[arista]

"I fear the next election will see Labour take power again,"


But at this Time the Leader of Labour is Hated by Labour Voters
in a big way.


2015 is far away
lets see if Labour change their bad leader first.

[joeysteele]

Originally Posted by arista

"I fear the next election will see Labour take power again,"


But at this Time the Leader of Labour is Hated by Labour Voters
in a big way.


2015 is far away
lets see if Labour change their bad leader first.

Sadly though arista, as I have learned from watching old elections and also talking to people a lot older than myself who have seen many changes of Govts; sometimes it doesn't matter who is leader of a party, also usually it is Govts. who 'lose' elections not oppositions who 'win' them.

From history and all I have heard and read,Margaret Thatcher was a hated leader as opposewd to James Callaghan but she won an election and more of them too, Ted Heath was far more disliked than Wilson but beat Wilson in 1970 just to give 2 instances.

This Govt is going to be solely judged on the economy and the deficit reduction promise, all pundits and economists now say they have no chance to succeed there by the next election or even 2 years beyond it.
Europe may be the only saving grace the Conservatives can haul in support for.

If that is the scenario at the next election and nothing much has even been achieved further as to the EU issue,then sadly in my view at this time, it won't matter who is leading Labour, they will stay ahead in the polls as they are at this time, the problem is that it will be by 2015 a more cemented lead and no matter who leads them they will likely scrape in.

I am not a Conservative, I have no party allegiance at all,if I was the Conservative leader at this moment. though I would be capitalising on the EU issue which is one of the few areas that the Conservatives have the overwhelming support likely of voters on.
Politics is about lost chances and bad timing, had Gordon Brown called an election not long after he became PM, he would have likely got back in albeit with a further reduced majority.

The economic state we are in at this time and the reformation of the EU in the pot too is likely the best it will get for the Conservatives and I fear this will go down in history as another political opportunity missed,another bad judgement also from the PM too that has allowed the Lib Dems to make it that he cannot call an election at a time of his choosing,it has to be May 2015.

Sieze the day, worry about the years later.