[chuff me dizzy]

Originally Posted by Jules2

I was just making a stament of truth tbh, I do not understand the legistics myself but logic tells me that those who have bet over the season, will want to try and make their bets valid. Thus the three who were in the top will have had a lot of bets already on them enabling them to stay at the top. Thus, hopefully, many telephone votes. Only my theories. It is a funny old thing this betting lark, I keep an eye on Oddschecker but have seen many go astray.

Not a betting person myself though.

let me put it another way ,yesterday Helen was 25-1 ,so to get her to her new odds of 6-1 in some places today means a LOT of last minute money has been placed on her, those placing that type of money will want something back ,and at 25-1 they will get a damn site more back than backing a fav ,hope thats a little clear ,I'm just writing what my hubby dictates

[reece(:]

slay a bit, Hel x

[VanessaFeltz.]

when i wake up i want to see helen at 2/1 pls

[Toy Soldier]

Originally Posted by chuff me dizzy

My hubby works in a bookies, it takes a LOT more than Ł1000 to change the odds that much

That's true but it's also more complicated than that, the size of the bets makes a difference not just the overall total.

e.g. 100 x Ł1000 bets on a housemate is much more likely to alter the odds than 10000 x Ł10 bets... even though the total money staked in each scenario is Ł100,000.

The reason being that a "serious" bet of Ł1000 will catch the bookmakers attention (the actual bookmakers, the people sitting in London playing with the odds) whereas a "casual" bet of Ł10 means much less, even if there are a tonne of them.

A small Ł10 bet is just a hopeful "throwaway" flutter that someone might place just because they like the person or fancy a bet at bigger odds... whereas a Ł1000 (or bigger) bet on a selection with long odds suggests that whoever is placing the bet really thinks there is a good chance of a win. In horse racing it can suggest insider / trainer knowledge (e.g. info has leaked that the favourite for that race has been erratic in training recently).

For a show like Big Brother, big bets being placed on an outsider could suggest that there's a campaign going on that might affect the outcome, or people have gotten wind of events in the house that are likely to sway opinion but haven't been aired on television yet. In this case, I'd say the "secret room" task has played a big part in prompting an increase in Helen to Win bets and the corresponding plummeting odds.

Even just thinking back to last year... Dexter and Gina's popularity soared when they were in the secret room. And on final week...

[MB.]

Originally Posted by MelihV

when i wake up i want to see helen at 2/1 pls

The only way that'd happen is if you were Sleeping Beauty, love

[abhorson]

Originally Posted by MelihV

when i wake up i want to see helen at 2/1 pls

Aye, a dream

[Denver]

Helen is now 6/1 on betvictor while all bookies still have her shortening

[abhorson]

Chris down to 16/1 with a few. Worth a few quid.

[Toy Soldier]

Originally Posted by abhorson

Chris down to 16/1 with a few. Worth a few quid.

Chris is a pointless bet IMO, he can't win as him and Ashleigh have become a sort of "package deal" and Ashleigh is the one who will take the votes.

[Ruffle]

This is not real I think after last week people are placing a blinder hoping to fill there pockets but I think thy missed the boat last week

[JTM45]

As anyone who understands betting will know, all odds are are an indication of who people are putting money on and at this point very few people are going to be putting money on the pretty much certain winner, Ashleigh!
So people are taking an outside chance on Helen because if, by some miracle, she was to win then they'll have a very good payout (because the chances of it actually happening are so slim!).

For a real indication of who's going to win you need to be looking at things like the Tellmix Poll where Ashleigh's currently at 43% of the vote with Helen just a bit behind at 10% of the vote.

[Robodog]

Keep Voting for Helen guys !

Winston was the shock eviction.

Helen is the shock win !

I can see it happening !



.

.

[Samm]

No

[tuesday1962]

Why on earth would any want to pick Helen to win and the give her Ł100k on top. Helen has not changed. BB automatically put her in the secret task room so she can spy unchallenged for the third time on Ashleigh. All of a sudden BBots audience and guess are promoting a Helen win. Think about you're ultimately putting Ł100k in the hands of a not so nice person.

[Toy Soldier]

Originally Posted by JTM45

As anyone who understands betting will know, all odds are are an indication of who people are putting money on and at this point very few people are going to be putting money on the pretty much certain winner, Ashleigh!
So people are taking an outside chance on Helen because if, by some miracle, she was to win then they'll have a very good payout (because the chances of it actually happening are so slim!).

For a real indication of who's going to win you need to be looking at things like the Tellmix Poll where Ashleigh's currently at 43% of the vote with Helen just a bit behind at 10% of the vote.

I wonder how many people have done it for the same reason as me? I was OK with anyone but Helen winning (genuinely not fussed, I think the rest of them are OK and I'm not a huge "superfan" of any of them)...

I really felt like I'd feel awful on for day if Helen snatched it.

So I stuck Ł10 on her.

I don't mind losing Ł10 so I'll still be fine if any of the others win... But now if Helen does sneak it, I get a few hundred quid . So... Now I'll be voting for her... Haha.

[Vanessa]

Originally Posted by Robodog

Keep Voting for Helen guys !

Winston was the shock eviction.

Helen is the shock win !

I can see it happening !



.

.

[bitontheslide]

Originally Posted by Toy Soldier

I wonder how many people have done it for the same reason as me? I was OK with anyone but Helen winning (genuinely not fussed, I think the rest of them are OK and I'm not a huge "superfan" of any of them)...

I really felt like I'd feel awful on for day if Helen snatched it.

So I stuck Ł10 on her.

I don't mind losing Ł10 so I'll still be fine if any of the others win... But now if Helen does sneak it, I get a few hundred quid . So... Now I'll be voting for her... Haha.

That is logic that I like, maybe Ł10 on Ashleigh is in order, It might earn me a bar of chocolate

[waterhog]

very sad to see helens odds shortening - shows what sort of things we like to see.

[MrWong]

Originally Posted by JTM45

As anyone who understands betting will know, all odds are are an indication of who people are putting money on and at this point very few people are going to be putting money on the pretty much certain winner, Ashleigh!
So people are taking an outside chance on Helen because if, by some miracle, she was to win then they'll have a very good payout (because the chances of it actually happening are so slim!).

For a real indication of who's going to win you need to be looking at things like the Tellmix Poll where Ashleigh's currently at 43% of the vote with Helen just a bit behind at 10% of the vote.

With all this talk of manipulation it looks like BB have manipulated Helen's supporters into thinking she could win when she hasn't got a hope in hell.

[Niamh.]

Spoiler:

Alison Sloanes That's rich coming from her!! Ashleigh, Christopher or Chris to WIN!!
Like · Reply · 274 · 9 hrs
16 Replies · 2 hrs

Paula Ryans Stokes What a bitter, jealous woman she is. Outclassed by an 18-year-old, if she had any conscience Helen would be embarrassed by herself.
Like · Reply · 227 · 9 hrs
12 Replies · 53 mins

Chris 'Toga' Crawford Big Brother is so eager to get Helen to win by reducing support for Ashleigh. It's not going to work. ASHLEIGH TO WIN
Like · Reply · 156 · 9 hrs · Edited

Brandon Stevenson ASHLEIGH TO WIN
Like · Reply · 151 · 9 hrs

Natasha Paterson HATE helen ASHLEIGH to WIN
Like · Reply · 135 · 9 hrs

Kris Parkway Auker ASHLEIGH TO WIN!!!
Like · Reply · 113 · 9 hrs

Veronica Marks Its sad that she is not a grown up being 27 and all... Ashleigh is still very young, helen should have taken her under her wing instead of behave like the way she did.
Like · Reply · 101 · 9 hrs
17 Replies · 1 hr

Matvinder-Eldar Garababayev Ashleigh to win!
Like · Reply · 93 · 9 hrs

Bryan Linsangan Big Brother's quest for Helen to win continues lol.
Like · Reply · 90 · 9 hrs

Sharon Dempster See this why I don't support Helen she could of kept her mouth shut but she started again when everyone is having fun and again even though she listened in on the housemates she tends to add porky pie lies to make Ashleigh look bad. Christopher explained to her why she said those things but Helen will not listen to reason she continues to put Ashleigh in a bad light with some truth and lies added this woman hasn't learnt a thing in the BB HOUSE. She could of played this to her advantage but instead she has this obsession with Ashleigh don't you understand Helen your behaviour has affected some people in the house including Ashleigh you have drained this house to the core and she still cant see that.Ashleigh feels the way she does because of the way she was treated by Helen after giving Helen chance after chance sooooo many times. And for that reason and hurting other housemates I don't think she deserves to win.
Like · Reply · 84 · 8 hrs
Hide 13 Replies

Graham Green about 4 weeks ago when everyone was saying she had changed and been on a journey ( thank god even they aren't trying to flog that one now) I said that I could see glimmers of a nicer person, but every time I started to thaw to her, she went and did something to remind me of how vile she was in the beginning... and here she goes again. We are supposed to believe her tears and sorry's in the diary room, but she just cannot help herself - nasty and negative to the core
Like · 35 · 8 hrs

Sharon Dempster I agree she hasn't learnt nothing and she refuses to take responsibilities from hurting and almost attacking another housemate, if she was on the outside I have no doubt she would have because she likes her own way my god I wish I could be there on the last night they come out.
Like · 19 · 8 hrs · Edited

[Samm]

Helen odds are not as good as yesterday, but Ashleigh's are better

[Niamh.]

Originally Posted by ~Sam~

Helen odds are not as good as yesterday, but Ashleigh's are better

Ashleighs support has rocketed again on FB Her and Christopher seem to have most right now

[Toy Soldier]

FFS I want my money .

Although I put on a little odds on football accumulator with my change and won Ł20 so at least I haven't lost anything.

[Niamh.]

Some things are more important then money TS

[parmnion]

Originally Posted by JTM45

As anyone who understands betting will know, all odds are are an indication of who people are putting money on and at this point very few people are going to be putting money on the pretty much certain winner, Ashleigh!
So people are taking an outside chance on Helen because if, by some miracle, she was to win then they'll have a very good payout (because the chances of it actually happening are so slim!).

For a real indication of who's going to win you need to be looking at things like the Tellmix Poll where Ashleigh's currently at 43% of the vote with Helen just a bit behind at 10% of the vote.