[joeysteele]

Originally Posted by Livia

We had our local elections here last year and the LibDems didn't even bother campaigning because they were so unpopular. I can't see that improving much anytime soon. As far as Labour/Conservatives go, I think three years is a long, long time. Getting so many Labour councillors in this week will be a little wake up call for the Labour supporters, but that's what happens when you vote locally on national issues. Conservative councils tend to freeze Council Tax, Labour councils raise it. And they're going to raise it by a lot. So in three years time, people may remember why they voted labour out of government.

Indeed and it would be a foolish person who wrote the Conservatives off, however I cannot really see where winning an overall majority will be possible for them at the next election.
The last election should have been a walkover for them really, a totally discredited Labour Govt and Prime Minister with chaos in the country looming.
However it didn't happen even with Labour falling to only 29% of the popular vote, Labour for sure will not be on anything like as low as that next time.

I think it will be massively harder next time for anyone to get an overall majority, the saving grace for the Conservatives may be the Lib Dems doing so badly but they need to get at least 5% ahead of Labour to even have a chance of even getting the barest of overall majorities. I can't see it and I also can't see Labour getting one either on these figures today anyway.