take Georgia and Pennsylvania, and Biden will probably take Nevada and Arizona, making our grandpa Biden the winner.

Yes
https://news.sky.com/story/us-electi...ts-up-12124085

[user104658]

Betting odds for Trump to win are now higher than at any point in 2016 (flitting between 11/2 and 6/1). If I hadn't already bet, I'd be betting now. I can see several paths to Trump staying in the White House.

Important to note: The bet on almost all sites is NOT "to win the election" - it's to be President in Jan 2021. That means bookies will have to pay no matter the route - i.e. if Trump retains the presidency through being ****ing dodgy then it still counts.

And in my gut, I think this is far from over. Trump cheats and Republicans don't care.

Sadly I can still see several paths to Trump still being prez next year.

[Oliver_W]

Originally Posted by Toy Soldier

Betting odds for Trump to win are now higher than at any point in 2016 (flitting between 11/2 and 6/1). If I hadn't already bet, I'd be betting now. I can see several paths to Trump staying in the White House.

Important to note: The bet on almost all sites is NOT "to win the election" - it's to be President in Jan 2021. That means bookies will have to pay no matter the route - i.e. if Trump retains the presidency through being ****ing dodgy then it still counts.

And in my gut, I think this is far from over. Trump cheats and Republicans don't care.

Sadly I can still see several paths to Trump still being prez next year.

Serious?! I thought by now Trump was basically history now...

Even if he does somehow swing it, the difference in popular vote is like 3% While a winner has only lost the PV twice before, the gap's never been that big!

[arista]

NYC Tax Evasion is ready to charge Trump
if he is no longer President.


So he better Fly to Scotland
as soon as he can.

[Nicky91]

Nevada = 6

Arizona = 11

so yes those two are crucial for Biden, and then he has reached 270

[SherzyK]

Any updates?

[bots]

Originally Posted by SherzyK

Any updates?

they are still confident of taking PA which would win it

Still confident in Arizona

Silly close in Georgia

[SherzyK]

Originally Posted by bitontheslide

they are still confident of taking PA which would win it

Still confident in Arizona

Silly close in Georgia

The waiting is the worst part. Going to sleep last night, confident that the counting would have been done only to wake up 7 hours later and nothings changed

[Oliver_W]

Originally Posted by SherzyK

The waiting is the worst part. Going to sleep last night, confident that the counting would have been done only to wake up 7 hours later and nothings changed

I was finding that odd, it feels like they've been 253 v 214 for about a year now Unless the map thing I'm looking at takes a while to update not even the percentages of votes counted have budged...

[bots]

Originally Posted by Oliver_W

I was finding that odd, it feels like they've been 253 v 214 for about a year now Unless the map thing I'm looking at takes a while to update not even the percentages of votes counted have budged...

they all worked for 48 hours straight, so they were all basically exhausted and went home for a kip i think

[Nicky91]

Originally Posted by bitontheslide

they are still confident of taking PA which would win it

Still confident in Arizona

Silly close in Georgia

Biden has 70k lead in Arizona


Trump has a 20k lead in Georgia, so yeah that is very close

[Nicky91]

currently at popular vote (does not mean too much, but it would be nice to have a president who wins in crucial states and popular vote for once again unlike 2016)

Biden 50.5%

Trump 47.6%

[Nicky91]

213
20
16
=
249

so even with PA, Georgia Trump has got not enough by far

[user104658]

Originally Posted by Nicky91

213
20
16
=
249

so even with PA, Georgia Trump has got not enough by far

He's at 214

+20 + 16 = 250

You missed North Carolina (15) and Alaska (3)

= 268

And he's looking to flip Arizona (11) which IMO is very possible

= 279 (Trump wins)

He's demanding recounts elsewhere etc but I think those are less likely to result in anything.

Anyway - Biden needs to either KEEP Arizona and win NV for a total of 270 - or flip Pennsylvania which alone puts him at 273 (both Biden win scenarios). He MIGHT keep both AND flip PA which would give him 290 - a more decisive win.

I don't see any other realistic voting scenarios.

However I think we're in for several weeks of Trump trying to upend multiple states if the election is called for Biden. This becomes LESS likely the further over 270 Biden goes.

[Nicky91]

Alaska would put trump then at 254, so yeah he needs Arizona, and its not looking like that will happen (knocks on wood)

so yeah the best thing what can happen now (for all our stress levels) is for confirmation of Biden winning Arizona, so Trump misses out on those crucial points

[The Slim Reaper]

Basically Trump has only one way to get the votes, and Biden has a few.

[Nicky91]

Originally Posted by The Slim Reaper

Basically Trump has only one way to get the votes, and Biden has a few.

Biden can also get to 290 in theory

since he is gaining ground in PA (i saw what CNN showed us just now in that hour by hour graphic yesterday till now)

[The Slim Reaper]

Originally Posted by Nicky91

Biden can also get to 290 in theory

since he is gaining ground in PA (i saw what CNN showed us just now in that hour by hour graphic yesterday till now)

In theory he can still hit 306 semi-realistically, although not likely.

[Oliver_W]

Originally Posted by The Slim Reaper

In theory he can still hit 306 semi-realistically, although not likely.

That'd be better than a close one, if it came down to one or two states it won't be over for a looong time, whereas if Trump gets totally buttfucked there's more chance that will be the end of it.

[DouglasS]

Even if Biden gets 70% of the remaining Georgia ballots he will lose it. He needs more than 75%, which is looking very difficult.

There’s only a 18k difference, but there is only about 50k ballots to be counted, meaning to overtake he needs 35k of those 50k ballots compared with trump getting less than 15k.

Yea Biden is closing the gap, getting around 65-70% of postal votes, but to pull off 75% would be difficult

[The Slim Reaper]

Originally Posted by DouglasS

Even if Biden gets 70% of the remaining Georgia ballots he will lose it. He needs more than 75%, which is looking very difficult.

There’s only a 18k difference, but there is only about 50k ballots to be counted, meaning to overtake he needs 35k of those 50k ballots compared with trump getting less than 15k.

Yea Biden is closing the gap, getting around 65-70% of postal votes, but to pull off 75% would be difficult

Welcome to the genuine discussion.

[Samm]

About Georgia!

60K+ votes left, and all mail ins! great for biden. let’s go democracy

[DouglasS]

Originally Posted by Samm

About Georgia!

60K+ votes left, and all mail ins! great for biden. let’s go democracy

I can understand why Trump and his supports beleive it is fraud when it’s almost universally reported that 99% of ballots have been counted in Georgia, and then suddenly it goes back down to 96% as suddenly there are more ballots unexpectedly. That is obviously causing confusion.