[Dash Darington]

Originally Posted by sampvt

Going by your analysis, you seem hell bent on trying to push the point that I abandoned my mantle of the Oracle by placing an insurance bet. Let me ask you this, would you rather win £300 with zero risk of £500 with a medium risk. If you answer the former you are agreeing with me, if you answer the later you are a mug punter. If you don't answer with any logical rhetoric, you admit defeat and my mantle of Oracle stands in tact and you enter troll territory.

Why don't you offer facts not supposition, I am far better placed to argue the toss with a logical debate as opposed to bickering with someone who is plainly jealous of someone obviously more successful that your good self

Now do we agree to disagree and move on, are you just going to keep on digging at me.

As I've said repeatedly, you didn't simply place an insurance bet (which itself would be a sign of uncertainty). You've bet both sides. In answer to your question, I'd take the first option and take the guaranteed £300. I do agree with you, and I've said so. It is a sound response to your own uncertainty. You've just described a "medium risk" that your prediction is incorrect, which means you're not an Oracle, and your predictions have a significant element of uncertainty.

I won't fault you for your repeated insults and ad hominem attacks, as I suspect you can't help yourself.