FAQ |
Members List |
Calendar |
Search |
Today's Posts |
28-01-2010, 11:03 PM | #1 | ||
|
|||
Senior Member
|
To 40/1 from 1000/1, but why?
|
||
Reply With Quote |
28-01-2010, 11:04 PM | #2 | |||
|
||||
V.I.P
|
Davina!
__________________
|
|||
Reply With Quote |
28-01-2010, 11:07 PM | #3 | ||
|
|||
Senior Member
|
100/1 now, it wouldn't surprise me if BB served an incredible twist in this final devil show
|
||
Reply With Quote |
28-01-2010, 11:09 PM | #4 | |||
|
||||
Senior Member
|
That is not slashed - that means collapsed massively. Essentially nobody will take 'any other' as nobody but the 5 is going to win. The 40/1 was on the vague hope that another candidate could be eligible.
|
|||
Reply With Quote |
28-01-2010, 11:11 PM | #5 | |||
|
||||
Senior Member
|
What are the odds on one of the other 4 winning, bar Alex?
|
|||
Reply With Quote |
28-01-2010, 11:11 PM | #6 | |||
|
||||
Senior Member
|
|
|||
Reply With Quote |
28-01-2010, 11:11 PM | #7 | ||
|
|||
Senior Member
|
They did with me the other day when it was known someone else was going in, i layed a measly Ł6 at 80/1
|
||
Reply With Quote |
28-01-2010, 11:14 PM | #8 | |||
|
||||
Senior Member
|
|
|||
Reply With Quote |
28-01-2010, 11:17 PM | #9 | |||
|
||||
Senior Member
|
|
|||
Reply With Quote |
28-01-2010, 11:17 PM | #10 | |||
|
||||
V.I.P
|
Maybe Satan can go in tomarrow morning and will win!
__________________
|
|||
Reply With Quote |
28-01-2010, 11:18 PM | #11 | ||
|
|||
0_o
|
Wow...thought he would have better odds than that.
The jonas brigade arent going to be happy...
__________________
Quote:
|
||
Reply With Quote |
28-01-2010, 11:19 PM | #12 | |||
|
||||
Senior Member
|
|
|||
Reply With Quote |
28-01-2010, 11:20 PM | #13 | |||
|
||||
Senior Member
|
|
|||
Reply With Quote |
28-01-2010, 11:22 PM | #14 | |||
|
||||
Senior Member
|
I think it adds up to approx 3/1 the field, (or 12/4). So Alex is still favourite to beat all others put together.
|
|||
Reply With Quote |
28-01-2010, 11:23 PM | #15 | |||
|
||||
Senior Member
|
No you don't - it would takes ages to explain why in a 2 way contest you don't necessarily get stuff like 1/3 vs 3/1, but please trust it doesn't work that way. For example, the odds are very generous on Steph as reasitically speaking she will not win- so people might be willi ng to offer 75/1 just to fleece you of your stake money at virtually 0 risk.
|
|||
Reply With Quote |
28-01-2010, 11:25 PM | #16 | |||
|
||||
Senior Member
|
|
|||
Reply With Quote |
28-01-2010, 11:28 PM | #17 | |||
|
||||
Senior Member
|
|
|||
Reply With Quote |
28-01-2010, 11:30 PM | #18 | |||
|
||||
Senior Member
|
Betfair is always more generous than the bookies who have closed overnight - but even at close they were offering 15/1 to 17/1 ............a good margin behind the top 3
|
|||
Reply With Quote |
28-01-2010, 11:32 PM | #19 | |||
|
||||
Senior Member
|
Believe as you wish (as I'd say to Stephen). And yes you would in my given example - or more realistically you'd just be Ł10 poorer.
|
|||
Reply With Quote |
28-01-2010, 11:35 PM | #20 | |||
|
||||
Senior Member
|
Odds have to balance on Betfair because you can bet and then lay. If there was a leak, you could just bet cheap and lay dear.
That's how it used to work, if during a football game a team was winnng 3-0 with ten minutes left, you might get 1/100 to bet, and 100/1 theirr opponent. The market would shut up, book would close when there wasn't the remotest possibility of a team winning/losing. The margin between backing and laying went to the house, Betfair, like commission. That's my understanding, I had a lot of fun during the 2006 WC on Betfair. Last edited by Nemo123; 28-01-2010 at 11:40 PM. |
|||
Reply With Quote |
28-01-2010, 11:44 PM | #21 | |||
|
||||
Senior Member
|
Quote:
Where most amateur traders (me) make money is on trading on trends - so for example I layed on Jonas @ 10/1 when the polls being overoptomistic leading to an overoptomistic price. I was able to back @ 40/1 this evening an amount which means I make a profit irrespective of whether he wins or not. His outcome is now irrelevant to me. Similarly, I have schemes on them all. I've not actually made a 'back to win' which I'll keep. Last edited by Claymores; 28-01-2010 at 11:48 PM. |
|||
Reply With Quote |
28-01-2010, 11:54 PM | #22 | |||
|
||||
Senior Member
|
Quote:
I'm tempted to buy more Jonas if I can get offered 40/1 again as that seems way too generous! But I'm crap at winner guessing - only serously gamble on evictions!!!!! |
|||
Reply With Quote |
29-01-2010, 12:04 AM | #23 | ||
|
|||
Banned
|
Quote:
If you want 39/1 on Terry Jenkins,get your butt on betfair. |
||
Reply With Quote |
Reply |
|
|