Quote:
Originally Posted by RCW1945
Why don't you all join the Society for P.E.F.B.O.N.E.
(pseudo-erudite forecasts based on no evidence)
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As always, there is plenty of 'form' that can be deduced from a pletora of sources. These include the multiple polls on many sites and the knowlege of voting trends from previous series.
As regards first evictee, I'd ask you to condider that the bookies have opened incorrectly on an eviction only once since mid BB7 - that was when Freddie was evicted BB10. That came about due to that HM's suicidal self-destruction in the days leading to eviction which made the opening prices out-of-date
The position is further complicated by a double eviction given that the received wisdom that few people vote more that once. Coupled with this is Sov's apparent meltdown which make the 2 evictees difficult to forecast.
This is why whey call it 'gambling' rather than 'investment'