[Nedusa]

Originally Posted by joeysteele

I agree mostly, I also do believe that had David Miliband got the leadership the Labour lead would be larger.
Having said that I still see Ed Miliband as the PM after the next election, the Conservatives have never even got to where they were in 2010 at 36.9% of the votes cast in any polls since late 2010 now.

No way is Labour going to be on only 29.6%, which they were in 2010, in 2015.
The Conservatives need to be on something like 39/40% and Labour down on 34% for the Conservatives to even get an overall majority of 2 to4.

So either way Labour will at worst likely be the largest party and at best,in my view, win with at least a 30 overall majority.
The supposed upturn in the economy too is likely to have voters think it is then safer to vote Labour back in again as the voters for sure didn't want to give free reign to the Conservatives in 2010 and left them well short of any overall majority.

Since the Lib Dems are part of this Govt too, the only real opposition to it nationally has been and is Labour, therefore voters sick of this Govts. heartless and discriminatory policies who want rid of it have in all fact nowhere else to go really but back to Labour to be sure of getting this lot out.

Perhaps Labour will need to use the rent-a-party option. They might embrace Nick Clegg pay him a huge fee , offer him a knighhood and/or a few directorships and Bob's your uncle we would have a Lib-Lab pact just like the old days.

Now what's the chances of that happening ?