[Brillopad]

https://yougov.co.uk/news/categories/voting-intention/

Not changed much, as expected - 43% Labour and 41% Tories. Considerably more reliable than the Mirror stating 44% Labour and 37% Tories - a huge 5% difference. Who would you believe?

[Withano]

The most recent poll, carried out by Survation, who seem to be one of the most consistently accurate pollster, have it at 44:37. Its a shame we're stuck with the tories, its clearly not the will of the people.

[Withano]

Thanks for highlighting this, its good to see a pro-labour thread in the forum for a change.

[In the Drunk Tank]

Originally Posted by Withano

The most recent poll, carried out by Survation, who seem to be one of the most consistently accurate pollster, have it at 45:37. Its a shame we're stuck with the tories, its clearly not the will of the people.

So how does December work out as the most recent poll?

A poll four days ago actually put the Tories ahead: https://order-order.com/2018/03/06/a...-tories-ahead/

[Tom4784]

I'm skeptical of any polls, they didn't get it right the last time or with the referendum.

[reece(:]

Polls aren't to be trusted after getting it wrong so many times.

[Withano]

Originally Posted by MTVN

So how does December work out as the most recent poll?

A poll four days ago actually put the Tories ahead: https://order-order.com/2018/03/06/a...-tories-ahead/

That isnt the most recent graph actually. My bad

[Withano]

Polls tend to be skewed in right wings favour in this country, so this is promising for me.

[Brillopad]

Originally Posted by Withano

Thanks for highlighting this, its good to see a pro-labour thread in the forum for a change.

If you make comparisons with previous polls a small change is the norm. I think your ‘enthusiasm’ and reading more into it than that is only to be expected.

[Withano]

Originally Posted by Brillopad

If you make comparisons with previous polls a small change is the norm. I think your ‘enthusiasm’ and reading more into it than that is only to be expected.

Yep, a small change is the norm, a few consistant small changes is a different thing entirely though.

[Twosugars]

I hope Labour and others will destroy Tories in London local elections in May

[Kazanne]

Originally Posted by Twosugars

I hope Labour and others will destroy Tories in London local elections in May

They probably will as they have form on 'destroying' things

[Brillopad]

Originally Posted by Withano

Yep, a small change is the norm, a few consistant small changes is a different thing entirely though.

Nope. It’s being going on like that for ages. Besides even if it were true it’s like how in the local elections people make a protest vote - but when it comes to the real thing they go with their heads and hearts. You will see.

[Withano]

Originally Posted by Brillopad

Nope. It’s being going on like that for ages.

Well.. exactly, but you're the only one to make a thread highlighting their success. What else was you planning on talking about if not that?

[Brillopad]

Originally Posted by Withano

Well.. exactly, but you're the only one to make a thread highlighting their success. What else was you planning on talking about if not that?

I wasn’t highlighting Labour’s success - I wasn’t aware their was one. I was drawing attention to the convenient discrepancy between two polls and how small changes like that are very unlikely to lead to a Labour win. People are desperate to believe that, I understand that, but facts are facts.

[Withano]

Originally Posted by Brillopad

I wasn’t highlighting Labour’s success. I was drawing attention to the convenient discrepancy between two polls and how small changes like that are very unlikely to lead to a Labour win. People are desperate to believe that, I understand that, but facts are facts.

Yeh it would be a bit daft to only look at one poll result, it would be better to look at the last ten or fifteen, which show a large majority of Labour wins, and very few tory wins.
Take into consideration how right-leaning the polls tended to be before the election and brexit too, and the picture looks very different.

I'm a bit confused why you made this thread now? Seems a bit baity if it wasnt supposed to be a discussion on the poll results afterall.

[Kizzy]

Every day the tories make themselves more and more unattractive to more and more people, I welcome any shift towards Labour.

[Merry Mockmas]

Originally Posted by MTVN

So how does December work out as the most recent poll?

A poll four days ago actually put the Tories ahead: https://order-order.com/2018/03/06/a...-tories-ahead/

Interesting that Greens are ahead of UKIP on that poll.

[DemolitionRed]

Originally Posted by Mystic Mock

Interesting that Greens are ahead of UKIP on that poll.

UKIP have been thrown into the long grass. The Greens are definitely a party I'd support if and when they come up with a decent leader.

[Northern Monkey]

Originally Posted by Dezzy

I'm skeptical of any polls, they didn't get it right the last time or with the referendum.

This

[Northern Monkey]

Originally Posted by Mystic Mock

Interesting that Greens are ahead of UKIP on that poll.

UKIP are dead

[user104658]

Polls had "Stay" (referendum) and "Clinton" (US presidential) ahead by such huge margins that bookies were giving 1/5 on for each. They also didn't reflect the latest GE at all. I'm not sure they're even close to accurate.

[Wizard.]

Originally Posted by Withano

Polls tend to be skewed in right wings favour in this country, so this is promising for me.

It's actually the other way around. In both the 2010 and 2015 elections the polls had Labour much higher than the what actually happened. It's only in the 2017 GE where Labour did better than predicted and the Conservatives did worse.

[Wizard.]

When Labour loses the next GE the Labour mob have to remove Jeremy "I will not be moved" and take him down.

[Withano]

Originally Posted by Toy Soldier

Polls had "Stay" (referendum) and "Clinton" (US presidential) ahead by such huge margins that bookies were giving 1/5 on for each. They also didn't reflect the latest GE at all. I'm not sure they're even close to accurate.

Leave was consistently higher than remain in the polls, apart from the short spike after Cox's murder... it's just that nobody believed the polls back then, but they were well within the margin of error.