[user104658]

Originally Posted by Kizzy

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It's reactions like this that show you didn't even glance at the Whitty lecture I posted, which in 2018 laid out pretty much to the letter what would happen, how our serviced would be stretched, the need for adequate amounts of PPE, the spread, lockdown, isolation.



Can I respectfully say to anyone mocking the posts of others to not do so from a position of ignorance? I left that information to remove the suggestion that my comments simply come from a place of governmental mistrust with no basis....that lecture is the basis.

This has nothing to do with what I was talking about? I was pointing out that there is no evidence base for the absolute best practice during a modern global pandemic, because this is the first modern global pandemic. There literally can't be an evidence base... Where would it have come from? There are theories, plenty of them, and I won't argue that the failure to adequately prepare healthcare services with adequate capacity and equipment lies squarely on the governments (plural, right back to Blair, let's face it)...

But I'm talking about people's certainty that the timing of lockdown was wrong. That the current figures serve as "proof". They don't... There's no way to know which approach was right until analysts can reflect on the bigger picture once all's said and done,and it'll be years until we reach that point.

For now people can say they don't THINK the government made the right moves and explain why, but it's far from evident or obvious.

For example as I've repeatedly said, I think the collateral damage done to public health by a lockdown going on for too long would be devastating and worse than the damage done by Covid itself. I don't "know" that, I just worry that it might be the case. Time will tell, but not for quite a while, so it's too early to be confidently stating what was right or wrong.