USA : President Joe Biden 3rd Nov 2020

[Smithy]

WHY has the betting flipped back to favouring Biden? It's driving me nuts because I can't figure it out. Wisconsin is right on the edge with literally a couple of thousand votes in it and if Trump snatches it's basically over. For them to favour Biden they have to think he's going to take either Georgia or Michigan and Trump leads both. Nevada is far from a guaranteed Biden win at this point also. But he's drifted to 6/4 vs Biden's 8/13?? Wut.

At this point I'm getting itchy fingers on placing a bet in all honesty. I just cannot see anything but a Trump win. It feels like the safest 6/4 I've ever seen.

Michigan could flip

https://twitter.com/taniel/status/1323949799738085378?s=21

[bots]

WHY has the betting flipped back to favouring Biden? It's driving me nuts because I can't figure it out. Wisconsin is right on the edge with literally a couple of thousand votes in it and if Trump snatches it's basically over. For them to favour Biden they have to think he's going to take either Georgia or Michigan and Trump leads both. Nevada is far from a guaranteed Biden win at this point also. But he's drifted to 6/4 vs Biden's 8/13?? Wut.

At this point I'm getting itchy fingers on placing a bet in all honesty. I just cannot see anything but a Trump win. It feels like the safest 6/4 I've ever seen.

it's all bat**** :laugh: Nevada have suspended counting now until Thursday ... no obvious reason

[The Slim Reaper]

Get some perspective, Dame danger-sex has spoken.

1323846028416618496

[Nicky91]

it's all bat**** :laugh: Nevada have suspended counting now until Thursday ... no obvious reason

Trump already had his impact, ugh american lukashenko vibe

go on with the vote counting, don't let cheater trump delete any democrat votes

[user104658]

It hit a touch over 2/1 (???) on Betfair and I took it :umm2:.

[bots]

the funny thing is that if Trump ends up winning, the dems will start agreeing with him .... yes it is fraud :joker:

[user104658]

It hit a touch over 2/1 (???) on Betfair and I took it :umm2:.

...f... four more years... fo... four more years... FOUR MORE YEARS! FOUR MORE YEARS!

[James]

WHY has the betting flipped back to favouring Biden? It's driving me nuts because I can't figure it out. Wisconsin is right on the edge with literally a couple of thousand votes in it and if Trump snatches it's basically over. For them to favour Biden they have to think he's going to take either Georgia or Michigan and Trump leads both. Nevada is far from a guaranteed Biden win at this point also. But he's drifted to 6/4 vs Biden's 8/13?? Wut.

At this point I'm getting itchy fingers on placing a bet in all honesty. I just cannot see anything but a Trump win. It feels like the safest 6/4 I've ever seen.I think it's the postal votes still to count and what I read is those favour Biden. Also I read that a lot of the Georgia votes left are from the city of Atlanta which is better for Biden.

[bots]

...f... four more years... fo... four more years... FOUR MORE YEARS! FOUR MORE YEARS!

it's got to be time to place your bet for Trump 2024

[Nicky91]

https://twitter.com/AmourBrad/status/1323953027892486144

tea, couldn't have said it better

[user104658]

I think it's the postal votes still to count and what I read is those favour Biden. Also I read that a lot of the Georgia votes left are from the city of Atlanta which is better for Biden.

**** if Georgia flips I'm going to lose.

In all seriousness though, it's a consolation bet so I do actually want to lose. It's just nice to have a silver lining :joker:.

[James]

It hit a touch over 2/1 (???) on Betfair and I took it :umm2:.Oh, I would have advised against if I'd seen it quicker. I think Biden is going to sneak it.

[user104658]

it's got to be time to place your bet for Trump 2024

I'll give you 13/8 on TS ML 2022?

[bots]

**** if Georgia flips I'm going to lose.

In all seriousness though, it's a consolation bet so I do actually want to lose. It's just nice to have a silver lining :joker:.

i did the same in 2016 and picked up a tidy sum, i didn't have the balls to do it this time though

[Nicky91]

well if trump wins second term, then America is one big joke, and politics wise on top of the pile of ****, next to that other trash nation Belarus (can also see Trump doing same as Lukashenko and trying to silence the media :think:)

[Niamh.]

well if trump wins second term, then America is one big joke, and politics wise on top of the pile of ****, next to that other trash nation Belarus (can also see Trump doing same as Lukashenko and trying to silence the media :think:)

I thought you were a fan of Trump?

[user104658]

i did the same in 2016 and picked up a tidy sum, i didn't have the balls to do it this time though

I did as well in 2016 but I bet pre-election-day at 5/1 which was a no-brainer. I haven't seen Trump anywhere further out than 13/8 until today. I'm not particularly happy with 2/1 to be honest because I'm not putting big bux on it but the temptation caught me.

Meh. It's an amount that I'll be "ahh well at least that's nice" if Trump wins but I'm more than happy to lose to see him gone.

[user104658]

I thought you were a fan of Trump?

Ooh nothin' can bounce like a Nicky, except for his shadow-ee-oh, 'cause it bounces, and flounces, and jounces, and pounces, and follows wherever heee goooes.

[Tom4784]

I'm losing hope, I never had much in the first place though, since we all know how rife voter intimidation and suppression is when it comes to Trump. I think he'll steal it.

It also boggles the mind why so many latin voters are opting for Trump.

[Nicky91]

I thought you were a fan of Trump?

elections like this make me kinda all stressed


also it means not that much who wins election

since if Trump wins, the democrats are expected still to have more seats at Congress, so they have more power to block any of Trump's decisions

but if Biden wins, and the republicans are expected to have a majority at Senate, well they can block any of Biden's decisions


so if dems want a win-win, they need Biden to win election, and to have a majority at Senate

somewhat i understood this morning from our news correspondent Erik Mouthaan (who lives in America and works there on our behalf as our political reporter/expert)

[Denver]

Odds have Biden at the best odds to win then at any point in his campaign which is a massive shift from odds just hours earlier

[Niamh.]

I'm losing hope, I never had much in the first place though, since we all know how rife voter intimidation and suppression is when it comes to Trump. I think he'll steal it.

It also boggles the mind why so many latin voters are opting for Trump.

and women

[Swan]

Odds have Biden at the best odds to win then at any point in his campaign which is a massive shift from odds just hours earlier

You said odds meant nothing last week

[Denver]

You said odds meant nothing last week

They meant nothing at that point but when its see a massive shift in the 11th hour you take notice

[Amy Jade]

I still stand by the fact Trump knows he's lost and that's why he's having another temper tantrum

[Swan]

They meant nothing at that point but when its see a massive shift in the 11th hour you take notice

Biden's odds now are about where they were this time last week. The massive shift has come this morning from him being favourite, to then Trump being favourite, to then Biden being pretty much back where he started.

In the space of say 5 hours Biden has come full circle, that's all.

[Nicky91]

I still stand by the fact Trump knows he's lost and that's why he's having another temper tantrum

and trying to stand proudly with his words ''i've already won''

also him wanting to halt the vote count cause he's aware most mail-ins are likely votes for Biden

go back to trump tower i say, maybe even revive Apprentice if he really wants to stay in spotlights with his fans

[Elliot]

I wonder if trump loses, will he resist leaving office? How would that go down?

[Niamh.]

I wonder if trump loses, will he resist leaving office? How would that go down?

Well he's already having a melt down and he hasn't even lost yet :skull:

[The Slim Reaper]

Things are looking a bit better at the moment, so I think Biden is going to squeak it. Whatever happens, the most dispiriting part is that more people have voted for Trump after watching him for 4 years, than in 2016.

[Denver]

Biden has been Obama to become the most voted candidate in the popular vote in American history

[Swan]

Biden has been Obama to become the most voted candidate in the popular vote in American history

I think that's less about him, and more peoples hatred of Trump and voting against him.

[Nicky91]

speaking of Obama, idk if this had been shared earlier

https://twitter.com/BarackObama/status/1323781320678531077

[Ammi]

speaking of Obama, idk if this had been shared earlier

https://twitter.com/BarackObama/status/1323781320678531077

...or this..?...was in the Twitter thread as well...

1323721774358409216

[DouglasS]

Trump must win :clap1:

[Smithy]

https://twitter.com/uspoliticspoll/status/1323926669569253377?s=21

https://i.pinimg.com/originals/d7/c9/0c/d7c90c8fcc3a5a80b028c1c2842a446e.gif

[Ammi]

...I can’t let myself believe...

[Niamh.]

Come on Sleepy Joe, you can do it!

[user104658]

Things are looking a bit better at the moment, so I think Biden is going to squeak it. Whatever happens, the most dispiriting part is that more people have voted for Trump after watching him for 4 years, than in 2016.

For me, for the mostpart, it just proves that reds vote red and blues vote blue and it doesn't really matter who they stick in the suit.

[Ammi]

For me, for the mostpart, it just proves that reds vote red and blues vote blue and it doesn't really matter who they stick in the suit.

...I recall watching some documentaries for the last election and it was shown how ‘generations/families etc had always voted for...’...but they were voting differently that time and how they’d never voted in their lives before..and it was because of the person wearing the suit as it were...

[Zizu]

Come on Sleepy Joe, you can do it!



Shsssssh. ... don’t wake him !!


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro

[The Slim Reaper]

For me, for the mostpart, it just proves that reds vote red and blues vote blue and it doesn't really matter who they stick in the suit.

There are quite a lot of signs that this may not be strictly true although it is a good rule of thumb. Take Florida; the leftist $15/hr minimum wage won by 23 points there last night, so I think dems playing it consistently moderate/establishment rather than bold allows reds to not have to think about it.

All of the left/left of centre policies are the most consistently well polled (apart from stuff like gun laws), but the party mechanisms never really allow a candidate to run on them.

[bots]

i think we in the UK have a tendency to think we are very similar to Americans, and the truth is we are similar to a %.

The problem that america has is that the "less progressive" section of America has a louder voice than it should have in the electoral college and that isnt going to change any time soon

[Morgan.]

https://twitter.com/uspoliticspoll/status/1323926669569253377?s=21

https://i.pinimg.com/originals/d7/c9/0c/d7c90c8fcc3a5a80b028c1c2842a446e.gif

Didn’t Hilary win the popular vote too? Or am I remembering incorrectly

[The Slim Reaper]

Didn’t Hilary win the popular vote too? Or am I remembering incorrectly

Hilary didn't get to 50% of the total vote though.

[bots]

For me, for the mostpart, it just proves that reds vote red and blues vote blue and it doesn't really matter who they stick in the suit.

i think its because the candidates have been dreadful. Someone will emerge eventually that fires up peoples imaginations

[Mitchell]

It’s definitely gonna be a scrape, but things are mainly resting on postal voting, which are more than likely Biden voters, so maybe it won’t be Trump after all, thankfully.

[Ammi]

i think its because the candidates have been dreadful. Someone will emerge eventually that fires up peoples imaginations

https://media.giphy.com/media/xTiTnuHsReirhdjEas/giphy.gif

[Oliver_W]

I'm losing hope, I never had much in the first place though, since we all know how rife voter intimidation and suppression is when it comes to Trump. I think he'll steal it.

It also boggles the mind why so many latin voters are opting for Trump.

My mum used to work in a bookies, and she often remarked how "racist" people from different Eastern European nations were toward one another. She said that one time, some Poles were bitching that Romanians were coming and stealing their jobs :joker: So I guess it could be an American version of that...

To be fair there's no reason to assume Latino people born in the States need to have been worried about a Trump presidency?

[Crimson Dynamo]

i think its because the candidates have been dreadful. Someone will emerge eventually that fires up peoples imaginations

look what we had here at the last election..

[arista]

Come on Sleepy Joe, you can do it!


He could not win Texas
or Florida


No Landslide for sleepy Joe

[Mitchell]

Michigan has just turned blue

[arista]

Michigan has just turned blue

Sure was expected

[Smithy]

https://twitter.com/uspoliticspoll/status/1323990151308128257?s=21

[reece(:]

They really are that pathetic.

1323985124451647489

[Ramsay]

Counting every vote = fraud

[arista]

https://twitter.com/uspoliticspoll/status/1323990151308128257?s=21


1323989503736991744

[Wizard.]

I love how Trump supporters are like "let's stop the counting as Trump is winning" and seem to be confused and call it rigged when one person overtakes the other :laugh:

[Mitchell]

I love how Trump supporters are like "let's stop the counting as Trump is winning" and seem to be confused and call it rigged when one person overtakes the other :laugh:

It’s hardly surprising, unfortunately

[user104658]

I love how Trump supporters are like "let's stop the counting as Trump is winning" and seem to be confused and call it rigged when one person overtakes the other :laugh:

Half way through the grand national:

"Guys guys my horse is in the lead, stop the race I win yaaay"

[Smithy]

1323989503736991744

That’s an earlier tweet you silly woman

[arista]

That’s an earlier tweet you silly woman

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/El-ZLVJX0AEooQN?format=jpg&name=900x900

[Mitchell]

I do think Biden taking over Michigan might be a defining moment of this election

[user104658]

I think it's too early to celebrate yet, however Biden just shot in to 2/9 (Trump pushing 5/1) so the bookies seem relatively confident. People are still betting on Trump so they're going to get scalped if he wins.

[bots]

Michigan is an 11k lead to Biden now

[user104658]

I do think Biden taking over Michigan might be a defining moment of this election

If WI and NV hold, MI is enough to hit 270. Literally dead on 270 though. That's a Biden win but another state needs to flip for there not to be some major post-election chaos.

[Nicky91]

https://twitter.com/ActionUtah/status/1323996976929628161

meanwhile in Utah

[bots]

If WI and NV hold, MI is enough to hit 270. Literally dead on 270 though. That's a Biden win but another state needs to flip for there not to be some major post-election chaos.

Donald will be chewing a brick by now :laugh:

[Smithy]

https://twitter.com/uspoliticspoll/status/1323997089651720194?s=21

https://media4.giphy.com/media/cPBWj0vHKJoHZK6XF3/giphy.gif

[Nicky91]

https://www.dutchnews.nl/news/2020/11/americans-in-nl-are-watching-nervously-as-ballots-are-counted-at-home/

Americans in Netherlands are watching nervously as ballots are counted at home


‘I’m exhausted,’ Katie McKinley, who was still awake at 7:30 this morning, told DutchNews.nl. The international human resources manager spent the evening at her home in The Hague, watching votes come in across the country, as Americans choose their next president. Election watchers had warned in recent weeks that there would almost certainly be no winner on the day. Huge numbers of ballots were cast early or by mail as a result of the coronavirus outbreak.

‘It’s nerve-wracking, I haven’t been sleeping,’ says Marina Williams, an academic who lives in Maastricht. She moved to the Netherlands two years ago for work but says that the country’s political situation made the decision to move easier.

People were stunned in 2016 when reality TV star Donald Trump was declared the winner. Trump has worsened an already fractious political situation in the country, which is also facing the worst coronavirus outbreak in the world. More than nine million people are infected and an estimated 230,000 people have died.

In the run-up to the election, Trump’s Republican Party has fought against counting ballots and restricting access to the polls in what election experts worry is undermining democracy.

Both McKinley and Williams voted by absentia ballot. Neither has received confirmation that their ballot has been received yet, despite both mailing them in September.

While ballots continued to be tallied on the other side of the ocean, Americans in the Netherlands wait anxiously. ‘I just want this to all be over,’ says Michael Tuner, who works in IT and moved to the Netherlands five years ago. ‘The last four years have felt like a nightmare I can’t wake up from.’
.

[user104658]

https://twitter.com/uspoliticspoll/status/1323997089651720194?s=21

https://media4.giphy.com/media/cPBWj0vHKJoHZK6XF3/giphy.gif

You're going to jinx it.

[The Slim Reaper]

The US election in a gif

https://media1.tenor.com/images/7f3701195ddef1a98a91ca0721d3ebe6/tenor.gif?itemid=17900730

[arista]

The US election in a gif

https://media1.tenor.com/images/7f3701195ddef1a98a91ca0721d3ebe6/tenor.gif?itemid=17900730


Yes Happy Eagle

[arista]

Pennsylvania

(SkyNewsHD only)

The Lady in Charge
People are working on the count
she can not say how long it will take.

10,000 ballots a hour
but they have shift changes

So Expected Tomorrow.

[Nicky91]

https://twitter.com/Percolator_HNJ/status/1323967817490857985

translating

Adam Curry a american radio DJ, Political Podcast Host had said to our Robert Jensen, he wouldn't be surprised if the mainstream media despite good results for Trump going to steer into a Biden win

[DouglasS]

Not Biden changing the votes in the ballet

[SherzyK]

Not Biden changing the votes in the ballet

Who said this?

[Tom4784]

How dare he commit voter fraud in the middle of Swan Lake!

[arista]

Over 100 Million have voted
So many delays, in counting.

[Nicky91]

Over 100 Million have voted
So many delays, in counting.

yes, i've heard this might last until Friday at least

[arista]

yes, i've heard this might last until Friday at least

Friday
Trump will not like that, Nicky

[arista]

1324000608140075008

[Black Dagger]

Not Biden changing the votes in the ballet

Eh

[Captain.Remy]

Come on grandpa Joe, you can do this!

[DouglasS]

Who said this?

Sir trump
https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1/2018/06/14/23/wire-3301310-1529015005-120_634x409.jpg

[arista]

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/El71dMuWkAAaqWj?format=jpg&name=small

The Bet


Then The Twitter Remix (MaryAnnUK)
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/El-9cuvXEAAMQi5?format=jpg&name=small

[arista]

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/El2VXrjW0AEJJz-?format=jpg&name=medium

[Mitchell]

Not Biden changing the votes in the ballet

I’ve always said the key to winning an election is to change the votes whilst recreating swan lake, if only Darcey Bussell listened to me in 2016

[user104658]

he wouldn't be surprised if the mainstream media despite good results for Trump going to steer into a Biden win

:think: What does that even mean?

[Tom4784]

I’ve always said the key to winning an election is to change the votes whilst recreating swan lake, if only Darcey Bussell listened to me in 2016

Natalie Portman didn't stab herself for this!

[The Slim Reaper]

1324007366501769216

[bots]

:fc:

[arista]

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/El2UD9UXIAIBQyQ?format=jpg&name=small

Miami Demo

[user104658]

1324007366501769216

I don't see how it can be by this afternoon unless another state flips, even though he's ahead in Nevada they still need them to declare a winner to hit 270 and they're dragging their heels.

[user104658]

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/El2UD9UXIAIBQyQ?format=jpg&name=small

Miami Demo

Americans really have no idea what socialism is, it's a bit worrying.

[bots]

I don't see how it can be by this afternoon unless another state flips, even though he's ahead in Nevada they still need them to declare a winner to hit 270 and they're dragging their heels.

Georgia maybe? Nevada has suspended counting until Thursday, which is not today by my watch :laugh:

[Tom4784]

Americans really have no idea what socialism is, it's a bit worrying.

It's just a boogeyman buzzword for them and it's always those in most need of socialism that oppose it.

Too many americans think that one day they'll be rich and that things like the tax plan will affect them when it never will, they just become bootlickers for the rich and powerful.

[Denver]

Wisconsin is Biden, Trumo has ran out of areas he would be able to make gains in

[The Slim Reaper]

I don't see how it can be by this afternoon unless another state flips, even though he's ahead in Nevada they still need them to declare a winner to hit 270 and they're dragging their heels.

She probably has uptodate information they're waiting to be verified, because she followed it up with this.

1324008990624387075

[Mitchell]

Natalie Portman didn't stab herself for this!

Wayne Sleep is getting ready to run for Congress as we speak

[bots]

She probably has uptodate information they're waiting to be verified, because she followed it up with this.

1324008990624387075

it may be that enough votes come in from PA today to make it clear who the winner is, even if they havent finished counting

[user104658]

It's just a boogeyman buzzword for them and it's always those in most need of socialism that oppose it.

Too many americans think that one day they'll be rich and that things like the tax plan will affect them when it never will, they just become bootlickers for the rich and powerful.

It's really always been an illusion, that "hard work will get you rich". While I do believe that hard work and avoiding running into BAD luck is likely to get people to a place of being at least comfortable... there's just no path to actual wealth that doesn't involve dumb luck or nepotism. It's basically people in the 20th century operating on a 17th century philosophy that was sprinkled into the roots of the nation. I think they'll always believe it. Their entire culture was grown out of that idea.

[user104658]

She probably has uptodate information they're waiting to be verified, because she followed it up with this.

1324008990624387075

There have been enough blue states on the board to hit 270 by the publicly-available count since MI turned... Biden only needs Nevada and Wisconsin to hold and Michigan not to flip back... so by the votes if all counting halted immediately Biden has won.

[user104658]

it may be that enough votes come in from PA today to make it clear who the winner is, even if they havent finished counting

By that do you mean you think there's still a chance of Biden catching up in PA?

[DouglasS]

We want the Michigan fake ballot votes removed first

[Ramsay]

Lol

[bots]

By that do you mean you think there's still a chance of Biden catching up in PA?

absolutely there are over a million mail in votes still to be counted in PA

[The Slim Reaper]

absolutely there are over a million mail in votes still to be counted in PA

He has a really good chance in PA.

[Black Dagger]

Lmao finally a democratic vote is going my way and I'm LIVING.

[Oliver_W]

Well, Alice Cooper was a regular visitor there, but Milwaukee has certainly had its share of visitors. The French missionaries and explorers began visiting in the late 16th century. It's actually pronounced "mill-e-wah-que" - which is Algonquin for "the good land."

"Does this guy know how to party, or what!!"

[The Slim Reaper]

1323976556876828672

[Ramsay]

Something going on in Arizona..

[arista]

You just don't have the same conviction as others, Jack. Up your game.


Are you aware?
a few states are going
to have Re-Counts.




It just 2%
between Old Sleepy Joe and President Trump

[Oliver_W]

I find it amusing how people are seeming to think a ton of Blue votes are "appearing from nowhere" when mail-ins are usually counted last and are generally Blue...

[The Slim Reaper]

Are you aware?
a few states are going
to have Re-Counts.




It just 2%
between Old Sleepy Joe and President Trump

What does that have to do with my post? Biden is on course to win by bigger margins in the same states than trump did 4 years ago. No recount was done then.

[bots]

they have been saying for weeks that the mail in votes will take time to count, but crucially, the trump campaign are asking that voting continue in the states the Biden is winning, which says it all really :laugh:

[Samm]

BLUE BLUE BABY

https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/571038619989442621/773550035836731397/image0.gif

[The Slim Reaper]

they have been saying for weeks that the mail in votes will take time to count, but crucially, the trump campaign are asking that voting continue in the states the Biden is winning, which says it all really :laugh:

Not only that, but it was republican legislators who prevented early votes being counted in advance, hoping they could use the late votes and confusion to claim victory in court.

[bots]

Biden is going to make a statement later today

[user104658]

Something going on in Arizona..

Errors in the total number counted and the areas still to report lean Trump. Arizona could flip back.

[Oliver_W]

If anything there's less chance that there'll be shenanigans this time around - Trump isn't up against the prospective "First ever female President", Biden is too boring for anyone to care about swindling to the top, and (handling of the covid aside) Trump hasn't been as awful as he could have been. If (when?) Trump loses, it won't necessarily be down to meddling.

Although, with the state Biden's in Kamala Harris probably will be President by 2020!

[Shaun]

What about Georgia? That looked all but certainly to be a Rep. hold and now seems to be raising question marks :think:

[bots]

What about Georgia? That looked all but certainly to be a Rep. hold and now seems to be raising question marks :think:

it's the same story, waiting on the mail ins ... its still in play

[The Slim Reaper]

1324023998796226561

[The Slim Reaper]

1324027105982763011

[arista]

What does that have to do with my post? Biden is on course to win by bigger margins in the same states than trump did 4 years ago. No recount was done then.


Yes but this time
Recounts are due
under the rules

[bots]

1324027105982763011

thats a woop moment

[Oliver_W]

Yes but this time
Recounts are due
under the rules

Which rules? Why?

[Shaun]

it's the same story, waiting on the mail ins ... its still in play

Hmm, according to here: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-georgia.html

The Georgia counties still reporting only 80% of the total votes (the majority are reporting 98%) include Chatham, DeKalb, and Dougherty for Biden, and 5 counties for Trump. The big difference though is population and number of voters: 450,000 for Biden and under 100,000 for Trump :worry:

[The Slim Reaper]

Yes but this time
Recounts are due
under the rules

I need more info from you Arista. Not saying you're wrong, but I need to see where and why the rules have changed in the last 4 years.

[user104658]

What about Georgia? That looked all but certainly to be a Rep. hold and now seems to be raising question marks :think:

NYT has been tilting Georgia to Biden ever-so-slightly for most of the day (since mid morning) and it hasn't wavered yet... I can only assume this is based on potential mail-ins.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/forecast-president.html

https://i.imgur.com/uD5rmYd.jpg

[Shaun]

the absolute scenes if Biden manages to snatch Wisconsin (confirmed?), Michigan, Arizona, Pennsylvania AND Georgia :omgno:

of the other "undeclared ones" I assume Maine and Nevada are safe blues and NC, Alaska are safe reds.

[The Slim Reaper]

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/El_lT9cW0AsS5GX?format=jpg&name=small

[Crimson Dynamo]

Im increasingly worried about our Nigel's bet

:worry:

[Shaun]

still think Elmo would've been a better person to front the Coronavirus updates

[bots]

if the margin of a vote is within 1% the candidate can request a recount, it is not mandatory .... that is the rule

[bots]

Biden, maine, tick

[arista]

if the margin of a vote is within 1% the candidate can request a recount, it is not mandatory .... that is the rule


Yes that is Right

[arista]

Im increasingly worried about our Nigel's bet

:worry:


He can afford that

[Amy Jade]

1324034064563798023?s=19

[Amy Jade]

Can Trump come back from this?

[Nicky91]

Can Trump come back from this?

Maine isn't even a crucial state

[bots]

Maine isn't even a crucial state

yes it is, it all goes toward a biden win

[SherzyK]

yes it is, it all goes toward a biden win

.

[Nicky91]

https://twitter.com/mikinunez/status/1323975797850443777

:laugh2:

Spain's ESC2019 artist Miki, posting this, showing he's anti-trump

[arista]

Can Trump come back from this?


270 to Reach

But Biden may not reach it

Due to close vote amounts


His Landslide Failed

[Oliver_W]

270 to Reach

But Biden may not reach it

Due to close vote amounts


His Landslide Failed

Lol no-one could reasonably expect a landslide either way, it was always gonna be close.

[Shaun]

tbf to Nicky, Maine was never seriously up for contention and even if it was, 4 college votes isn't a huge deal (same goes for Alaska, which I believe has just the 3 to be confirmed... for Trump...)

[Nicky91]

tbf to Nicky, Maine was never seriously up for contention and even if it was, 4 college votes isn't a huge deal (same goes for Alaska, which I believe has just the 3 to be confirmed... for Trump...)

Alaska i never take serious lol, the place of that deluded woman Palin

[bots]

tbf to Nicky, Maine was never seriously up for contention and even if it was, 4 college votes isn't a huge deal (same goes for Alaska, which I believe has just the 3 to be confirmed... for Trump...)

but when it goes down to the wire, every state counts, big or small

[arista]

Lol no-one could reasonably expect a landslide either way, it was always gonna be close.

It was MSNBC /CNN
and all those Freaks
Shouting it will be a Landslide

[Nicky91]

https://twitter.com/opalayo/status/1324030653323759618

one of the BLM founders :skull:

[The Slim Reaper]

It was MSNBC /CNN
and all those Freaks
Shouting it will be a Landslide

Because that's what the polls were suggesting. If you're arguing that small victories don't count, then you might want to post in the referendum thread.

[The Slim Reaper]

1324040355407417345

[Oliver_W]

It was MSNBC /CNN
and all those Freaks
Shouting it will be a Landslide
Were they saying it would be a landslide, or that's what the polls suggested? If the latter, then the polls always have some wiggle-room, regardless of what the polls said I don't think anyone reasonably thought it would be a landslide.

And I used the word reasonable on purpose, as that seldom applies to the mainstream media ;)

https://twitter.com/opalayo/status/1324030653323759618

one of the BLM founders :skull:
What she said seems fine :shrug:

[bots]

What about Georgia? That looked all but certainly to be a Rep. hold and now seems to be raising question marks :think:

They said a moment ago that they will have a result before the end of the day

[Smithy]

Trumps team requesting a recount in Wisconsin

[Nicky91]

Trumps team requesting a recount in Wisconsin

the people who have been busy for loads of hours counting the votes: https://media.tenor.com/images/5c735243bd7bf04b6bbe5c5b55b28b72/tenor.gif

[The Slim Reaper]

Counting all the votes once - wrong
Counting some twice - right

Bigger margin of victory than in 16. He may get a recount, although his lawyers have filed using misinformation, but the state is secure.

[arista]

Trumps team requesting a recount in Wisconsin


Yes if it's 1%
legal recount


https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/524482-trump-campaign-to-request-recount-in-wisconsin

[arista]

Because that's what the polls were suggesting. If you're arguing that small victories don't count, then you might want to post in the referendum thread.

That's a Big amount
a Million

[Amy Jade]

I knew he'd want recounts :laugh:

God forbid the fool be gracious in loss.

[Oliver_W]

ehhh I don't really see the problem with recounts. Though it'd be funny if it backfired and gave Biden a bigger majority :joker: not that it'd make a difference overall, but it'd pour salt in the wound.

[Oliver_W]

https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2020/11/04/17/article-8913707-35253576-217_964x590.jpg


Re Trump's tweet, it might seem odd that the "blue surge" seemed to take his leads, but like I said upthread it's because postal votes are usually counted last, and usually Dem.

That said, if EVERY postal shows up as Democrat, there might be something going on.

[bots]

Re Trump's tweet, it might seem odd that the "blue surge" seemed to take his leads, but like I said upthread it's because postal votes are usually counted last, and usually Dem.

That said, if EVERY postal shows up as Democrat, there might be something going on.

Trump told all his supporters not to vote by post many times and to vote on the day, so its no great surprise there are few trump postal votes :laugh:

[user104658]

That said, if EVERY postal shows up as Democrat, there might be something going on.

I don't think so, the massive increase in postal votes is because of Covid and as Dems in general have been taking it much more seriously, you would expect most postal votes to lean towards them.

[Black Dagger]

https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2020/11/04/17/article-8913707-35253576-217_964x590.jpg

Be funny if that old sleepy Biden
died in his sleep

Youre a disgrace

[SherzyK]

Be funny if that old sleepy Biden
died in his sleep

Why would you even find that remotely funny?

[arista]

Come on dude.


It would be fair

[Oliver_W]

I don't think so, the massive increase in postal votes is because of Covid and as Dems in general have been taking it much more seriously, you would expect most postal votes to lean towards them.

Oh sure, even in the best of times postal skews Dem. But if every single one (I don't even know if that happened, let alone if it's been claimed) came out as being Democrat, at the very least it should be looked at.

Even the most gun-totting hicksville places in Texas wouldn't have 100% Republican turnout in person on election day, and if it did that should be looked at too!

[arista]

thats not how the process works Arista, the VP doesnt automatically become president. The party vote on who to select as the new president and the vp could be a candidate, but it is not automatic


Sure
But she would be temp Leader
until the Dems agree.


They would accept it
in a Rush
to keep Trump away

[Amy Jade]

He has done all his work
and now a younger Lady
would take the Job.

His work is done

Again how is that remotely funny?

[arista]

Again how is that remotely funny?


Millions who voted for that real old fella
want Harris

[arista]

In what world would that be funny?

You really need to reevaluate your posting habits, some of the stuff you say is pretty disgusting.



Because he is so old
and the voters prefer Harris.

[The Slim Reaper]

1324064600975937537

[The Slim Reaper]

Because he is so old
and the voters prefer Harris.

I thought calling for the death of people was a rule break?

[arista]

I thought calling for the death of people was a rule break?


No
I said it would be Funny.


I have not asked for a Sniper


I searched on the Rules
No result.


[don't make posts wishing harm on housemates.]
Is this what you SLIM
are confused about, he is not in a big brother house is he......................

[arista]

1324064600975937537


Long time to go
recount

[Epic.]

Biden is winning in Arizona by almost a million votes now.

If he gets this state, it's extremely likely he's set to win the presidency

[Oliver_W]

Biden is winning in Arizona by almost a million votes now.

If he gets this state, it's extremely likely he's set to win the presidency

A million? Looks more like 100k?

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-president.html?smid=tw-nytimes&smtyp=cur

[Epic.]

A million? Looks more like 100k?

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-president.html?smid=tw-nytimes&smtyp=cur

Oh whoops.

Anyway it's not likely Trump is catching up to him there

[bots]

Biden is winning in Arizona by almost a million votes now.

If he gets this state, it's extremely likely he's set to win the presidency

100k maybe not a million :laugh:

[bots]

Trump is trying to stop the vote in PA now :facepalm:

[The Slim Reaper]

1324075266981978125

[bots]

1324075266981978125

this ties in with trump trying to stop it

[The Slim Reaper]

1324075434942881792

[arista]

For Slim

1324007947723280387

[The Slim Reaper]

Always a tweet.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EmAPo0DU0AAWrdh?format=jpg&name=900x900

[arista]

Only 4 years older than Trump so would it be funny if he died also?


Sure it would be funny

[The Slim Reaper]

For Slim

1324007947723280387

I saw that yesterday. One of the best of the cycle.

[arista]

Sleepy Joe
is getting ready to speak Live

[Brother Leon]

Looking like even Pennsylvania is going Biden. Hence all the distraction tactics from Team Trump. His time is up.

[arista]

Looking like even Pennsylvania is going Biden. Hence all the distraction tactics from Team Trump. His time is up.



Wrong

52.3% Trump
46.4% Biden


Live CNN HD

[The Slim Reaper]

Wrong

52.3 Trump
46.4 Biden


Live CNN HD

That lead is decreasing every minute and there are 15% of all votes left.

[The Slim Reaper]

Trump supporters trying to smash their way into the Michigan counting centre, and screaming "stop the count".

[Amy Jade]

Trump supporters trying to smash their way into the Michigan counting centre, and screaming "stop the count".

thugs.

[arista]

Trump supporters trying to smash their way into the Michigan counting centre, and screaming "stop the count".


They can not.
Police stop them

[user104658]

Wrong

52.3% Trump
46.4% Biden


Live CNN HD

The gap is closing and there's still a lot of votes to count. That said - I don't know if it'll actually go blue.

However Michigan is all but fully counted with Biden 60,000+ votes ahead. Assuming he has Nevada that puts him over the line without PA or Georgia.

Nevada has stopped counting though which is a sticking point :facepalm:.

[arista]

Biden Is Live


All Media

[user104658]

Looks like Dems have House and Republicans keep the Senate, if anyone is following that side of things.

[The Slim Reaper]

1324092672613748741

[bots]

trumps going to court with fictitious bs ... its laughable really

[Jack_]

CNN calls Michigan for Biden

[bots]

CNN declared michigan for biden now 253

[The Slim Reaper]

The difference between that Biden speech, and trump having his tweets deleted is insane.

1324098409494708232

[bots]

best say it 3 times for luck :hee:

[The Slim Reaper]

Trump event about to happen. Find a stream if you can, it's going to be wild. :laugh:

[The Slim Reaper]

Think trump has cancelled his event.

[Saph]

he just needs to stop :skull:

[Oliver_W]

Think trump has cancelled his event.

:joker:

I bet most of the stuff he was going to say has been rendered irrelevant by results coming in.

[Black Dagger]

BYE BYE TRUMP x

[Amy Jade]

Think trump has cancelled his event.

2UvJ6xIr31Q

[Tom4784]

Do I dare to hope?

[The Slim Reaper]

Eric Trump and Giuliani going mental on fox news.

[arista]

That lead is decreasing every minute and there are 15% of all votes left.

Pennsylvania Presidential General Results
Donald Trump(R)
3,123,940 52%
Joe Biden(D)
2,814,802 46.85%
Jo Jorgensen(LIB)
69,177 1.15%

[The Slim Reaper]

Well that was crazy. Everyone is corrupt, law suits law suits law suits. The democrats are corrupt is the abridged version.


One more state for Biden and it's done.

[user104658]

1323857811734933504

[The Slim Reaper]

Pennsylvania Presidential General Results
Donald Trump(R)
3,123,940 52%
Joe Biden(D)
2,814,802 46.85%
Jo Jorgensen(LIB)
69,177 1.15%

Still coming down, looking good for Biden although could go either way.

[Zizu]

Paddy Power odds as we speak ...

Trump 7/2

Biden 2/9
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20201104/55c5dea5beb7aeba99fe8a992b315a28.jpg

Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Pro

[user104658]

Paddy Power odds as we speak ...

Trump 7/2

Biden 2/9
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20201104/55c5dea5beb7aeba99fe8a992b315a28.jpg

Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Pro

Betfair is showing Trump 6/1, Biden 1/10 sportsbook.

Even bigger on Exchange (13/2 vs 2/13), though exchange works differently being p2p.

[The Slim Reaper]

So this is a thing that happened.

1324098069445660674

[Jack_]

John King has been excellent on the CNN touchscreen btw

Nuanced, calm and informative

[Amy Jade]

Watching the Trumpers emplode is so funny!

[Denver]

Nevada will see Biden named President Elect

[The Slim Reaper]

watching the trumpers emplode is so funny!

1324086177885003778

[The Slim Reaper]

Arista appearing on Tibb TV to discuss PA.

1324108208261210112

[Beso]

You need proof slim?

[Beso]

Watching the Trumpers emplode is so funny!



Link please!

[The Slim Reaper]

You need proof slim?

Proof of what? But yeah, I need proof. I don't want to see any links from breitbart/facebook/drudge/fox/blaze/daily caller though

[user104658]

So this is a thing that happened.

1324098069445660674

I thought Joe Exotic was in jail!

[The Slim Reaper]

I thought Joe Exotic was in jail!

:laugh:

[Amy Jade]

1324106421038964741

[The Slim Reaper]

For Arista

1324098012172439552

[Oliver_W]

One of the few things Trump actually had going for him was the anti-establishment thing, it'd be a shame for such candidates to not pop up next time around...

[The Slim Reaper]

One of the few things Trump actually had going for him was the anti-establishment thing, it'd be a shame for such candidates to not pop up next time around...

He is the establishment. Talking like a dick doesn't make you anti-establishment, it makes you a dick.

[Beso]

This is the begining of the usa going down the route of the old Russian United states.

Soz.

[Denver]

The question is how long till Trump is arrested? There is history of a president pardoning the last president but after the way Trump has treated Biden there is no waybhe is getting that Pardon

[Oliver_W]

He is the establishment. Talking like a dick doesn't make you anti-establishment, it makes you a dick.

Not as much as Biden or Mrs Clinton :shrug: he didn't come from the world of politics before, he wasn't a "Swamp" dweller.

But yes, he is a dick.

[Oliver_W]

The question is how long till Trump is arrested? There is history of a president pardoning the last president but after the way Trump has treated Biden there is no waybhe is getting that Pardon

He'll probably flee the country rather than even risk facing justice...

[The Slim Reaper]

Not as much as Biden or Mrs Clinton :shrug: he didn't come from the world of politics before, he wasn't a "Swamp" dweller.

But yes, he is a dick.

Politics isn't the only way into the establishment. A new york property developer that used to donate to candidates of both parties for favours? That's the epitome of swamp establishment. He lets the federalist society pick his judges, reduced taxes on the wealthy, uses his office to try and enrich himself. There is nothing about him that isn't establishment.

All the things he promised for the "little guy" he hasn't done, other than amplify their racism. Still hasn't even released the healthcare plan he promised in 2016.

[The Slim Reaper]

Nevada saying they're going to be releasing more stuff tonight rather than tomorrow.

[Saph]

whats the latest

[Denver]

whats the latest

Biden needs 6 electoral points to be officially elected and has chances with about 5 or 6 states with 3 looking extremely likely

[Saph]

we did it gals!

https://media3.giphy.com/media/PDSDKXxiCRP8c/200.gif

[Denver]

He could still potentially hit 300 electoral votes yet

[The Slim Reaper]

Thoughts and prayers.

1323541534763970561

[Glenn.]

The fat orange **** has been ended?

[Denver]

If the current trend in postal votes continue then Biden will win PA with a 2 point lead

[Mitchell]

Arista appearing on Tibb TV to discuss PA.

1324108208261210112

Does anyone want to help him take off his microphone?

[arista]

https://c.files.bbci.co.uk/1506B/production/_115232168_metro-nc.png