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Old 10-04-2015, 08:46 PM #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by joeysteele View Post
Of the 5 parties currently with seats in parliament who are across the UK parties, Labour is still the more popular in Scotland.

If Labour are not liked in Scotland then at present, the Conservatives, Lib Dems must be really hated.

The one thing for sure is no matter what number of seats go to the SNP from Labour,it will not be down to any success of the Conservatives or Lib Dems, further when in the future those seats change hands again, it will be back to Labour,not the others.

Just over 40 years ago the Conservatives were winning 21 seats in Scotland,remind me how many they have now.
Oh yes, 1 at present.
Its very true that labour are more popular in Scotland than the other UK wide parties, however, that will be no consolation for labour if the predicted shift to SNP occurs. It is something I can see happening as it doesn't directly affected the independence situation at this point.

Some estimates suggest that the SNP could pick up 50 of the 59 available seats, and that will be a big deficit for labour to make up in the rest of the UK to compensate. Would the SNP then effectively give those seats to labour to wield in a coalition, I doubt it. I can't see any party getting a formal coalition with the SNP.
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