[user104658]

Originally Posted by Oliver_W

If, as some theorise, Sturgeon put this through her Parliament as a "sacrificial lamb" -as she knew saner heads would prevail and block it- in order to further push for independence, she chose the worst thing to make it about. So few people would side with her in this issue, especially shen confronted with the reality of it.

Spoiler:

Jesus Christ I referred to the UK Government as "saner heads" ...

I think that may be partially the case but I think it's massively backfired, I think at this point Sturgeon and pretty much anyone who backed her on this will have to go if the SNP is going to maintain its current dominant lead in Scottish politics.

The unfortunate other side of this though, is that the places that ex-SNP voters would normally go (Greens or Labour) are just as bad on this stuff and realistically most voters are not going to flip to Tory. I suspect many just won't vote at all. But then again, low turnout is generally speaking a positive from the Tory perspective.