[mike888]

Little Mix have the best chance ever of becoming the first group to win The X Factor. Unlike One Direction last year, who's fragile support melted away in the final, these 4 girls have won over a good majority of the viewing public and have an ever increasing fanbase.

Go back to The X Factor poll for last year and you'll see that Matt Cardle topped it with Rebecca Ferguson 2nd and One Direction 3rd. Everyone was expecting One Direction to win but it was just hype, at the end of the day they didn't have the hard core of supporters that Little Mix have got.

I did 2 seperate counts of the thousands of comments that were posted on Facebook over the weekend and both times it came out very similar with only 1% difference between the 2 surveys. I've done this before with other reality shows and it's been a really accurate guide as to public opinion.

This is how it worked out:

Little Mix.................. 36%
Marcus Collins........... 30%
Amelia Lily................ 23%
Misha B................... 11%

The only worry would be that the supporters of Little Mix are of a younger demographic than Marcus Collins and it's possible therefore that their supporters won't vote as many times, if at all, and with only 6% between them, that could swing it for Marcus, but as it stands at the moment Little Mix are in with a really big shot at winning. They are a breath of fresh air for the show, and are the only hope of saving us from yet another boring solo artist who will disappear into obscurity after their 12 month recording deal is up.

If you're a Little Mix supporter please don't forget to vote and come and 'like' the 'Little Mix to win X Factor 2011' page on Facebook


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New updated Facebook figures for this weeks show:

Little Mix.................... 36%
Marcus Collins............. 24%
Amelia Lily.................. 23%
Misha B...................... 17%

Looks like Little Mix are increasing their lead show by show now, they certainly have an enormous fanbase and they're certainly going to take some stopping in the final next weekend, but for the first time it looks like Amelia Lily could be their nearest challenger instead of Marcus Collins who's support seems to be gradually drifting away, mainly to Amelia Lily and to a lesser extent Misha B, although it looks likely she'll be eliminated later on today which could benefit Amelia enormously. She would need to pick up the majority of Misha's support though if she is to be any sort of threat to those Little Mixers, which at the moment looks unlikely.

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Updated figures after Misha B eliminated:

Little Mix................ 41%
Marcus.................. 33%
Amelia Lily.............. 26%

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The latest up to date figures for the final are posted below.

[Mystic Mock]

I think Little Mix have got a shot at winning,but I think Gary will have to win his first year as head judge so I will go for a Marcus win.

[Brother Leon]

If this group ends up being the first to win X Factor


I am pretty sure if you had the exact same performances and voices from a sexy group of big breasted blondes in mini skirts they would be out in week 1

[Mystic Mock]

Originally Posted by King_Anton

If this group ends up being the first to win X Factor


I am pretty sure if you had the exact same performances and voices from a sexy group of big breasted blondes in mini skirts they would be out in week 1

If not week 1 then week 2,unless they threw out performances like E.T earlier.

[Strictly Jake]

Really really hope they win!

[fruit_cake]

I think they can win

[Marc]

I think they'll come 3rd.

If they aren't in the bottom two this week then I will reconsider.

[robb]

I think they can and may well win. A few reasons...their performances are winning praise from other 'bands' and many twitter celebs, the judges are right behind them (unlike Janet), and the support for the others, particularly the two girls left, may not be that reliable (both have been in the bottom 2, and girls may NOT FANCY marcus quite so much as at the start of the show...lol) .

[Z]

I think they are definitely being helped by circumstances. The X Factor has clearly always wanted a girl band to be launched off the back of it. Case in point: Simon Cowell trying to champion Hope to the final. They've had trial and error ever since (Bad Lashes, Girlband, Kandy Rain, Miss Frank, Belle Amie) but have finally got it right. Making sure they don't dress trashily is the key point. Kicking 2 Shoes out to make sure nobody is tempted to vote for another girl group. Turning the boy bands into complete jokes. The "eye candy" not really being there (I don't acknowledge Frankie as being eye candy, but in any case he got kicked off.) The fact that they've not had a bad performance yet also helps hugely, as other contestants have been misfiring left, right and centre. Their image is very important, the fact that one of them has been picked on for being "fat" in the media and the way they've dealt with it is bound to endear them to voters. They've been making sensible song choices to appeal to a younger market, the market who are the most avid fans of the show (e.g. singing Katy Perry, Justin Bieber, Rihanna...)

It'll come down to them vs Marcus in the top two now, I'm convinced of it, and I hope they manage to win!

[mike888]

Just to update my Facebook figures this is how it looks now we are down to the final 2:

Marcus................. 32%
Little Mix.............. 68%

It looks like nearly all Amelia's support has now shifted to Tulisa's Little Muffins

[Mystic Mock]

I still think Marcus will have more support with the general public than Little Mix.

[Marc]

I think Amelia's fan base will all vote Littlemix now

[mike888]

Originally Posted by Bethlehem

I still think Marcus will have more support with the general public than Little Mix.

Hmmm don't think so somehow!!!

[Mystic Mock]

Originally Posted by mike888

Hmmm don't think so somehow!!!

I feel like an idiot now.

I just couldnt see anybody but Gary winning his first year as head judge so I was thinking that Marcus would win with Little Mix 2nd.

[mike888]

Originally Posted by Bethlehem

I feel like an idiot now.

I just couldnt see anybody but Gary winning his first year as head judge so I was thinking that Marcus would win with Little Mix 2nd.

The Facebook comments told the story, they have never let me down yet and have always been a really good guide as to the outcome of these shows.

Marcus was breathing down the girl's necks (if you'll pardon the expression) but when Amelia Lily came third that sealed it for Little Mix as they picked up almost all of her support and I had them at least 36% in the lead after that.

We didn't know it at the time but it was telling that Marcus didn't 'win' any of the weekly shows which probably shows the girls would have won it anyway even without the Amelia Lily support.

It would be interesting to see what the winning percentage was but it doesn't look like ITV are going to reveal it.

Thanks to everyone for commenting

[Mystic Mock]

Originally Posted by mike888

The Facebook comments told the story, they have never let me down yet and have always been a really good guide as to the outcome of these shows.

Marcus was breathing down the girl's necks (if you'll pardon the expression) but when Amelia Lily came third that sealed it for Little Mix as they picked up almost all of her support and I had them at least 36% in the lead after that.

We didn't know it at the time but it was telling that Marcus didn't 'win' any of the weekly shows which probably shows the girls would have won it anyway even without the Amelia Lily support.

It would be interesting to see what the winning percentage was but it doesn't look like ITV are going to reveal it.

Thanks to everyone for commenting

Your welcome Mike888,and im following your results from now on as they seem to be quite accuate.