[Nedusa]

Originally Posted by joeysteele

I think the whole EU issue as raised by David Cameron is another of his big mistakes.
I have never believed he could have deliver a referendum that looked like being close or even lost.

He knows clearly that he will not get an overall majority Govt in 2015 and that even if he did, the majority would be a small one thereby allowing him to say he cannot get the full referendum plan enacted because of the arithemetic of the house of commons.

This move now by this MP could create an even further headache for the PM and in fact, this MP is saying in effect what people are likely thinking too,that the PM cannot be believed on this issue now.

He hoped the EU issue could be a vote winner, it may actually be one of the things that cause him so many problems in the campaign.
Show up even more divisions in the Conservative party as to Europe and end up massively backfiring on him, just like Hagues save the pound crusade did in the 2001 election.
UKIP meanwhile must be rubbing their hands with glee.

I agree I also do not think the Tories can win an outright majority in 2015. I do not think anybody will and if Labour win more seats than the Tories then do not think the Lib dems won't jump into into another Coalition with Labour because they will. In fact they are closer to Labour than the Tories.

One thing though nobody knows at this moment in time how much impact UKIP will have on the results of the 2015 election, maybe the coalition that forms Govt in 2015 may consist of more than two parties....!!!

That would be a first............