[joeysteele]

I think this is likely, it would now surprise me if Labour also don't offer a referendum to be honest.
Really any govt. worth anything should be trying to gain a better deal on things as to the EU.

If I was Ed Miliband,I would sit back and watch how all this chaos in the Conservative progresses before I made any commitment to a referendum.
He clearly doesn't want one but I do feel events will likely take over and he may need to offer one by 2015.

Even in that situation,if I wanted a referendum,which I don't, I would more likely put my trust in him to actually deliver one than in David Cameron.

I know of a good few Labour MPs who do want a referendum,the good thing for Labour last night is that they stuck by their leader and didn't vote for one while the Conservatives had near or even half of their backbench take matters into their own hands and vote against their own govts. decision not to include a referendum commitment in their govts.own Queen's speech.

Doesn't sound like a competent party for to continue in govt for me.

One thing is for sure though, Nigel Farage and UKIP have certainly strirred things up and made the biggest change as to politics in the UK by now not just setting the talking point agenda but also as to the main parties policy making too.
I expect Nigel Farage will be really enjoying watching all this develop and full credit to him for exposing the haphazard plans of the Conservatives and making the others likely have to think their positions too.