[Patrick]

Was having a chat there with my Uncle about next year's election, and whether Cameron will win another term or not.

Just out of curiosity, out of the three main parties - who do you guys THINK will win overall, at next year's election?

[Joelle.]

Labour. The anti-Tory vote won't be split for Labour and Lib Dem this time (since the Libs betrayed all their supporters). Labour will get a much higher proportion and Cameron and his cronies will only have their staunch supporters behind them. I personally don't think they stand a chance. Fingers crossed...

[Jack_]

I'd thought for a while we could end up with another hung parliament with Labour as the largest party but if they get their policies right (the promotional stuff and Milliband's party conference speech last year are/were really good) then they could win an outright majority, but we'll see.

[MTVN]

Probably Labour, unless the economic recovery really picks up in the next couple of years

[Brother Leon]

Another Coalition.

[Cherie]

Originally Posted by Patrick

Was having a chat there with my Uncle about next year's election, and whether Cameron will win another term or not.

Just out of curiosity, out of the three main parties - who do you guys THINK will win overall, at next year's election?

General Election is 2015??. Too early to call it at the moment.

[bbfan1991]

Labour, but they are all as bad as each other which is probably why I stay out of anything political, so I don't quite buy into some peoples theories that Labour will magically turn the country around again as soon as they win the next election.

[arista]

Originally Posted by Patrick

Was having a chat there with my Uncle about next year's election, and whether Cameron will win another term or not.

Just out of curiosity, out of the three main parties - who do you guys THINK will win overall, at next year's election?

Yout date Is Wrong

The Next General Election is May 2015
Fact

[Patrick]

Originally Posted by Cherie

General Election is 2015??. Too early to call it at the moment.

Originally Posted by arista

Yout date Is Wrong

The Next General Election is May 2015
Fact

Awkward for me. Was getting the year mixed up with the next World Cup Haven't a clue why.

[Roy Mars III]

Conservative hopefully. Cameron is a great man

[King Gizzard]

LAB with any luck

[arista]

The Labour Leader is not liked or trusted.


Reported today on Sunday Politics

[Omah]

Originally Posted by arista

The Labour Leader is not liked or trusted.

Is any Labour Leader since Clement Attlee?

[arista]

Originally Posted by Omah

Is any Labour Leader since Clement Attlee?

Blair was liked a few times.

New Labour New Tory

[Omah]

Originally Posted by arista

Blair was liked a few times.

Some voters were easily impressed .....

Luckily, Miliband is impressing nobody .....

The term "lame duck" comes to mind .....

[Omah]

The one that's not in power now .....

[reece(:]

Hopefully Labour, we're in a bigger mess right now than we were in Brown's run.

[Niall]

I think Labour might edge it by a little actually. There's this near universal anti-Tory sentiment across the country right now, and the Lib Dems don't have a hope in hell of ever getting back into power. Ever.

[Firewire]

Labour, hopefully.

[joeysteele]

For me I think and hope Labour.
If the boundary changes had been passed for the next election then maybe it could have been closer than is likely to be now without them.

The Labour party can be level with the Conservatives and still be the largest party after the election, if they are ahead by anything from 2% to 3% then an overall majority is likely for Labour.
The Conservatives have to be at least 5% ahead of Labour to have any chance of winning even the tiniest of overall majorities.

I cannot see that and the effects of policies like the benefit changes and bedroom tax all sifting through in to 2014 and beyond will make any Conservative revival unlikely and near impossible.

I cannot see any way where the Conservative party can get more than the 36% they got in 2010, I cannot see Labour getting less than 37% so for me it is a Labour Govt with at least a 30 overall majority and likely much more.

[arista]

joey did you not watch the Sunday Politics?


Your Labour has the Wrong Leader

[Cherie]

Originally Posted by Patrick

Awkward for me. Was getting the year mixed up with the next World Cup Haven't a clue why.

Easily done lol.

Originally Posted by arista

joey did you not watch the Sunday Politics?


Your Labour has the Wrong Leader

The wrong Milliband is at the helm unfortunately.

[joeysteele]

Originally Posted by arista

joey did you not watch the Sunday Politics?


Your Labour has the Wrong Leader

I did indeed arista,I would also agree with you as to that, but perceived as having the wrong leader does not lose parties elections always.

Margaret Thatcher was personally well behind James Callaghan in 1979 but still won the election as Ted Heath was too as opposed to Harold Wilson in 1970 but Ted won it.

All Labour have to do for me is to state that they will look again at the structure of the benefit reforms especially the bedroom tax, not repeal it but look at it with the view to reducing the effects of it.
Also that they will set out to repeal what they can of the disastrous NHS reforms wrongly put in place by this Coalition.

To also state they will instil compassion into the welfare reforms and not charge in like a bull in a china shop with no thought for the consequences on the most vulnerable people lives like this lot have.

Those policies would be in themselves enough for me and will be likely for those stating they will vote Labour again now.
I think around 5% of the lead for Labour is a strong lead not a soft one as to peoples thinking.
I am confident Labour will win despite Ed Miliband, in truth I don't think any of the other leaders have positive readings too anyway.

They are not 'my Labour' arista,I had massive hopes for this Coalition as I have said many times.
I feel very badly let down by them.(mainly the Lib Dems), and I don't want parties in power that abuse that power and use it to take a sledgehammer to the weakest and poorest,sick and disabled,indeed the most vulnerable.
These have done that and even when told how much suffering they are causing with such policies, just ignore it.

That is why they will be booted out in 2015, and even if fortunes did improve a bit, they will not in my view, improve enough to bring the Conservatives anywhere near winning an overall majority in 2015.

I also think Ed Miliband is currently underrated, I expect a lot more to come from him up the election and I can see him winning many more over too.

I think you and I probably will need a hotline on the night of May 7th 2015 arista.

[arista]

"I think you and I probably will need a hotline on the night of May 7th 2015 arista."


It could go anyway by then.

[joeysteele]

Originally Posted by arista

"I think you and I probably will need a hotline on the night of May 7th 2015 arista."


It could go anyway by then.

I don't think it can now,I just cannot see that.
I am putting in this post today that I predict the Labour Party will win the General election in 2015 with at the very least a 30 overall majority.

I dread to think of your posts on May 8th in the unlikely event that I was wrong in that though.