Quote:
Originally Posted by Jack_
Not gonna happen, assuming uniform national swing they'd have to be leading by 12% to get a majority of two. In any case they need to pick up just under 100 seats to for a majority, and that'd require them making gains in seats with 9-10k majorities for the Tories like Loughborough (without even factoring in the UKIP defectors).
The absolute best result for Labour is to gain around 30-40 seats at the expense of the Tories, which'd put them in a position to govern as a minority. Again, though, I don't see this happening. The smaller the Conservative majority the better, if they're under 350 seats it'll be hysterical because this election will have been pointless.
For what it's worth, here's my prediction:
My head says the Tories will be on around 380, but I'm gonna be a tad more pessimistic and think this really will be an all-out-disaster, so:
Con - 44%
Lab - 31%
Con - 418
Lab - 152
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What about the preparations for a hung parliament that were supposed to be happening? :/ Hold on Jack!
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