[waylander1973]

Originally Posted by adamski94

you do realise that betting doesnt make someone win?

It's does people will vote to protect their winnings.

If ashleigh does has 25% of all bets placed then, she is well place to win.

If lots of people place a large amount of bets on helen then she might sneak a win.

[chuff me dizzy]

Originally Posted by waylander1973

It's does people will vote to protect their winnings.

If ashleigh does has 25% of all bets placed then, she is well place to win.

If lots of people place a large amount of bets on helen then she might sneak a win.

25% of bets? are you joking ? she's the only one drifting

[MB.]

Originally Posted by chuff me dizzy

25% of bets? are you joking ? she's the only one drifting

Of course she isn't the only one drifting. Have you not seen Chris' odds?

[waylander1973]

Originally Posted by chuff me dizzy

25% of bets? are you joking ? she's the only one drifting

Ashleigh has a big online fan base, you free to dislike her and I think she shouldn't win as well, but she is popular there is not point denial that fact.

There is large amount of money on her winning, so people will vote to collect their winnings, only a really bad edit can stop ashleigh now.

[chuff me dizzy]

Originally Posted by waylander1973

Ashleigh has a big online fans, you free to dislike her and I think she shouldn't win as well, but she is popular there is not point denial that fact.

There is large amount of money on her winning, so people will vote to collect their winnings, only a really bad edit can stop ashleigh now.

But will the vote ? and PLEASE don't say "Oh yes, they will all vote" as you or I do not know who will vote, but its not hard to work out if someones gone to the trouble to bet ,they will also vote, a hell of a lot of money has gone on Helen to bring her in from 25-1 yesterday to 6-1 in some places today ,and I'm talking a LOT of money

[waylander1973]

Originally Posted by chuff me dizzy

But will the vote ? and PLEASE don't say "Oh yes, they will all vote" as you or I do not know who will vote, but its not hard to work out if someones gone to the trouble to bet ,they will also vote, a hell of a lot of money has gone on Helen to bring her in from 25-1 yesterday to 6-1 in some places today ,and I'm talking a LOT of money

Ashleigh odds a few weeks ago were like 9/1, To answer your point well I bet on a mark and winston togo last week and I did vote quite bit to make sure I got my money back with 12/1 odds I got. I certain those with money on a housemate to win will vote as well, I find hard to believe if someone put money on a housemate to win will not vote at this stage in the game.

[Jules2]

Originally Posted by waylander1973

Ashleigh odds a few weeks ago were like 9/1, To answer your point well I bet on a mark and winston togo last week and I did vote quite bit to make sure I got my money back with 12/1 odds I got. I certain those with money on a housemate to win will vote as well, I find hard to believe if someone put money on a housemate to win will not vote at this stage in the game.

Ah this is what I am trying to say but you have said it so much better.

[Jules2]

Originally Posted by chuff me dizzy

But will the vote ? and PLEASE don't say "Oh yes, they will all vote" as you or I do not know who will vote, but its not hard to work out if someones gone to the trouble to bet ,they will also vote, a hell of a lot of money has gone on Helen to bring her in from 25-1 yesterday to 6-1 in some places today ,and I'm talking a LOT of money

Imo it is anyones game at the moment, someone put 1,000 bet on Helen yesterday but we have to remember that those who have put bets on the others will also try and make sure that they get their rewards. Chris had been top of the shop for a long time so those who put their money in then and now will want to use the telephone as well. This is what will count at the end of the day as we know....it is all about the lolly.

[chuff me dizzy]

Originally Posted by Jules2

Imo it is anyones game at the moment, someone put 1,000 bet on Helen yesterday but we have to remember that those who have put bets on the others will also try and make sure that they get their rewards. Chris had been top of the shop for a long time so those who put their money in then and now will want to use the telephone as well. This is what will count at the end of the day as we know....it is all about the lolly.

My hubby works in a bookies, it takes a LOT more than £1000 to change the odds that much

[Jules2]

Originally Posted by chuff me dizzy

My hubby works in a bookies, it takes a LOT more than £1000 to change the odds that much

I was just making a stament of truth tbh, I do not understand the legistics myself but logic tells me that those who have bet over the season, will want to try and make their bets valid. Thus the three who were in the top will have had a lot of bets already on them enabling them to stay at the top. Thus, hopefully, many telephone votes. Only my theories. It is a funny old thing this betting lark, I keep an eye on Oddschecker but have seen many go astray.

Not a betting person myself though.

[user104658]

Originally Posted by chuff me dizzy

My hubby works in a bookies, it takes a LOT more than £1000 to change the odds that much

That's true but it's also more complicated than that, the size of the bets makes a difference not just the overall total.

e.g. 100 x £1000 bets on a housemate is much more likely to alter the odds than 10000 x £10 bets... even though the total money staked in each scenario is £100,000.

The reason being that a "serious" bet of £1000 will catch the bookmakers attention (the actual bookmakers, the people sitting in London playing with the odds) whereas a "casual" bet of £10 means much less, even if there are a tonne of them.

A small £10 bet is just a hopeful "throwaway" flutter that someone might place just because they like the person or fancy a bet at bigger odds... whereas a £1000 (or bigger) bet on a selection with long odds suggests that whoever is placing the bet really thinks there is a good chance of a win. In horse racing it can suggest insider / trainer knowledge (e.g. info has leaked that the favourite for that race has been erratic in training recently).

For a show like Big Brother, big bets being placed on an outsider could suggest that there's a campaign going on that might affect the outcome, or people have gotten wind of events in the house that are likely to sway opinion but haven't been aired on television yet. In this case, I'd say the "secret room" task has played a big part in prompting an increase in Helen to Win bets and the corresponding plummeting odds.

Even just thinking back to last year... Dexter and Gina's popularity soared when they were in the secret room. And on final week...