[arista]

Originally Posted by joeysteele

I cannot see Ed Miliband being ousted before the next election and I also doubt David Cameron will be either.
Had the Lib Dems lost Eastleigh, I thought Clegg may have had a battle to stay on his hands.

However it is not, from reading back over political history, necessarily the most popular leader that wins General elections, Margaret Thatcher for instance, was apparantly really disliked by the country overall but was able to defeat the far more popular James Callaghan.

As to the in/out referendum on Europe from David Cameron, I find very few people even believe he would honour that and in a discussion with students last week, in fact most don't understand why he doesn't get re-negotiating now and hold the referendum at the same time as the 2015 election.

The fact he has left so many possibles as to what he may seek to re-negotiate and his procrastination in asking for an overall majority and then a likely referendum in around 4/5 years time only fuels further suspicion and lack of trust in what he says.

A lady of 80 who I was talking to a few weeks ago stated, how can he be believed, he guaranteed 'no full reform of the NHS' but broke his word,why should he be believed on this referendum either,he always backtracks and changes his mind.

I do agree that 2 years is a long time and things can change in a few weeks that is true, I just really cannot see what policies can be done now to soften the blows of the really intrusive and damaging policies from the cuts that are still to come over this year and 2014 too.
I really still believe the NHS and particularly this already detested,as more is learned as to it, 'bedroom tax' will and should be the final nails in this Coalitions coffin.

I personally don't see in any way his current stance on the EU,by expecting the voters to give him an overall majority before he will even start to re-negotiate a better deal for the UK from Europe ,then to hold a referendum doing anything at all to save him and this Govt now or over the next 2 years.

Maybe he will Die some way.