[Suze]

Originally Posted by alex_front

Woooahh. Are you kidding, Kate? Sadly, there are a whole legion of females who think Jay is the best thing since slice bread.
Some don't know about his freezer-****ting (Channel 5 are apparently covering it up),others do know and think it's just high-jinx cheeky chappy Geordie fun (if Anton did it he'd be hated and removed for obvious reasons, ala Alex BB9)Other Jay fans just don't care and think he 'iz fit'.

Plus he has got a legion of Facebook fans (extremely important voting demographic with 7p are vote) and a highly organised interweb campaign.

I can't stand the misogynistic thug but his campaign WILL prevail whether we like it or not. Alex comes from roughly a similar region but Jay's got the North-East local housemate thing stitched up (plus he's male). Aaron is popular but with a much older demographic who will phone vote (35p) rather than Facebook vote = less votes for Aaron.

Jay will also appeal more than rivals Alex or Aaron to the casual voters who either tune in every now and again or will start watching at the business end of the show. Jay is a Geordie which means he can get away with alot more as he cliche is that they are funny (the accent assumes this), fun, cheeky chappie/ funtime frankie (Jay wouldn't be as popular if he was from Runcorn, Swansea, Estonia or Croydon).

Aaron is too complicated for Mr and Mrs Casual viewer to like. He has flashes of being entertaining, insightful and easily the best housemate left and very very funny with one-liners (Toy Task) but then mopes and clings onto Faye for 3 days. Gem's arrival won't help.

Alex's dumbo act is being rumbled and can't endure 3 more weeks of scrutiny, plus she doesn't do enough on HL show (her best bits are Fake tan - engineered by producers, Barbie quiz - engineered by producers and Willy Wonko convo, and that's about it). I do like her but she may not even make top girl over Louise who's got the biggest Facebook support.

Sadly, I reckon your post is spot on apart from the Louise bit.