[arista]

[New Year's eve on a knife edge: PM to rule on
new restrictions on Monday as scientists
predict any new curbs on socialising
could be in place until late MARCH - while London's
daily Covid hospital admissions surge by 92%
The PM is set to review the latest Covid figures
on Monday as further restriction could
be imposed before NYE
Covid hospital admissions in London
are within touching distance of the
threshold of 400 for a lockdown
Ministers are said to be watching
admission rates in London before pulling
the trigger on more national curbs]




But the next 2 Days there are no Guide Numbers



[The modelling has not yet been seen by
ministers,
who are expected to make a decision early next week,
potentially as soon as Monday,
on extra restrictions.
The work was completed before the
latest data suggesting the Omicron variant
may produce less severe illness than the
Delta strain of coronavirus.

A consensus paper by the
Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group
on Modelling, Operational sub-group (Spi-M-O) published
today said 'rapidly enacted Step 2 measures
reduce the peak of hospital pressure to about
half its level under Plan B only'.
It also included a model examining the impact
'non-mandated behaviour change' would
have if it reduced mixing by half the amount
that Step 2 would achieve.]


https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...ons-surge.html

[Zizu]

Originally Posted by arista

[

But the next 2 Days there are no Guide Numbers



[The modelling has not yet been seen by
ministers,
who are expected to make a decision early next week,
potentially as soon as Monday,
on extra restrictions.
The work was completed before the
latest data suggesting the Omicron variant
may produce less severe illness than the
Delta strain of coronavirus.

[/url]

Yikes the new infections figure will be frightening by Tuesday I reckon..

The thing about this new data modelling is that it’s apparently based on 131 patients !?!?

That’s not a number I would trust tbh


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[Zizu]

Originally Posted by Zizu

Yikes the new infections figure will be frightening by Tuesday I reckon..



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130,000 is rather concerning ..


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[arista]

Originally Posted by Zizu

130,000 is rather concerning ..

Yes, a larger amount infected
but many could be the milder Omicron Variant, of course

We need Delta amounts
and Omicron Amounts

Ch4HDnews stated the numbers are incomplete

[Zizu]

Originally Posted by arista

Yes, a larger amount infected
but many could be the milder Omicron Variant, of course

We need Delta amounts
and Omicron Amounts

Ch4HDnews stated the numbers are incomplete

The problem is that even if they are the omicron variant which may or may not be milder there is still the chance of a huge number of hospitalisations ...

For arguments sake ... if 10 % of Delta need hospitalisations whilst only 2% of Omicron need hospital treatment BUT there’s 10 times more infections (130,000 just today ) then that’s still double the ACTUAL number of people taking up hospital beds .


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[bots]

Originally Posted by arista

Yes, a larger amount infected
but many could be the milder Omicron Variant, of course

We need Delta amounts
and Omicron Amounts

Ch4HDnews stated the numbers are incomplete

90%+ infections are omicron now

[Zizu]

Originally Posted by MeghansLetterToSanta

90%+ infections are omicron now

But we don’t know for sure how this variant is gonna play out . The first stats for it were apparently 11/12/21 which is just over two weeks ago ..

The data the government have been looking at was based on just 132 Omicron patients which is bollox imho


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[Crimson Dynamo]

Originally Posted by Zizu

But we don’t know for sure how this variant is gonna play out . The first stats for it were apparently 11/12/21 which is just over two weeks ago ..

The data the government have been looking at was based on just 132 Omicron patients which is bollox imho


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We have solid data from SA and so far it's been bang on

[bots]

Originally Posted by Zizu

But we don’t know for sure how this variant is gonna play out . The first stats for it were apparently 11/12/21 which is just over two weeks ago ..

The data the government have been looking at was based on just 132 Omicron patients which is bollox imho


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the time to hospitalisation with omicron is apparently 5 days, much faster than delta. Everything is compressed, infection time, severity and time to hospitalisation. So we actually have plenty evidence. The number of omicron patients in hospital is now just over 200, 30% of those were admitted for something other than covid

The number of patients requiring oxygen, the important stat, is going down, and the overwhelming majority of those are patients with delta

[bots]

Originally Posted by Zizu

130,000 is rather concerning ..


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the faster people are infected, the quicker things will return to normal. This will be over by mid january

[arista]

Originally Posted by MeghansLetterToSanta

the faster people are infected, the quicker things will return to normal. This will be over by mid january

But there is a major problem
in the World. So many have not had a Vaccine,
and that's how they say more
Variants will appear.

[Zizu]

Originally Posted by MeghansLetterToSanta

the faster people are infected, the quicker things will return to normal. This will be over by mid january

Which January




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