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Claymores · 29-01-2010, 10:00 AM

Alex - 2/5 fave
Dane - 11/2
Vinnie - 13/2
Jonas - 25/1
Steph - 33/1

The gambling community seem to see Alex as a massively strong favourie, with only Dane and Vinnie even in the frame.

http://www.oddschecker.com/specials/...her/win-market

Niamh. · 29-01-2010, 10:02 AM

eeewwww, Alex favorite Boooooooo

Niamh. · 29-01-2010, 10:03 AM

How do they decide that he's so much ahead?

WAYNEEBRUM · 29-01-2010, 10:05 AM

As long as Dane or Vinnie dont win im happy

Claymores · 29-01-2010, 10:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Niamhxo

How do they decide that he's so much ahead?

It's simply the effect of demand and supply. If a lot of people want to bet Alex, then his odds shorten (bookies offer punters a less favourable price as they can still attract custom)

The reverse is true too - if few people think Jonas can win then the bookies have to offer more favourable odds to entice customers to bet.

Niamh. · 29-01-2010, 10:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Claymores

It's simply the effect of demand and supply. If a lot of people want to bet Alex, then his odds shorten (bookies offer punters a less favourable price as they can still attract custom)

Oh right, yeah that makes sense, Is there any chance of them being wrong then do you think?

chuff me dizzy · 29-01-2010, 10:11 AM

oddschecker prices as follows
Alex in to 1-3 (looking good)
Dane drifting like a turd on Blackpool beach 11-2
Vinnie well out to 13-2(was 5-1 last night)
Anus 20-1(was 14-1 last night)
Steph 33-1 (was 25-1 last night)

Claymores · 29-01-2010, 10:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Niamhxo

Oh right, yeah that makes sense, Is there any chance of them being wrong then do you think?

YES - punters are historically very bad at predicting the winner. Unlke evictions which are an 'at the moment' thing, the process of winning a longer-term thing.

chuff me dizzy · 29-01-2010, 10:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Niamhxo

Oh right, yeah that makes sense, Is there any chance of them being wrong then do you think?

They were well out with Sisco`s eviction ,he was rank outsider at 28-1 the last time i looked before he left

Niamh. · 29-01-2010, 10:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by chuff me dizzy

oddschecker prices as follows
Alex in to 1-3 (looking good)
Dane drifting like a turd on Blackpool beach 11-2
Vinnie well out to 13-2(was 5-1 last night)
Anus 20-1(was 14-1 last night)
Steph 33-1 (was 25-1 last night)

I think I'm going to cry

I don't think I've ever wanted someone not to win as much!! I need help I think

chuff me dizzy · 29-01-2010, 10:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Niamhxo

I think I'm going to cry

I don't think I've ever wanted someone not to win as much!! I need help I think

Come here lovey

you can quickly change to an Alex fan !!!

yousoboo! · 29-01-2010, 10:16 AM

Woot! Go Alex.

Tom · 29-01-2010, 10:17 AM

Great odds for Steph

Niamh. · 29-01-2010, 10:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Claymores

YES - punters are historically very bad at predicting the winner. Unlke evictions which are an 'at the moment' thing, the process of winning a longer-term thing.

Thank God, fingers crossed then!!

chuff me dizzy · 29-01-2010, 10:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tom

Great odds for Steph

Niamh. · 29-01-2010, 10:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by chuff me dizzy

Come here lovey

you can quickly change to an Alex fan !!!

seriously though I think there's something wrong with me, thank God it's over tonight for the sake of my mental health

chuff me dizzy · 29-01-2010, 10:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Niamhxo

seriously though I think there's something wrong with me, thank God it's over tonight for the sake of my mental health

I too get SO passionate about bb ,it takes my whole life over while its on ,I even bought my hubby a tv for the bedroom so he can watch his shows (not a bb fan)I will miss it from tonight ,Sky 1 are "supposed"to be taking over bb so it may not be the end ....fingers crossed

Niamh. · 29-01-2010, 10:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by chuff me dizzy

I too get SO passionate about bb ,it takes my whole life over while its on ,I even bought my hubby a tv for the bedroom so he can watch his shows (not a bb fan)I will miss it from tonight ,Sky 1 are "supposed"to be taking over bb so it may not be the end ....fingers crossed

haha, I'm not as nice as you, I just force my hubby to watch it hehe, I like to think that he enjoys it deep down hehehe.

I don't have Sky, what a disaster!!!!

Tom · 29-01-2010, 10:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by chuff me dizzy

Its an open book. Anyone but Jonas can win. 33/1 are brilliant odds (for getting money, not the actual figure) and it wouldn't be wasting a few quid.

chuff me dizzy · 29-01-2010, 10:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tom

Its an open book. Anyone but Jonas can win. 33/1 are brilliant odds (for getting money, not the actual figure) and it wouldn't be wasting a few quid.

Janus and Stephanie have more chance of finding Shergar than winning ,the only people who could do it are Alex,Dane or Vinnie,but Vinnie isnt looking good

chuff me dizzy · 29-01-2010, 10:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Niamhxo

haha, I'm not as nice as you, I just force my hubby to watch it hehe, I like to think that he enjoys it deep down hehehe.

I don't have Sky, what a disaster!!!!

I have Virgin I get sky 1 on that

Claymores · 29-01-2010, 11:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tom

Its an open book. Anyone but Jonas can win. 33/1 are brilliant odds (for getting money, not the actual figure) and it wouldn't be wasting a few quid.

You could have had 50/1 on her last night on Betfair.......so maybe your fave is moving in the right direction! (I'd still save my stake money for a bottle of wine to watch it on TV tho if I was you!)