[Claymores]

Alex - 2/5 fave
Dane - 11/2
Vinnie - 13/2
Jonas - 25/1
Steph - 33/1

The gambling community seem to see Alex as a massively strong favourie, with only Dane and Vinnie even in the frame.

http://www.oddschecker.com/specials/...her/win-market

[Niamh.]

eeewwww, Alex favorite Boooooooo

[Niamh.]

How do they decide that he's so much ahead?

[WAYNEEBRUM]

As long as Dane or Vinnie dont win im happy

[Claymores]

Originally Posted by Niamhxo

How do they decide that he's so much ahead?

It's simply the effect of demand and supply. If a lot of people want to bet Alex, then his odds shorten (bookies offer punters a less favourable price as they can still attract custom)

The reverse is true too - if few people think Jonas can win then the bookies have to offer more favourable odds to entice customers to bet.

[Niamh.]

Originally Posted by Claymores

It's simply the effect of demand and supply. If a lot of people want to bet Alex, then his odds shorten (bookies offer punters a less favourable price as they can still attract custom)

Oh right, yeah that makes sense, Is there any chance of them being wrong then do you think?

[chuff me dizzy]

oddschecker prices as follows
Alex in to 1-3 (looking good)
Dane drifting like a turd on Blackpool beach 11-2
Vinnie well out to 13-2(was 5-1 last night)
Anus 20-1(was 14-1 last night)
Steph 33-1 (was 25-1 last night)

[Claymores]

Originally Posted by Niamhxo

Oh right, yeah that makes sense, Is there any chance of them being wrong then do you think?

YES - punters are historically very bad at predicting the winner. Unlke evictions which are an 'at the moment' thing, the process of winning a longer-term thing.

[chuff me dizzy]

Originally Posted by Niamhxo

Oh right, yeah that makes sense, Is there any chance of them being wrong then do you think?

They were well out with Sisco`s eviction ,he was rank outsider at 28-1 the last time i looked before he left

[Niamh.]

Originally Posted by chuff me dizzy

oddschecker prices as follows
Alex in to 1-3 (looking good)
Dane drifting like a turd on Blackpool beach 11-2
Vinnie well out to 13-2(was 5-1 last night)
Anus 20-1(was 14-1 last night)
Steph 33-1 (was 25-1 last night)

I think I'm going to cry I don't think I've ever wanted someone not to win as much!! I need help I think

[chuff me dizzy]

Originally Posted by Niamhxo

I think I'm going to cry I don't think I've ever wanted someone not to win as much!! I need help I think

Come here lovey you can quickly change to an Alex fan !!!

[yousoboo!]

Woot! Go Alex.

[Tom]

Great odds for Steph

[Niamh.]

Originally Posted by Claymores

YES - punters are historically very bad at predicting the winner. Unlke evictions which are an 'at the moment' thing, the process of winning a longer-term thing.

Thank God, fingers crossed then!!

[chuff me dizzy]

Originally Posted by Tom

Great odds for Steph

[Niamh.]

Originally Posted by chuff me dizzy

Come here lovey you can quickly change to an Alex fan !!!

seriously though I think there's something wrong with me, thank God it's over tonight for the sake of my mental health

[chuff me dizzy]

Originally Posted by Niamhxo

seriously though I think there's something wrong with me, thank God it's over tonight for the sake of my mental health

I too get SO passionate about bb ,it takes my whole life over while its on ,I even bought my hubby a tv for the bedroom so he can watch his shows (not a bb fan)I will miss it from tonight ,Sky 1 are "supposed"to be taking over bb so it may not be the end ....fingers crossed

[Niamh.]

Originally Posted by chuff me dizzy

I too get SO passionate about bb ,it takes my whole life over while its on ,I even bought my hubby a tv for the bedroom so he can watch his shows (not a bb fan)I will miss it from tonight ,Sky 1 are "supposed"to be taking over bb so it may not be the end ....fingers crossed

haha, I'm not as nice as you, I just force my hubby to watch it hehe, I like to think that he enjoys it deep down hehehe.

I don't have Sky, what a disaster!!!!

[Tom]

Originally Posted by chuff me dizzy

Its an open book. Anyone but Jonas can win. 33/1 are brilliant odds (for getting money, not the actual figure) and it wouldn't be wasting a few quid.

[chuff me dizzy]

Originally Posted by Tom

Its an open book. Anyone but Jonas can win. 33/1 are brilliant odds (for getting money, not the actual figure) and it wouldn't be wasting a few quid.

Janus and Stephanie have more chance of finding Shergar than winning ,the only people who could do it are Alex,Dane or Vinnie,but Vinnie isnt looking good

[chuff me dizzy]

Originally Posted by Niamhxo

haha, I'm not as nice as you, I just force my hubby to watch it hehe, I like to think that he enjoys it deep down hehehe.

I don't have Sky, what a disaster!!!!

I have Virgin I get sky 1 on that

[Claymores]

Originally Posted by Tom

Its an open book. Anyone but Jonas can win. 33/1 are brilliant odds (for getting money, not the actual figure) and it wouldn't be wasting a few quid.

You could have had 50/1 on her last night on Betfair.......so maybe your fave is moving in the right direction! (I'd still save my stake money for a bottle of wine to watch it on TV tho if I was you!)

[HBB1508]

I'm still rooting for Jonas

[Claymores]

Originally Posted by HBB1508

I'm still rooting for Jonas

At his price, it's maybe a clever long-shot. He's still well represented on the polls - good luck anyway

[HBB1508]

Originally Posted by Claymores

At his price, it's maybe a clever long-shot. He's still well represented on the polls - good luck anyway

Thank you but with my luck he'll be the first out tonight