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ThisisBigBrother.com - UK TV Forums > Non Big Brother Chat > Serious Debates & News > Predict the US Presidential Election Result - Electoral College vote
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Old 03-11-2020, 12:42 AM #1
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Default Predict the US Presidential Election Result - Electoral College vote
Let's have a prediction game.

Predict the US Presidential Election Result between Donald Trump and Joe Biden.

The election works on the electoral college system - each US state is allocated a number of electors depending on its population, and winner of the vote in that state wins all those electors.



There are 538 electors in total and for reference the previous result (on election night) was

Donald Trump 306
Hillary Clinton 232

In 2012 the result was

Barack Obama 332
Mitt Romney 206

So what will be the result in 2020?

Donald Trump - ?
Joe Biden - ?

Let's see who gets closest.
Last edited by James; 03-11-2020 at 12:51 AM.
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Old 03-11-2020, 12:51 AM #2
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Both my head and heart are saying Biden, but I have this looming dread that Trump's going to sneak back in somehow.

I just hope that all of the minorities are really using their vote for Biden really.

I think it will be quite close, no big landslide, with Biden just edging it.

So let's say (totally uneducated answer I must admit):

Trump - 253

Biden - 285

I'm undoubtedly way off what the actual result will be, but I think it'll be very close. That close? Probably not but who knows!
Last edited by LaLaLand; 03-11-2020 at 12:52 AM.
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Old 03-11-2020, 01:26 AM #3
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I'd say similar numbers to Barack tbh 300+ for Biden
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Old 03-11-2020, 01:35 AM #4
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I think it’ll be a Trump win, not sure of numbers though
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Old 03-11-2020, 02:01 AM #5
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Ohio and Texas are probably the only swing states I see going Trump’s way. Maybe Florida or another one shock.

Biden with 300+ imo.
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Old 03-11-2020, 02:34 AM #6
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Its going to depend on how strong the anti trump vote withing the republican supporters is
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Old 03-11-2020, 03:47 AM #7
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i think Trump is going to get smashed so that he has no option but to accept the result

Biden 332 +

Trump 206 -

(i heard a gop strategist yesterday saying that it was going to be a landslide for trump )
Last edited by bitontheslide; 03-11-2020 at 03:49 AM.
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Old 03-11-2020, 08:12 AM #8
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Biden secures the first Election Day victory while Trump takes the second as two tiny New Hampshire towns with a combined population of just 26 announce their results at midnight

Only 269 to go joe
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Old 03-11-2020, 09:09 AM #9
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tbh there is a record amount of voters now

and i don't think we will know who won for quite some time, i mean a lot of votes to be counted of 100 million people who voted
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Old 03-11-2020, 09:16 AM #10
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320 Biden
216 Trump
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Old 03-11-2020, 10:10 AM #11
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Biden 313
Trump 225
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Old 03-11-2020, 10:15 AM #12
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Quote:
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i mean a lot of votes to be counted of 100 million people who voted
Me and you will do it together Nicky, 50 million each, I reckon we can get through that lot in 4 or 5 hours. We'll put every 3rd vote for Trump straight in the bin
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Old 03-11-2020, 10:15 AM #13
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Biden 320
Trump 218
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Old 03-11-2020, 12:42 PM #14
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Trump - 294
Biden - 244
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Old 03-11-2020, 12:48 PM #15
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Trump 279
Biden 259
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Old 03-11-2020, 12:52 PM #16
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Donald Trump 275
joe Biden 283
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Old 03-11-2020, 01:24 PM #17
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Used https://www.270towin.com/ and came up with Biden 324-214 Trump.

The default it predicts is a Biden landslide though.
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Old 03-11-2020, 03:49 PM #18
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Not gonna guess numbers but I think Trump will just squeak an EC win while losing the popular vote.
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Old 03-11-2020, 09:44 PM #19
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I think it's going to be close.

Trump takes Florida, North Carolina and Arizona.

Biden wins Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.

That gives me:

Biden - 278
Trump - 260
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Old 03-11-2020, 09:55 PM #20
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Using 270ToWin I got
Biden - 270
Trump - 268

I mean that was me being a bit on the pessimistic side, and Pennsylvania could very easily go blue - but imagine the scenes if that result was the case
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Old 04-11-2020, 07:40 AM #21
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Biden 280
Trump 258
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Old 04-11-2020, 08:27 AM #22
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Well no way is Biden getting 300 or more now. I think Trump is actually gonna win this!
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Old 04-11-2020, 10:55 AM #23
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Well no way is Biden getting 300 or more now. I think Trump is actually gonna win this!
He is going to lose 2 rustbelt states, no chance he pulls it back
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Old 13-11-2020, 07:29 PM #24
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I think it's going to be close.

Trump takes Florida, North Carolina and Arizona.

Biden wins Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.

That gives me:

Biden - 278
Trump - 260
5 out of 6, I'll take it

Pesky Georgia...
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Old 13-11-2020, 08:05 PM #25
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Well no way is Biden getting 300 or more now. I think Trump is actually gonna win this!
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