[Niamh.]

Originally Posted by MTVN

Well I was only being tongue in cheek really because of the volume of predictions that a second wave is about to hit us (I'm mainly thinking of what I've seen on twitter) but so far there has still been no rise in cases here or anywhere in Europe

Looks like we're moving alot of our phases forward here as our deaths/new cases are so low now

[Niamh.]

Youtube video

[The Slim Reaper]

[arista]

Andy Burnham Labour Mayor of Greater Manchester
Live on SkyNewsHD
says the R rate has gone over the limit
in his zone

[The Slim Reaper]

[arista]

Burnham says Local Lockdowns
will not work.


SkyNewsHD Live

[DouglasS]

Originally Posted by The Slim Reaper

Looks like they’re all heading over 1. I imagine the thousands bunched up together protesting Aren’t helping the pandemic cause sadly

[The Slim Reaper]

Originally Posted by DouglasS

Looks like they’re all heading over 1. I imagine the thousands bunched up together protesting Aren’t helping the pandemic cause sadly

I'm more worried about the thousands attending beaches and VE parades over the last month and especially the last couple of weeks of hot weather.

[arista]

10 Downing St. 5PM
Briefing
Matt Hancock MP Heath Sec.

With R number above 1 in some zones
watch Hancock spin that........................

[arista]

Live Now.

Hancock on his Own

[Scarlett.]

Time to lock the north west down and keep people the **** out of Blackpool

[Josy]

So the infection rate in England is down but the R number is still the same? How can that be

[MTVN]

Thing is we've had very few cases and deaths in the South West overall so even if the R is 1 then that just maintains cases at a very low level (needs to come down across the country as a whole of course). Here in Gloucestershire we've had the biggest outbreak in the SW but have still not had any deaths for a week

[bitontheslide]

Originally Posted by Josy

So the infection rate in England is down but the R number is still the same? How can that be

I swear they make up stuff as they go along. The only figure we should be watching that is in any way accurate is the hospital admissions. If that increases dramatically, we have a problem. Any number of people can be infected and not have serious symptoms, so it really doesn't matter

[Josy]

Originally Posted by MTVN

Thing is we've had very few cases and deaths in the South West overall so even if the R is 1 then that just maintains cases at a very low level (needs to come down across the country as a whole of course). Here in Gloucestershire we've had the biggest outbreak in the SW but have still not had any deaths for a week

The R number is the rate of infection spread though is it not? So if the number of infections has decreased that would mean its not spreading so much or to as much people from 1 infected person so the R rate should be down? I may have completely got that wrong but that's how I thought it worked

[arista]

Originally Posted by Josy

So the infection rate in England is down but the R number is still the same? How can that be

No R rate has gone above 1
in Greater Manchester
for example

[arista]

All in Hospitals must now have Face Masks on

Matt Hancock said today.

[Josy]

Originally Posted by bitontheslide

I swear they make up stuff as they go along. The only figure we should be watching that is in any way accurate is the hospital admissions. If that increases dramatically, we have a problem. Any number of people can be infected and not have serious symptoms, so it really doesn't matter

Yes funnily enough I just noticed the graph during the briefing says on it that care homes, hospitals and other institutionalised settings are not included in the estimates so I gave up at that point

[Josy]

Originally Posted by arista

No R rate has gone above 1

in Greater Manchester

for example

I'm talking about the graph from the briefing right there though, it said for England the R number is still between .7 and .9

I was thinking it should have been down

[MTVN]

Originally Posted by Josy

The R number is the rate of infection spread though is it not? So if the number of infections has decreased that would mean its not spreading so much or to as much people from 1 infected person so the R rate should be down? I may have completely got that wrong but that's how I thought it worked

Yeah I guess cases are on a bit of a lag though whereas they're using 'modelling' to try and work out what the R is right now, if the R is going back up over 1 then we'll see the infections start to increase soon but the modelling might not prove very accurate

[Cherie]

The number in hospital is down 15 per cent on this time last week so very positive

[arista]

Originally Posted by Josy

I'm talking about the graph from the briefing right there though, it said for England the R number is still between .7 and .9

I was thinking it should have been down

Yes the graph is out of date
in a way.

[Oliver_W]

Originally Posted by Josy

The R number is the rate of infection spread though is it not? So if the number of infections has decreased that would mean its not spreading so much or to as much people from 1 infected person so the R rate should be down? I may have completely got that wrong but that's how I thought it worked

Isn't R-rate "per capita" ? If fewer people are going out, it will take fewer people getting infected to spread the thing.

[Cherie]

Originally Posted by arista

Andy Burnham Labour Mayor of Greater Manchester
Live on SkyNewsHD
says the R rate has gone over the limit
in his zone

All those house parties

[Cherie]

Originally Posted by Niamh.

Youtube video