[karl100589]

He should (and I stress should because I don't know) finish ahead of Louise and Tom and get at least 3rd, the big question becomes whether the Anti-Aaron vote kicks in, I really do feel that there are a lot of people who will vote for somebody just to make sure Aaron doesn't win, and I think they'll push Jay and Alex ahead of him.

It's possible, his fanbase is avid enough to do it, but I think it's unlikely.