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Originally Posted by Kizzy
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That's from March 9TH, nearly 3 weeks ago (and the data on this is very fast moving). All of the latest evidence is that MOST recovered Covid-19 cases have immunity, and even when not full immunity, reinfection is milder. There were some scare stories about "even worse" reinfection in the early days when it had barely spread out of China but they were pretty much just gossip.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kizzy
The comparisons in the death rates from Spanish flu are not comparable either the death rate was 0.2% or something ..whereas this it's 3.4% less people infected more deaths.
Oh and Spanish flu came back, it was swine flu in 2009/10 H1N1
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The mortality rate of Spanish Flu was 2.5% globally, I don't know where you got 0.2% from?
For Covid 3.4% of confirmed cases result in death but we know (for a fact) that testing at this point isn't just inadequate, it's ground to an almost total halt. You can't even get through to 111 to ASK. Some NHS front line staff can't get a test for 10 days+, other people with symptoms realistically can't get a test at all. The testing situation is even worse in Italy/France/Spain.
The real number of cases is much, much higher. That's not just a theory at this point, it's just how it is... Not enough tests by a long, long way. Expert opinion still places the true death rate in the 1% range which yes is worse than most normal variants of flu and still a scary number, but it's not unprecedented and lower than both Spanish flu and the smaller epidemic in the 50's.